“If the data manipulation trend continues, as is expected, the 2010 record will not stand for long”

NASA Research Finds 2010 Tied for Warmest Year on Record

January 12, 2011

Global surface temperatures in 2010 tied 2005 as the warmest on record, according to an analysis released Wednesday by researchers at NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) in New York.

In 2010, global temperatures continued to rise. A new analysis from the Goddard Institute for Space Studies shows that 2010 tied with 2005 as the warmest year on record, and was part of the warmest decade on record. (Image credit: NASA/Earth Observatory/Robert Simmon)

The two years differed by less than 0.018 degrees Fahrenheit. The difference is smaller than the uncertainty in comparing the temperatures of recent years, putting them into a statistical tie. In the new analysis, the next warmest years are 1998, 2002, 2003, 2006, 2007 and 2009, which are statistically tied for third warmest year. The GISS records begin in 1880.

The analysis found 2010 approximately 1.34°F warmer than the average global surface temperature from 1951 to 1980. To measure climate change, scientists look at long-term trends. The temperature trend, including data from 2010, shows the climate has warmed by approximately 0.36°F per decade since the late 1970s.

“If the warming trend continues, as is expected, if greenhouse gases continue to increase, the 2010 record will not stand for long,” said James Hansen, the director of GISS.

http://www.giss.nasa.gov/research/news/20110112/

About Tony Heller

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11 Responses to “If the data manipulation trend continues, as is expected, the 2010 record will not stand for long”

  1. Latitude says:

    2005 and 2010 are statistically tied, that’s half a decade….
    Which means fours years in between were cooler…..
    Which means temperatures have gone down not up….
    Which means temperatures did not warm 0.18F that half decade….

    If they really believed in this crap they would be happy………..

  2. NOAA, GISS, the American government data sets in are the only ones showing this about 2010. Other data sets do not. The fix is in.

  3. Myron Mesecke says:

    “The analysis found 2010 approximately 1.34°F warmer than the average global surface temperature from 1951 to 1980. To measure climate change, scientists look at long-term trends. The temperature trend, including data from 2010, shows the climate has warmed by approximately 0.36°F per decade since the late 1970s.”

    Let’s cherry pick the cold years to show how warm it is now.

  4. Dave N says:

    Nice logical fallacy, Jim. If last year is tied for warmest, the warming trend isn’t continuing; it has stopped. If 1998 was close to the same, the lack of trend applies for more than a decade. Hansen wouldn’t know if a trend is continuing if it whacked him in the head.

    Of course that’s all in spite of the manipulations, so it makes a bigger mockery of his delusions.

  5. Justa Joe says:

    If this year is the Hottest Year Evah! then the designation has no significance.

  6. JK says:

    Hm, haven’t been here in quite a while Steve, but I see it is lamer than back when you started it. At least your ideological bias is a bit clearer.

  7. PhilJourdan says:

    The difference is smaller than the uncertainty in comparing the temperatures of recent years, putting them into a statistical tie.

    While I am sure most statisticians will applaud that admission, most mathematicians will again point out that differences that extend beyond the measure of accuracy are meaningless. You cannot say something is 1/100 different if you are only measuring in tenths.

  8. rw says:

    The simple fact of the matter is that you can’t have a “warmest year on record” with all these indicators of increasing cold. So someone is FOS.

    Students of history, check out (if you haven’t already read it) “The European witch craze of the sixteenth and seventeenth centuries” in The Crisis of the 17th Century by Hugh Trevor-Roper. Talk about consensus …

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