What Really Drives The Climate?

In 2010, NASA said that CO2 controls earth’s temperature.

NASA – Carbon Dioxide Controls Earth’s Temperature

This is based on Antarctic ice cores which show CO2 and temperature moving in lockstep over the past 600,000 years.

New Antarctic Ice Core Data

But other temperature records show no correlation. The 1990 IPCC report showed that the warmest periods of the past ten thousand and one thousand years occurred when CO2 levels were much lower.


There was much less ice around the world during the Middle Ages.

14 Aug 1929 – EUROPEAN GLACIERS. – Trove

History of Glaciers in Glacier National Park

The Arctic may have been ice-free 6,600 years ago.

Less Ice In Arctic Ocean 6000-7000 Years Ago — ScienceDaily

Trees grew all the way to the edge of Arctic Ocean 5,000 years ago.

Over a geologic timeframe, there is no correlation between CO2 and temperature. For example, there was an ice age during the Late Ordovician with CO2 levels ten times higher than now.

Global temperature and atmospheric CO2 over geological time (600 mya)…. | Download Scientific Diagram

So what actually controls the climate?  The cold weather this year is due to oceanic circulation patterns. The Pacific Ocean gets cold during La Nina episodes, and warm during El Nino episodes.

Climate Reanalyzer

But longer term the temperature seems to be largely controlled by the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation, which has a cycle of about 70 years, and peaked in 1878.

Wood for Trees: Interactive Graphs

There was no winter in Minnesota that year.

19 Mar 1878, Page 2 – Star Tribune at Newspapers.com

Australia had record heat.

14 Jan 1878 – Great Heat in the Interior. – Trove

12 Jul 1878 – INDIA. – Trove

And China had a famine which killed nearly ten million people.

15 Jun 1931, Page 6 – Montana Butte Standard at Newspapers.com

28 Jan 1878 – UNIVERSAL DROUGHT. – Trove

This graph from NASA shows the actual measured temperatures at the capital of Iceland, before they tamper with the data.

Data.GISS: GISS Surface Temperature Analysis

If we overlay the AMO graph on the Reykjavik graph, there is almost a perfect match.

There is no evidence that CO2 controls the climate. The ice core graph is a misinterpretation. Warmer seawater can hold less less dissolved CO2 than cold water, and when the ocean warms it outgases CO2 – and vice-versa. Rising and falling CO2 in the ice core record is driven by variation in temperature rather than being the driver.

New Antarctic Ice Core Data

So what is wrong with NASA? The people who took us to the moon would like to know.

NASA Global Warming Stance Blasted By 49 Astronauts, Scientists Who Once Worked At Agency