Disappeared : Met Office 2007 Global Forecast

4 January 2007

2007 – forecast to be the warmest year yet

2007 is likely to be the warmest year on record globally, beating the current record set in 1998, say climate-change experts at the Met Office.

Each January the Met Office, in conjunction with the University of East Anglia, issues a forecast of the global surface temperature for the coming year. The forecast takes into account known contributing factors, such as solar effects, El Niño, greenhouse gases concentrations and other multi-decadal influences. Over the previous seven years, the Met Office forecast of annual global temperature has proved remarkably accurate, with a mean forecast error size of just 0.06 °C.

http://webarchive.nationalarchives.gov.uk/

Here is what it looks like on their web site.

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/corporate/pressoffice/2007/pr20070104.html

This is what actually happened in 2007. Temperatures plummeted by half a degree.

http://www.woodfortrees.org/plot/uah/from:2007/to:2008