What Causes Changes In Oceanic Heat Content?

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Clouds are the key variable. When the sun shines on the ocean at a low angle of incidence, SW radiation enters the water and heats it. When it is cloudy, less heat enters the water.

So a critical factor in predicting changes to ocean heat content is being able to forecast clouds. If you can’t model clouds accurately, you can’t forecast changes in ocean heat content. If you can’t forecast changes in ocean heat content, you can’t forecast changes in climate. Period.

Climate models don’t model clouds accurately.

About Tony Heller

Just having fun
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8 Responses to What Causes Changes In Oceanic Heat Content?

  1. “Climate models don’t model clouds accurately.”

    So I think you’re trying to say they are not trustworthy.

  2. Steve Koch says:

    Sunlight can penetrate water much, much deeper than LW radiation.

    Cloud formation not only leads to sunlight being reflected back to outer space but it also facilitates a faster hydrologic cycle. The faster the hydrologic cycle, the faster some of the energy released from condensation can escape to outer space (thus cooling the earth).

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