Real Climate Science

“In the days and months after the July floods that devastated much of Vermont, Lesley-Ann Dupigny-Giroux’s inbox filled with requests.

During that July storm, the skies opened, drowning some parts of Vermont with up to 9 inches of rain in 48 hours. Afterward, government officials and members of the media turned to Dupigny-Giroux, Vermont’s state climatologist, to understand the storm’s link to a globally changing climate.

In an interview with Vermont Public, she described plumes of water vapor that had risen from the Atlantic Ocean and headed west to the Green Mountains — a product of warm air temperatures. To a VTDigger reporter, she explained the role that Vermont’s mountains can play by cooling humid air to create clouds. With the Washington Post, she spoke about the odds that so many inches of rain would fall on Vermont.

In recent years, Vermonters have struggled to adapt to a climate that appears to be changing swiftly. In addition to the July storm, swings between wet weather and drought conditions have presented farmers and loggers with steep challenges”

As Vermont’s climate changes, more Vermonters rely on Lesley-Ann Dupigny-Giroux, the state climatologist – VTDigger

Vermont has a long history of floods, with the worst one occurring in 1927

1927

2011

1869

1938

1973

Flooding in Vermont

There is no indication that either temperature or precipitation has become more extreme in Vermont

The 1932 Winter Olympics across Lake Champlain from Vermont, almost had to be cancelled because of a lack of snow.

16 Jan 1932, Page 1 – The Los Angeles Times 

15 Jan 1932, 26 – The Boston Globe at Newspapers.com

A short look at how the National Climate Assessment is misleading people about US forest fires.

For more than 50 years, experts have been saying we only have ten years left to save the planet.

“WASHINGTON — The overall temperature of the Earth rose sharply this year, signaling the beginning of the “greenhouse effect” and significantly increasing the likelihood of droughts and heatwaves in the Southeast and Midwest, a NASA scientist told the Senate.”

June 24, 1988

24 Jun 1988, 1 – The Miami News at Newspapers.com

The most severe drought in the Midwest occurred in July 1934, and the wettest period was January 2020.

ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/cirs/climdiv/climdiv-pdsidv-v1.0.0-20231206

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“One core point I want to make is that we have one single mission, one single job at this point, and it’s to stop the fossil fuel industry”

2:48 PM · Jul 26, 2023

“She is Lead Author for the IPCC’s 6th Assessment Report with Working Group 3.”

About me – Professor Julia K. Steinberger

“Sinking atolls

I hate to put this so bluntly, but in all probability nothing can save the Pacific island of Tuvalu. Like a slowly boiling kettle, the oceanic system has very long response time to changing conditions, and the seas will go on slowly rising for centuries even if all greenhouse gas emissions stopped tomorrow. With Tuvalu already experiencing regular flooding events due to past sea level rise-as I documented in High Tide-this extra rise in the world’s oceans will sound the death knell for this fascinating and lively island society.”

Six Degrees: Our Future on a Hotter Planet:

Tuvalu is growing.

“Here we present analysis of shoreline change in all 101 islands in the Pacific atoll nation of Tuvalu. Using remotely sensed data, change is analysed over the past four decades, a period when local sea level has risen at twice the global average (~3.90?±?0.4?mm.yr^?1). Results highlight a net increase in land area in Tuvalu of 73.5?ha (2.9%)”

Patterns of island change and persistence offer alternate adaptation pathways for atoll nations | Nature Communications

“Over the next several decades, the Western United States and the semi-arid region from North Dakota to Texas will develop semi-permanent drought”

James Hansen 2012

Opinion | Game Over for the Climate – The New York Times

There is no indication drought is increasing in those states.

Palmer Drought Severity Index (Dakotas, Nebraska, Kansas, Oklahoma, Texas)

ncei.noaa.gov/pub/data/cirs/climdiv/climdiv-pdsidv-v1.0.0-20231206

“I do not wish to seem overdramatic, but 1 can only conclude from the information that is available to me as Secretary General, that the Members of the United Nations have perhaps ten years left in which to subordinate their ancient quarrels and launch a global partnership to curb the arms race, to improve the human environment, to defuse the population explosion, and to supply the required momentum to development efforts. If such a global partnership is not forged within the next decade, then I very much fear that the problems I have mentioned will have reached such staggering proportions that they will be beyond our capacity to control.”

U THANT, 1969

The Limits to Growth. A report for the Club of Rome’s project on the predicament of mankind.

“The Common Enemy or Humanity Is Man

In searching for a new enemy to unite us, we came up with the idea that pollution, the threat of global warming, water shortages, famine and the like would fit the bill. In their totality and in their interactions these phenomena do constitute a common threat which demands the solidarity of all peoples. But in designating them as the enemy, we fall into the trap about which we have already warned, namely mistaking symptoms for causes. All these dangers are caused by human intervention and it is only through changed attitudes and behaviour that they can be overcome. The real enemy, then, is humanity itself.”

Club of Rome 1991

The First Global Revolution A Report By The Council Of The Club Of Rome Alexander King, Bertrand Schneider Random House, Inc. Pantheon Books ( 1991)

“Exhaled human breath can contain small, elevated concentrations of methane (CH4) and nitrous oxide (N2O), both of which contribute to global warming. “

Measurements of methane and nitrous oxide in human breath and the development of UK scale emissions – PubMed