Monthly Archives: September 2010

The blink comparator above shows the difficulty in forecasting Arctic weather and ice. For the last two weeks, NCEP has been forecasting cold, calm weather over the western Arctic by the second week of September. The September 9 target forecasts … Continue reading →

http://newyork.cbslocal.com/2010/09/07/long-island-man-arrested-for-defending-home-with-ak-47/ UNIONDALE, N.Y. (CBS 2) — He was arrested for protecting his property and family.

There has been a lot of discussion on the various threads about whether or not PIPS thickness calculations include concentration. It is pretty clear from the blink comparator above that PIPS does consider concentration. Areas of lower concentration correspond to … Continue reading →

http://www.web-censorship.org My buddy Joe Romm wrote up a nice piece about me today, but for some reason doesn’t seem to want to print my responses.

Below is the PIOMAS forecast vs. actual. Red represents areas where they over-predicted melt. Green is the opposite. Their forecast error is 20%, compared to my 7%. http://psc.apl.washington.edu/zhang/IDAO/seasonal_outlook.html

My friend Joe is claiming today that Arctic ice volume is at a record low. I challenge him to contact Julienne Stroeve at NSIDC, and get her opinion. Is 2010 Arctic ice volume really lower than 2008? I just posted … Continue reading →

http://www.savethepoudre.org/ I have been a Whole Foods Market shopper for almost their entire existence, going back to one of their first stores in Austin, Texas. A few years ago they stopped packing groceries in plastic bags, because of a theory … Continue reading →

http://www.weatherstreet.com/hurricane/2010/hurricane-climatology.gif On August 5, NOAA reiterated their belief that this would be an active hurricane season

They make money by selling their brand of prejudice to people of like mind. Their cover story this week could have been written in Germany during the 1930s.

http://tvtropes.org The Wrong Way to Do Science is to start with a conclusion, and then look for evidence to back it up.