US government experts say that Arctic will be ice-free this summer. I don’t have the credentials to disagree with such brilliant people, so I have updated the death spiral to show a likely trajectory.
BBC NEWS | Science/Nature | Arctic summers ice-free ‘by 2013’
back in time!
Well I have to say with someone with even less knowledge than you, that I’m rather worried around the 20th July as it all sems to go pear shaped from then. I wonder what happens if you actually farm pears and have a good year, is ‘pear shaped’ an inappropriate term then?
Here is a blast from the past.
Thanks, Steve! That made me laugh.
Ditto – that’s a keeper! Maybe you should sell it to the Guardian to publish?
Last June it took a nose-dive at start of the month, so it could do the same this year if another arctic cyclone hits or something. It would be nice to have a year with normal sea ice melt so I don’t have to listen to the BS all summer. Of course, then we may just hear crickets.
Bill:
There is no such animal as “Normal” sea ice “Melt” in either the Arctic or Antarctic regions. There is variable sea ice conditions in those regions and the conditions vary over longer periods than humans have existed. There will be less ice just before the ice starts increasing each year and more ice just before the ice starts decreasing each year. The extent of those conditions is where the variations comes in and those are mostly based on ice flow patterns, due to currents and winds.
People see what they want to see when they put a microscope to a highly variable data set.
Will:
From what I have read about the regions any thing from months of zero ice to year round ice is within Normal bounds.
Lmfao!
Here are the NASA geniuses predicting mostly ice-free arctic in 2013
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ztz3ZdPbdKo
ROTFLMFAO!
Best one yet!