Real Climate Science

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The left is hysterical about the appointment of David LeGates to NOAA. They say the “agency’s mission is under attack.”  This reminds me of six years ago when Judith Curry and Anthony Watts contronted NOAA about some of my claims of temperature manipulation, and they didn’t deny they were doing it – they simply said their “algorithm is working as designed.”  So the question becomes, what is the agency’s mission?

Climate alarmism depends largely on the accuracy of NOAA temperature graphs, and alarmists are afraid David LeGates will expose the fact that the graphs are not accurate portrayals of reality.

War on NOAA? A Climate Denier’s Arrival Raises Fears the Agency’s Climate Mission Is Under Attack | InsideClimate News

The article claims that summer 2020 was the hottest on record in the US, when in fact the measured NOAA data shows it was just about average, and three degrees cooler than 1936.  Summers have been getting cooler in the US for more than 90 years.

The number of hot days was among the lowest on record.

The number of warm days for the first nine months of the year has been well below average and on a declining trend.

Here In Cheyenne, Wyoming we had our coldest October afternoon on record yesterday at 9F. This was almost 50 degrees below normal, and beat the previous record by two degrees. Denver is likely to set a number of records for cold as well.

Denver Weather: Record Lows Nearly 100 Years Old May Fall By Tuesday – CBS Denver

Autumn snow cover has been increasing across the Northern Hemisphere for 50 years, as Arctic air penetrates further south and the freeze line moves closer to the equator.

Rutgers University Climate Lab :: Global Snow Lab

The article claimed that the US has seen the most hurricane landfalls since 1916. This isn’t true, and why would the same weather as 1916 be considered a sign of climate change? According to NASA, 1916 was one of the coldest years on record.

graph.png (1130×600)

Hurricanes in the US peaked in 1886, and have been generally declining ever since.

Hurricane landfalls in the United States

Four years ago there was a record lack of hurricanes.

Hurricane Drought Hits a New Record – Scientific American

US in Longest ‘Hurricane Drought’ in Recorded History | Live Science

The Washington Post was terrified by the lack of hurricanes.

The U.S. coast is in an unprecedented hurricane drought — why this is terrifying – The Washington Post

The Arctic fear mongering goers on endlessly.  Six thousand years ago, the Arctic was likely ice-free, with CO2 at much lower levels

Less Ice In Arctic Ocean 6000-7000 Years Ago — ScienceDaily

Trees grew all the way to the edge of the Arctic Ocean, yet Polar Bears survived just fine.

Climate: Present, Past and Future (Routledge Revivals) – Google Books

Millions of years ago, redwood trees grew near the North Pole.

Scientist Probes Fossil Oddity: Giant Redwoods Near North Pole — ScienceDaily

Despite all of the fear mongering, there has been little change in Arctic sea ice extent over the past 14 years.

masie_4km_allyears_extent_sqkm.csv

Our top experts said the Arctic would be ice-free by 2008.

Expert: Arctic polar cap may disappear this summer_English_Xinhua

North Pole May Be Ice-Free for First Time This Summer

BBC NEWS | UK | Swimmer aims to kayak to N Pole

Star-News – Google News Archive Search

Arctic Sea Ice Gone in Summer Within Five Years?

BBC NEWS | Science/Nature | Arctic summers ice-free ‘by 2013’

Gore: Polar ice cap may disappear by summer 2014

Wayback Machine

The Argus-Press – Google News Archive Search

Why Arctic sea ice will vanish in 2013 | Sierra Club Canada

Ice-free Arctic in two years heralds methane catastrophe – scientist | Environment | The Guardian

The End of the Arctic? Ocean Could be Ice Free by 2015 – The Daily Beast

A farewell to ice | Review | Chemistry World

And President Obama’s science adviser predicted ice-free winters.

…if you lose the summer sea ice, there are phenomena that could lead you not so very long thereafter to lose the winter sea ice as well. And if you lose that sea ice year round, it’s going to mean drastic climatic change all over the hemisphere.

– John Holdren, 2009

Alarmists are terrified that David LeGates will expose their scam.

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Colorado Public Radio reports that “scientists say” the fires in Colorado are caused by climate change and will get worse unless we reduce carbon emissions.

Colorado Wildfires Are Climate Change ‘In The Here And Now’ — And A Sign Of Summers To Come | Colorado Public Radio

There has been no trend in Colorado precipitation since 1895. Most recent years have been above average.

Climate at a Glance | National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI)

NOAA shows that maximum temperatures have increased in Colorado, but this is entirely due to their own data tampering.

Climate at a Glance | National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI)

The three hottest summers in Colorado were 1934, 1931 and 1936.

Twelve years ago, Colorado climate scientists said that the ski industry would collapse even with a reduction in carbon emissions.

Study: Climate change may force skiers uphill

Instead, Colorado has been having record snowfall. I took this picture in Leadville, Colorado in the Middle of March.

The year before, ski areas were still open in July.

I took this picture west of Boulder on the first day of summer 2019.

The Anasazi were driven out of Mesa Verde by a 23 year long megadrought in the 13th century.  They must have forgotten to lower their carbon emissions.

Thirteenth Century AD: Implications of Seasonal and Annual Moisture Reconstructions for Mesa Verde, Colorado – Oxford Scholarship

CNN says Colorado is having record forest fires with “unheard of fire growth.”

East Troublesome fire: Colorado officials warn that two major wildfires could merge – CNN

Here are the Colorado fires, which are about to be extinguished by a foot of snow this weekend.

Compare to the 1898 fires, which covered “most of the northwestern part of the state.”

The Deseret News – Google News Archive Search

Total burn acreage in the US this year is not much different from other recent years, and much lower than prior to 50 years ago.

Burn acreage this year is less than 10% of the preindustrial average for the conterminous US.

Fire Policy – Cover & TOC

The 1910 fire burned three million acres, most of which occurred in six hours. The burn rate from that fire was an order of magnitude larger and flames were hundreds of feet high.

1910 Fires – USFS History – Forest History Society

stelprdb5444731.pdf

The Lodgepole Pine forest which is burning has not burned for decades, and there is a huge fuel load on the ground.  I took this picture two days ago in the Medicine Bow National Forest.

Lodgepole Pine seeds need fire to germinate. Without large fires, the species would go extinct.

Up In Smoke: Why Lodgepole Pines Love A Good Forest Fire – Here By Design

Massive fires are the normal ecosystem of Colorado and the western US. Clueless and dishonest journalists are also normal.

Spokane Falls Daily Chronicle – Google News Archive Search

08 May 1890, 6 – Minneapolis Messenger at Newspapers.com

16 Jan 1936, 5 – The Thayer County Banner-Journal at Newspapers.com

On Labor Day, 1935 the Florida Keys were hit by a category 5 hurricane with 185 MPH winds. The winds were so strong, it blew a train thirty feet off the tracks. It was the most intense hurricane in US history.

06 Sep 1935, Page 1 – The Express at Newspapers.com

This came a few weeks after the worst dust storm and most intense rainfall on record.

On May 31, 1935 Woodward Ranch, Texas set the world record with 22 inches of rain in less than three hours.

Colorado got nearly that much rain a few hours earlier.

Extreme Weather: A Guide & Record Book – Christopher C. Burt – Google Books

The forecast maximum temperature for Cheyenne, Wyoming (where I live) this Sunday is 11F.

This would tie the October cold record of 11F set on October 30, 1991.

Last month Cheyenne broke the record for a one day drop in maximum temperature when temperatures dropped from 86F to 32F between September 7 and September 8.

I took this picture on September 9, west of Cheyenne.

Last year I was living in Boulder, Colorado, when they tied their record for coldest October afternoon on October 29. The high temperature that day was 21F, which tied the record set on October 31, 2002. We were trick or treating that night and I remember it well.

And on the first day of summer last year, the mountains west of Boulder looked like this.

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