Below Scenario D

Even with Gavin’s best cheating, temperatures are far below 1990 IPCC scenario D

ScreenHunter_5502 Dec. 23 06.59 ScreenHunter_5500 Dec. 23 06.54

About Tony Heller

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12 Responses to Below Scenario D

  1. Tom Woods says:

    It should also be noted that CO2 emissions have been far higher than the BAU scenario presented in the 1990 IPCC report. For example, it was assumed we wouldn’t reach 10GtCO2/yr until 2020-2025 from a 1.5-2ppm/yr growth rate. We hit that mark this year and CO2 accumulation in the atmosphere has been roughly 2.5ppm/yr.

    So reality of emissions is WORSE than the BAU scenario but reality of temperatures is LESS than the 100% phase out of carbon by 2000.

  2. Gail Combs says:

    Taking the numbers of the graph and the GISS ‘adjusted’ data the earth is still ~0.6 degrees cooler than predicted for business as usual.

    Consider the building of Coal plants in India, China and other third world countries has greatly expanded thanks to the World Bank (20% US tax payer financed) lending programs the CO2 output should be higher than ‘business as usual’

    The World Bank released a very inflammatory document screaming about the dangers of CAGW: The World Bank 4 degree report in full here and summary for policymakers here.

    But was then caught with it’s pants down:

    http://co2scorecard.org/Content/uploads/WB_Exhibit_1.jpg

  3. Gail Combs says:

    Sorry as usual the damaging documents have been ‘disappeared’

    WUWT has a discussion of the report:
    When bankers turn climatologists

  4. emsnews says:

    With bankers, all you have to do is follow the money! 🙂

  5. talldave2 says:

    Wow, that’s interesting — it’s the same verbiage as Hansen’s 1988 presentation to Congress. More evidence (as if any was needed) that modellers used Scenario A as a prediction for what would happen if emissions rose exactly the way they actually did.

  6. Don says:

    Gavin needs to get to work, pronto!

  7. Sparks says:

    Is that orange squiggle line supposed to be a temperature record? or an ‘anomaly’ of a temperature record? serious question.

    • Gail Combs says:

      It is GISS so it is a messaged, mutilated and adjusted ‘anomaly’ of the temperature record after all the rural stations have been deleted.

      Even with all their contortions they still could not get an ‘anomaly’ of the temperature record to agree with their predictions.

      That is why they booted Hansen and brought in a mathematician (Gavin Schmidt) to wrestle the data into compliance. So far he has managed to get 2014 to be the WARMEST YEAR EVAHHhhh. Mean while Hansen is free for lectures and protests.

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