Trying to get beyond the standard scientific disclaimer that no single weather event can be pinned on global warming, government scientists on Tuesday unveiled a new framework: what are the odds of a specific event being impacted by warming?
They tested it on several extreme events in 2011 — a strong La Nina year — and, in the case of the record Texas drought, concluded that such severe dry spells are 20 more times likely during a La Nina year today than a La Nina in the 1960s, before greenhouse gas emissions jumped.
“Conditions leading to droughts such as the one that occurred in Texas in 2011 are, at least in the case of temperature, distinctly more probable than they were 40-50 years ago,” researchers concluded in a new study.
“It’s quite striking,” Peter Stott told reporters Tuesday at a briefing organized by his employer, Britain’s weather service, and the U.S. National Climatic Data Center.
2011 Texas drought was 20 times more likely due to warming, study says – U.S. News
Peter is either wildly incompetent or dishonest. The severity of the droughts in Texas during the 1950s and 1960s was much worse than recent years. He didn’t bother to check the most fundamental facts before going to press.
Texas, Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI), June-May 1896-2012
h/t to John Bogen
More than half a million homes and businesses will be at “significant” risk of flooding in the future without more investment in flood defences, the Government’s advisers on climate change have warned.
Floods which have had a devastating impact in the past few weeks are likely to become more common in the future as the climate changes and increases the chances of extreme weather, Lord Krebs of the Committee on Climate Change said.
Around 610,000 properties will be at significant risk of flooding by 2035 without action
etc etc etc
http://news.sky.com/story/958653/flooding-risk-to-half-a-million-uk-properties
HERE’s a convenient link to NOAAs propaganda campaign from CBS News:
http://www.cbsnews.com/8301-18563_162-57469878/noaa-links-extreme-weather-to-climate-change/
never let the truth get in the way of a good warmist scare story:-)
… Conditions leading to droughts such as the one that occurred in Texas in 2011 are, at least in the case of temperature, distinctly more probable than they were 40-50 years ago …
What the hell does that mean?
If it’s cold but dry, what then?