The Climate Expert Ink Blot Test

You know you are a climate expert if you see the red patch on this map, but not purple patch.

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Global warming record crumbles due in part to freak Arctic warmth

In a separate test, climate experts see green on this graph, but not blue or red.

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Wood for Trees: Interactive Graphs

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5 Responses to The Climate Expert Ink Blot Test

  1. One of the great difference between real world engineers and ivory tower academics, is that real world engineers regularly see graphs that are so filled with real world noise (over which we have no control) that not much can be drawn from the graph – but because it costs time and money to produce another – we learn to do what we can.

    In contrast, ivory tower academics, are not trying to make decisions, instead they are trying to get their next paper printed. So, they have developed a plethora of tools to take a meaningless graph and “remove the noise” (as they call it) and create the illusion of a silk purse out of a pigs ear.

    So, I have a prediction which is this: if you present a random graph with absolutely no correlation at all, far more academics will “see” something compared to real world engineers. And this isn’t about “telling lies”, they really will believe they see something when there’s nothing – you have to be trained not to see false relationships.

    See: http://scottishsceptic.co.uk/2015/03/25/proof-equilibrium-climate-sensitivity-is-less-than-1-for-dummies/

  2. Brian D says:

    The above normal temps over the pole is due to wx pattern that has been bringing in a strong southerly flow during the Fall months. Wonder how much snow has fallen over the pack because of this and what impact that may have on ice thickness there? I know in the winter here in N MN, lots of snow on the ice inhibits ice growth as the deep snow acts as an insulator. But sea ice has a lower melt/freeze temp, adding a large amount of fresh water precip to the top would increase the melt/freeze temp as ice freshens. Explorers were able to use multi year ice to drink because it freshened over the years. So it may become a help in the 2017 melt season.

    Anyway, I think the pattern will be changing soon, and we will be seeing that change here in the US, too. Back to more normal type wx, as this potent CO low pressure moves rapidly up into my neck of the woods in a couple days. 6″-12″ of global warming on tap.

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