On January 18, 2022, NPR predicted record low Great Lakes ice cover. Two weeks later ice coverage was above average.
Great Lakes researchers predict record-low ice coverage – Great Lakes Now
Lake Erie ice cover now is close to 100%, which has only happened a few times in the past.
Looks like equal number of events with above 25 and below 5. Since you can’t go very much below 5, the extremes, like above 30 pull the average upward. If you eliminate them, the average is even lower.
Oh, and what does Grok “think”, i.e. parrot, about that? Can he be asked a complex question like: Given that the Great Lakes have historical ice coverage, is it possible that both the Great Lakes and Siberia will remain undesirable places to live into the extended future? Does Grok recognize when he conflicts with himself?