Real Climate Science

“Stephen Schneider of the National Center for Atmospheric Research described the scientists’ dilemma this way: “On the one hand, as scientists, we are ethically bound to the scientific method, in effect promising to tell the truth, the whole truth, and nothing but—which means that we must include all the doubts, the caveats, the ifs, ands, and buts. On the other hand, we are not just scientists but human beings as well.

And like most people we’d like to see the world a better place, which in this context translates into our working to reduce the risk of potentially disastrous climatic change. To do that we need to get some broad-based support, to capture the public’s imagination. That, of course, entails getting loads of media coverage. So we have to offer up scary scenarios, make simplified, dramatic statements, and make little mention of any doubts we might have. This ‘double ethical bind’ we frequently find ourselves in cannot be solved by any formula. Each of us has to decide what the right balance is between being effective and being honest. I hope that means being both.”

Discover Magazine October 1989

“Ebike ‘graveyard’ spotted outside Altens unit after operator pulls out of Aberdeen rental scheme”

Ebike ‘graveyard’ spotted outside Altens unit after operator pulls out

It has been almost twenty years since John McCain tried to stop the climate from changing, by choking off economic growth and providing money for students to study the climate scam.

McCain, Lieberman Laud Bi-Partisan House Climate Change Bill – U.S. Senate Commi…

“2003 Climate Stewardship Act
The first Act (S. 139, H.R. 4067) was defeated in the U.S. Senate by 55 votes to 43.[1][2]

If passed, it would have capped 2010 CO2 emissions at the 2000 level. Residential and agricultural areas, as well as other areas deemed “not feasible”, would be exempt. As such, approximately 85% of the United States’ emissions would have been covered for the year 2000. The bill would have also established a scholarship at the National Academy of Sciences for those studying climatology.[1]

Climate Stewardship Acts – Wikipedia

“Sadly, these live-streamed bald eagle eggs likely won’t hatch
MAR 18, 2024

‘Resilient’ parents Jackie and Shadow continue to incubate their eggs as snow falls in Big Bear Valley.

Though they’ve captivated the internet since late February, three eagle eggs in a nest in Southern California are unlikely to hatch. Parents Jakie and Shadow continue to take turns keeping the eggs warm, as snow dots their nest overlooking Big Bear Lake in the San Bernardino Mountains.”

Sadly, these live-streamed bald eagle eggs likely won’t hatch | Popular Science

“An example of the rising temperature is that of Spitzbergen, only 800 miles from the North Pole. In 30 years the average winter level of the thermometer has gone up by nine degrees Celsius.

Vanishing ice

The ice-packs which once used to ring the north coast of Iceland for several months of the year allowing no passage, now only span the same area for 60 days. The almost impenetrable barrier in the Polar Sea has been replaced by ineffective floes lashing through the waves.”

“So much ice has vanished on Greenland,” the Swedish scientist explained after a careful survey, “that the entire character of this northern country has changed.”

Turning to Alaska, Professor Ahlmann estimates that the glaciers are retreating at the rate of 900 feet a year. Some of them have presented a unique sight for decades, their sheer drop into the water from high altitudes displaying a rare spectacle.

Meanwhile the people in Europe have again wondered at the lack of snow in the valleys. And it certainly was not a white Christmas for those who can remember the heavy snow falls last century.

Scientists believe that the melting of ice in the polar regions indicates a radical change in climatic conditions.”

World’s News (Sydney, NSW : 1901 – 1955), Saturday 4 March 1950,

04 Mar 1950 – It’s even hotter near the pole – Trove

“The Arctic may be close to a tipping point that sees all-year-round ice disappear very rapidly in the next few decades, US scientists have warned.

The latest data presented at the American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting suggests the ice is no longer showing a robust recovery from the summer melt.

Last month, the sea that was frozen covered an area that was two million sq km less than the historical average.

“That’s an area the size of Alaska,” said leading ice expert Mark Serreze.
“We’re no longer recovering well in autumn anymore. The ice pack may now be starting to get preconditioned, perhaps to show very rapid losses in the near future,” the University of Colorado researcher added.

The sea ice reached its minimum extent this year on 14 September, making 2006 the fourth lowest on record in 29 years of satellite record-keeping and just shy of the all time minimum of 2005.

‘Feedback loop’

Dr Serreze’s concern was underlined by new computer modelling which concludes that the Arctic may be free of all summer ice by as early as 2040.”

December 2006

BBC NEWS | Science/Nature | Arctic sea ice ‘faces rapid melt’

Fortune Magazine February 1974

“Climatologists now blame those recurring droughts and floods on a global cooling trend.

It could bring massive tragedies for mankind.

The changes, which are charted on the facing page, began with a pronounced warming trend after about 1890. Mean temperatures peaked in 1945 and have been dropping sharply ever since. The total drop since the Forties — about 2.7° F.—hardly seems dramatic, but the effects have been substantial.
Icelandic fishing fleets that learned to range northward during the warm period have now had to return to traditional waters to the south. For the first time in this century, ships making for Iceland’s ports have found navigation impeded by drifting ice. Since the late Fifties, Iceland’s per-acre yield of hay has dropped 25 percent.

In North America, the armadillo extended its range as far north as Nebraska during the warming trend, and now is beating a retreat southward again. In England, the average growing season is two weeks shorter than it was prior to 1950. As Lamb puts it, “Global temperatures since 1945 constitute, we believe, the longest unbroken trend downward in hundreds of years.”

“A grim prospect for India is suggested by the chart below drawn from data compiled by Reid Bryson. Droughts in northern India declined in frequency during the period when the world was getting warmer, but have been increasing in recent years. Points on the chart indicate the proportion of weather stations whose average rainfall for the previous ten years was less than 50 percent of normal. The red line shows India’s population growth, which Bryson contends was encouraged by the unusual interlude of favorable climate.”

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“Inside the right-wing conspiracy to thwart the clean energy transition”

Inside the right-wing conspiracy to thwart the clean… | Canary Media

“Climate-Science Deniers, Right-Wing Think Tanks, and Fossil Fuel Shills Are Plotting Against the Clean Energy Transition”

Climate-Science Deniers, Right-Wing Think Tanks, and Fossil Fuel Shills Are Plotting Against the Clean Energy Transition | Sierra Club

My wind and solar installation is currently producing 0 watts.

Wind and solar continue to be nearly irrelevant around the world.

Primary energy consumption by source, World

With ice extent above the 21st century average and little trend for seventeen years, experts have pushed their predictions of an ice-free Arctic out a few years.

“the earliest ice-free conditions (the first single occurrence of an ice-free Arctic) could occur in 2020–2030s under all emission trajectories and are likely to occur by 2050. However, daily September ice-free conditions are expected approximately 4?years earlier on average, with the possibility of preceding monthly metrics by 10?years. Consistently ice-free September conditions (frequent occurrences of an ice-free Arctic) are anticipated by mid-century (by 2035–2067)”

10.1038_s43017-023-00515-9-references

Projections of an ice-free Arctic Ocean | Nature Reviews Earth & Environment

ftp://osisaf.met.no/prod_test/ice/index/v2p2/nh/osisaf_nh_sie_daily.txt

Perhaps a more reasonable forecast would be 3550.