Thursday, April 05, 2007
Global warming is turning the Southwest into a permanent Dust Bowl, where the dry conditions of our worst 20th century droughts — the 1930s and 1950s — become the norm over the next century, according to new research.
Global warming will push our winter storm track, which brings the region much of its moisture, to the north, according to Richard Seager at Columbia University’s Lamont Doherty Earth Observatory.
They suggest a fundamentally new kind of drought here — not the occasional unusually dry stretches of the type the region saw in the 1930s and 1950s, but a climate that is that dry all the time.
Winter precipitation has been increasing in the southwest, with the last 30 years being the wettest period on record. Incompetence appears to be the key to being a successful climate scientist.
Pure incompetence would yield a result that resembles good randomness. Always erring in one direction requires a desire to manipulate the results.
Yesterday on NPR a state water official claimed the Pecos river used to be 5 miles wide (within the lifetimes of older folks still with us) and that NM was at the start of a 100 year drought. As this was being aired, I was driving through a torrential down pour of rain from Albuquerque to Edgewood. Visibility was almost nil on the interstate and it was 47 degrees in the late afternoon, very cool for mid-May.
I used to work as a wilderness ranger at the headwaters of the Pecos River (near Truchas Lake in the Pecos Wilderness.) The large Aspen groves near there are the result of catastrophic fires in the 1890s.
Bigtooth Maple trees used to grow in the mountains near Santa Fe, but the 1930s drought wiped them out and their range receded south to the Manzano Mountains. The 1950s were incredibly dry in New Mexico – much drier than anything before or after. These experts have no idea what they are talking about. They just pull anecdotal BS out of their ass.
Unfortunately major universes like Columbia, Harvard, MIT, Stanford, Cambridge, etc. joined forces with the UK’s Royal Society, the US National Academy of Sciences, the United Nations as mouthpieces for politicians who distribute public funds for research, alias skilled manipulation of observations into government propaganda.
Since ordinary citizens are darn mad at politicians now, the UK’s Royal Society, the US National Academy of Sciences and the United Nations will either clean up the mess or the politicians themselves will be removed from office.
http://judithcurry.com/2012/05/11/the-bias-of-science/#comment-199866
With kind regards,
Oliver K. Manuel
Former NASA Principal
Investigator for Apollo
http://omanuel.wordpress.com/about/
The United Nations? Give me a break. Climate change is such an opportunity for cash funding, influence, and control – especially for “third world” nations that they are going to be the last group in this club to give up climate change. It’s an unprecedented opportunity for them.
“Global warming is turning the Southwest into a permanent Dust Bowl”? Hate to break the news, but the Southwest was a desert long before AGW became a factor.
Did you mean to put up the precipitation graph? You have posted the temperature graph.
It’s pretty dry in winter (Dec-Feb ave 2.62″) but increasing at 0.03″/decade.
Fixed, thanks.
Someone forgot to look at drought conditions in that region for the last 10,000 years. There is evidence of multi hundred year droughts. But then, How can an arid region experience a drought. It can experience wetter that normal years, but arid is a permanent drought.