BBC NEWS | Science/Nature | Arctic summers ice-free ‘by 2013’
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Looks like he was wrong!
Andy
Alarmists like professor Maslowski have been predicting the disappearance of arctic sea ice for the last decade. When their faulty projections don’t come true, they merely extend their claims of “melting” to some future date. It’s junk science at its worst and ignores the role of AMO and ocean currents on the rise and decline of sea ice extent. It also ignores the role of the sun (now experiencing its weakest sunspot cycle in more than 100 years) on global temperatures. With solar cycle 25 shaping up to be even weaker, we may be headed for another Dalton Minimum or Little Ice Age. At that point, no one will be talking about an ice-free arctic. We’ll all be cursing the cold climate (and the anti-coal-energy warmists) while trying to heat our homes without busting the family budget.
i completely agree, all of this ice-free propaganda coming from the alarmists is pure non-sense.
when a scientist says, “as early as” that means that the error bars of estimation of the actual point of being ice free has a minimum boundary of 2013. This is usually determined by two standard deviations from the mean or 95%. This means that there is a 95% confidence margin that the actual date will fall between the lower and upper bounds of this range. So, while there is only a 5% chance that it will happen SOONER than 2013, the median date could be as late as 2017 and the 95% outlier date would then be around 2021. Which means the RANGE is that from 2013 to 2021 there is a 95% confidence that the arctic will be ice free.
I put the ice free date at September 17th 2017.
while the u.s. navy expects consistently ice-free summers by 2030.
http://www.navy.mil/navydata/documents/USN_artic_roadmap.pdf
I expect you to be consistently wrong