Flashback to less than one year ago.
NSIDC shows a totally different story :
http://nsidc.org/images/arcticseaicenews/20100804_Figure4.png
By spring 2011, we should see a large increase in multi-year ice. The remaining blue ice in the map above will become green multi-year ice. The only things which could prevent this now would be an asteroid impact or strong winds which blow the ice out into the North Atlantic over the winter.
Steven Goddard says: “The only things which could prevent this now would be an asteroid impact or strong winds which blow the ice out into the North Atlantic over the winter. ”
You missed a possibility – Post Normal Science “adjustments”.