Real Climate Science

NOAA predicted a hot April for the US.

Climate Prediction Center – OFFICIAL 30-Day Forecasts

And they claim they got their prediction right.

April 2021 was fairly dry and a bit warm for much of the U.S. | National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

Their thermometer data disagrees. The mean temperature was below average.

The average minimum temperature was was below average. Three years ago was the coldest on record.

The number of warm days was below average. April temperatures in the US have been plummeting for the past 20 years.

The number of cold nights was above average.

NOAA created their imaginary warm April by tampering with the data, like they do every month.

NOAA created the warm April via a hockey stick of data tampering.

Their data tampering algorithm closely matches the rise in atmospheric CO2.  They are altering data to match their theory.

This follows failed forecasts in February and March.

Climate Prediction Center – Revised OFFICIAL 30-Day Forecasts

On January 25, NOAA predicted a warm February for the US.

“The outlook from the Climate Prediction Center for February indicates that there are no strong climate signals that would point toward an unusually cold or mild month.  The odds are tilted toward above average precipitation.”

February Outlook – Another Warm Month Ahead – WeatherNation

That forecast was exactly backwards.

U.S. had its coldest February in more than 30 years | National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

Climate Prediction Center – OFFICIAL 30-Day Forecasts

Biden is continuing his reign of terror over science by firing everyone who might question this fraud.

EPA Head Purges Advisory Boards That Included Trump Appointees – The New York Times

The same thing he did the last time he was in the White House.

Sally Jewell: ‘I Hope There Are No Climate Change Deniers In The Department Of Interior’ | HuffPost

I get almost all of my information from official government sources, newspapers and scientific publications, and Media BIAS/Fact Check says my sources are unverifiable quackery.

Real Climate Science – Media Bias Fact Check

NASA says facts and scientific consensus show earth has warmed 1C since 1880. They show the year 1921 as 0.18C below “normal.”

“This research is broadly consistent with similar constructions prepared by the Climatic Research Unit and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration”

NASA shows the 1920s as one of the coldest decades, that earth cooled from 1881 to 1919 and that earth warmed about 0.4C from 1921 to 1979.

Global Temperature | Vital Signs – Climate Change: Vital Signs of the Planet

But in 1989, NOAA said the exact opposite.

“Analysis of warming since 1881 shows most of the increase in global temperature happened before 1919 — before the more re-cent sharp rise in the amount of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere. said Thomas Karl, of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s National Climatic Data Center in Asheville, N.C. While global climate warmed overall since 1881, It actually cooled from 1921 to 1979, Karl said.”

07 Dec 1989, Page 14 – Santa Cruz Sentinel at Newspapers.com

This map from NOAA shows where they have daily temperature data from 1920.  The vast majority is from the US, with some coverage in Europe, Canada and parts of Australia. Most of the world has little or no daily temperature coverage going back 100 years.

station-counts-1891-1920-temp.png

This makes the US temperature data very important. NOAA thermometer data shows  1921 tied with 2012 for the warmest average temperature on record, and that there has been no net warming over the past century.

But NOAA massively tampers with the data to cool the past and warm the present. All claimed US warming over the past century is due to data tampering.

The data tampering is done in a hickey stick which cools past temperatures by 1F and warms recent temperatures by more than 1F

The tampering is done to closely align with the increase in atmospheric CO2 – i.e. data is being altered to match the theory.

NASA and NOAA claim that 1921 was a very cold year, but it had the second highest average maximum temperature in the US.

Continue reading →

“If someone wanted to, it would be pretty easy to fake an election”

NOAA claims the US has warmed one degree over the past twenty years.

Normal U.S. temperature a degree hotter than two decades ago – Los Angeles Times

All of the claimed warming is due to data tampering by NOAA. They adjusted temperatures from twenty years ago down about 0.2F and recent temperatures up by 1.2F.

The US has cooled slightly over the past twenty years.

The level of cynicism and fraud of the Biden administration appears to be boundless.

“There is science, logic, reason; there is thought verified by experience. And then there is California.”

― Edward Abbey

 

California government wants to ban lawnmowers  and all outdoor power equipment, in order to “mitigate climate change.”  They believe there is a direct connection between people mowing their lawn in California and California droughts and fires.

California lawmakers propose bill to ban gas-powered leaf blowers | abc10.com

Three years ago, Governor Jerry Brown thought he could prevent droughts and fires by spending almost $100 billion on a “train to nowhere.”

California’s $77 billion high-speed rail project is in trouble

Fifteen years ago, Governor Schwarzenegger thought he could stop California droughts and fires via taxes.

Schwarzenegger takes center stage on warming

Arnie’s tax doesn’t appear to have worked, because five years ago, Governor Brown and the New York Times announced that California was having a permanent drought.

California Braces for Unending Drought – The New York Times

Thanks El Niño, But California’s Drought Is Probably Forever | WIRED

A few months later, California was deal with historic flooding.

NWS: Northern California now on pace for ‘wettest water year on record’ – SFGate

Forty years earlier, Governor Brown also announced the permanent drought.

Brown Warns of Drought Disaster; Says ‘Hard Choices’ Face California – The New York Times

There is no trend in California precipitation since the end of the 19th century.

Climate at a Glance | National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI)

But longer term, tree ring records show that California is prone to very severe droughts and the 20th century was unusually wet.

Graphic: California’s droughts in the past 1,200 years – The Mercury News

Ancient Trees Reflect Century-Long Droughts : Environment: Analysis of stumps’ rings shows that dry spells can last far longer than the state has estimated, expert says. – latimes

Thirty years ago, the New York Times knew that the 20th century was unusually wet in California, and that the Medieval Warm Period was global.

“Lisa J. Graumlich, who examines the ring patterns of foxtail pine trees and western junipers in the Sierra Nevada, has compiled a detailed record of the year-to-year variation in temperature and precipitation over the last thousand years.

She has seen in the North American trees the feathery but unmistakable signatures of the Medieval Warm Period, a era from 1100 to 1375 A.D. when, according to European writers of the time and other sources, the climate was so balmy that wine grapes flourished in Britain and the Vikings farmed the now-frozen expanse of Greenland; and the Little Ice Age, a stretch of abnormally frigid weather lasting roughly from 1450 to 1850. A Crucial Question

“We can now see that these were global climate phenomena, not regional temperature variations,” she said. “The question is, how did we get those warmer temperatures during pre-industrial times, and what can we learn from those conditions about what is going on today?”

Western landscapes in presettlement era were very smoky places, and droughts were caused by La Nina.

Warming? Tree Rings Say Not Yet – The New York Times

Severe Ancient Droughts: A Warning to California – The New York Times

Sixty years ago, the Squaw Valley Winter Olympics almost had to be cancelled because of a lack of snow.

09 Feb 1960, Page 1 – The Berkshire Eagle at Newspapers.com

There is no correlation between California droughts and CO2, but California politicians believe they can prevent the same weather patterns California has always had, via greater and greater sacrifice. The same mentality as the Aztecs hundreds of years ago.

“Climate Change is real. California Republicans believe it and are working to address it.”

– John Kasich and Arnold Schwarzenegger

CNN reports that an Italian glacier is melting, and revealing WWI artifacts – and this makes Sandy sad.  Presumably she is sad that the glacier is melting.

12:15 PM · May 4, 2021

The most likely explanation for what happened is that the glacier was smaller during WWI, expanded during the global cooling period of the 1970s, and is melting back again towards the position it was at during WWI.

In the November 1976 issue of National Geographic, they documented the rapid glacial retreat in the Alps during the first half of the 2oth century.

They documented that earth was very warm from 1910 to 1960.

They also documented how the sun controlled the climate.

National Geographic Magazine Archive

The melting after WWII was global.  In 1923, Glacier National Park was melting so fast that experts predicted it would be ice-free by 1948.

29 Dec 1923, Page 5 – at Newspapers.com

In 1979, climatologists described the warm period from 1910-1960 as the “tropical age” – and said the extreme weather of the previous two decades was caused by global cooling.

“Drought, floods, the failure of monsoons and the run of hard winters are all evidence. they say, that the world has come to the end of a spell of even-tempered weather which began in about 1910 and lasted until about 1960. This period has even been called “a little tropical age” by one of the more quotable of climatologists. Professor Reid Bryson. What follows the tropics could be harder to live with — weather more typical of the 19th century or even of the “little Ice Age “which lasted between 1430 and 1850”

The Age – Google News Archive Search

According to NASA, the cave was ice-free during the coldest years on record a century ago, but now is half filled with ice during the hottest years on record.

graph.png (1130×600)

After WWI, the New York Times reported that earth had a fever.

“an intermittent fever, manifested in a world-wide heat wave of unusual length and intensity.”

TimesMachine: October 3, 1921 – NYTimes.com

04 Sep 1921, 61 – New York Herald at Newspapers.com

Climate alarmism is based around ignorance, superstition, a lack of knowledge of history, and fraudulent temperature graphs from government agencies.

Experts say that Phoenix will become uninhabitable due to “climate change.”

Too hot to handle? Experts weigh in on if Phoenix could become uninhabitable due to climate change

The millions of people moving there disagree. Maricopa County where Phoenix located, is the fastest growing county in the US. Huge areas of farmland have been converted into city over the past forty years.

Timelapse – Google Earth Engine

Phoenix is a notorious and well documented Urban Heat Island. Summer nighttime temperatures there have gotten much warmer over the last 60 years.

National Weather Service – NWS Phoenix

Unfortunately, there isn’t a lot of good temperature data from Arizona. The only currently active USHCN station in southern Arizona with a long term temperature record (Parker) shows that Arizona was hotter at the end of the 19th century. In 1896 and 1905, Parker had seven consecutive days over 120 degrees. Temperatures there were hotter at the end of the 19th century.

Phoenix record streak of 110 degree days occurred in 1974 during the ice age scare.

30 Jun 1974, Page 31 – Arizona Republic at Newspapers.com

TIME Magazine Archive Article — Another Ice Age? — Jun. 24, 1974

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Last year’s fire season was below the long term average, but the press reported it as the worst season on record.

The reality is that burn acreage was below the long-term average.

National Interagency Fire Center

National Interagency Fire Center

During February, the Biden Administration deleted all of the inconvenient data prior to 1983, which was the lowest burn acreage on record.

Wildfires and Acres | National Interagency Fire Center

The gaslighting was particularly bad in Colorado, where the press determined that Colorado history only goes back 20 years and was the worst year on record.

Five charts that show where 2020 ranks in Colorado wildfire history

Colorado has been a state since 1876, and during 1898 massive fires covered most of the state.

Fort Collins Courier October 6, 1898 — Colorado Historic Newspapers Collection

Herald Democrat October 2, 1898 — Colorado Historic Newspapers Collection

TimesMachine: September 30, 1898 – NYTimes.com

TimesMachine: October 3, 1898 – NYTimes.com

Joe Biden made some nonsensical commitments to cutting back greenhouse gas emissions by 50% in the next nine years, while trying to bring millions of new people into the country. One of the reasons he did this was apparently to demonize meat.

Experts say Americans WILL have to cut back on meat | Daily Mail Online

For many years climate alarmists have been accusing cows of causing global warming.

Cows wear BACKPACKS to capture methane emissions | Daily Mail Online

“Let’s Talk Science” says that CO2 causes 76% of the greenhouse effect on Earth and methane causes 16%. They say that CH4 traps 30 times as much heat as CO2.

Cows, Methane, and Climate Change | Let’s Talk Science

Arrhenius made the same mistake in the 19th century of not recognizing water vapor as the dominant greenhouse gas, and the claim of 30X for methane is a baseless number which climate alarmists have been steadily inflating for decades.

Global-Warming-Potential-Values

In the real world, Water vapor and CO2 are the only significant greenhouse gases. Methane comprises less than 2 ppm of the atmosphere and has very narrow spectral bands.

File:Atmospheric Transmission.png – Wikimedia Commons

I generated the graph below from the RRTM radiative transfer model used by NCAR. It shows the amount of downwelling longwave radiation (DLWR) for H2O, CO2 and CH4 when concentration of each gas is varied from 1% to 100% of current levels. Varying concentrations of H2O produce large changes in DLWR, CO2 much less, and CH4 produces almost no change.  Methane is not a significant greenhouse gas on earth.

Five years ago, Scientific American said meat consumption was having staggering impacts on global warming, implying that 1.7 ppm CH4 was burning up the planet.

People Still Don’t Get the Link between Meat Consumption and Climate Change – Scientific American Blog Network

And a few months later they said we may have to move to Titan, which has an atmosphere rich in CH4 and temperatures of -300F.

Let’s Colonize Titan – Scientific American Blog Network

According to the experts 1.7 ppm CH4 is burning up Earth and making it uninhabitable – but Titan is incredibly cold despite having so much methane in their troposphere that it comes down as rain.