Historical Proxy Study Shows That Climate Scientists Have No Skill At Forecasting The Future

The proxy is their past predictions

http://newsbusters.org/node/11640

CLIMATOLOGY
January 5, 1855, Wednesday
Page 4, 863 words
DISPLAYING FIRST PARAGRAPH – As the climate of every country has an inseparable relation with the physical character of its inhabitants, the attention of the Government was directed, some few years since, to the collection of correct meteorological statistics throughout the whole of the United States.
THIS CLIMATE OF OURS; WHY THESE OPEN WINTERS AND TEMPERATE SUMMERS? THE GEOLOGICAL EVIDENCE OF THE ALTERNATE PREVALENCE OF A SEMITROPICAL ATMOSPHERE.
Climate Perculiarities of New-York.
January 2, 1870, Wednesday
Page 4, 500 words
DISPLAYING FIRST PARAGRAPH – The climate of New-York and the contigu ons Atlantic seaboard has long been a study of great interest. We have just experienced a remarkable instance of its peculiarity The Hudson River, by a singular freak of temperature, has thrown off its icy mantle and opened its waters to navigation.
IS CLIMATE CHANGING?–
March 25, 1888, Wednesday
Page 13, 440 words
DISPLAYING FIRST PARAGRAPH – Formerly wine was made in England, the change of climate might be the principal reason that this manufacture does not now flourish. There are, however, many reasons why British wine …
IS OUR CLIMATE CHANGING?
February 3, 1889, Wednesday
Page 4, 778 words
DISPLAYING FIRST PARAGRAPH – An article in the Forum for February is upon the subject of the much-talked-of change in our climate. The writer, Prof. CLEVELAND ABBE, says that the notion that it is possible for a climate to change to a modern one. Our ancestors lived in a region …
THIS CLIMATE OF OURS; WHY THESE OPEN WINTERS AND TEMPERATE SUMMERS? THE GEOLOGICAL EVIDENCE OF THE ALTERNATE PREVALENCE OF A SEMITROPICAL ATMOSPHERE.
June 23, 1890, Wednesday
Page 5, 1905 words
DISPLAYING FIRST PARAGRAPH – Is our climate changing? The succession of temperate Summers and open Winters through several years, culminating last Winter in the almost total failure of the ice crop throughout the valley of the Hudson, makes the question pertinent. The older inhabitants tell us that the Winters are not as cold now as when they were young, and we have all observed a marked diminution of the average cold even in this last decade.
FACT AND FANCY ABOUT CLIMATE; Prof. Ward in His New Book Discusses Various Popular Notions Regarding the Weather.
May 30, 1908, Saturday
Section: SATURDAY REVIEW OF BOOKS, Page 18, 1432 words
DISPLAYING FIRST PARAGRAPH – AS popular misconceptions of variations in the weather are frequent and shiding, Prof. Ward has rendered the public a service in producing a book on climate which “can be read by an intelligent person who has not had special or extended training in the technicalities of the science.”
Nation Is Held on Verge of Climate Shift; Experts See Old-Fashioned Winters Back
December 16, 1934, Sunday
By The Associated Press.
Section: SECOND NEWS SECTION, Page N8, 361 words
DISPLAYING FIRST PARAGRAPH – WASHINGTON, Dec. 15. — America is believed by Weather Bureau scientists to be on the verge of a change of climate, with a return to increasing rains and deeper snows and the colder Winters of grandfather’s day.
Warming Arctic Climate Melting Glaciers Faster, Raising Ocean Level, Scientist Says
May 30, 1947, Friday
By GLADWIN HILLSpecial to THE NEW YORK TIMES.
Page 23, 366 words
DISPLAYING FIRST PARAGRAPH – LOS ANGELES, May 29 — A mysterious warming of the climate is slowly manifesting itself in the Arctic, engendering a “serious international problem,” Dr. Hans Ahlmann, noted Swedish geophysicist, said today.
Is Climate Changing?; Habits of Mammals and Birds Suggest World Is Warmer
October 15, 1950, Sunday
Section: The Week In Review, Page E9, 461 words
DISPLAYING FIRST PARAGRAPH – Is the world warming up? Dr. Joseph J. Hickey, Professor of Wildlife Management at the University of Wisconsin, holds that it is. He has drawn his evidence from the changing habits of some half-dozen species of mammals …
How Industry May Change Climate
May 24, 1953, Sunday
W. K.
Section: REVIEW OF THE WEEK EDITORIALS, Page E11, 470 words
DISPLAYING FIRST PARAGRAPH – The amount of carbon dioxide in the air will double by the year 2080 and raise the temperature an average of at least 4 per cent. The burning of about two billion tons of coal and oil a year keeps the average ground temperature somewhat higher than it would otherwise be.
Greenland’s Moderating Climate Turns Hunters Into Fishermen; Economy Once Based on Sea Mammals Now Depends On Cod Sold for Cash
August 29, 1954, Sunday
By KATHLEEN McLAUGHLIN
Page 2, 696 words
DISPLAYING FIRST PARAGRAPH – UNITED NATIONS, N. Y., Aug. 28 — Greenland’s polar climate has moderated so consistntly that communities of hunters have evolved into fishing villages. Sea mammals, vanishing from the west coast, have been replaced by codfish and other fish species in the area’s southern waters.
CLIMATE WARMING IN THE ANTARCTIC; 5-Degree Rise Over the Last Half Century Is Recorded at Little America ICE IS FOUND THICKER Director of U. S. Program Says Sheet Drops 10,000 Feet in Many Areas

May 31, 1958, Saturday
By WALTER SULLIVAN
Page 17, 778 words
DISPLAYING FIRST PARAGRAPH – An analysis of weather records from Little America shows a steady warming of climate over the last half century. The rise in average temperature at the Antarctic outpost has been about five degrees Fahrenheit.
SCIENCE IN REVIEW; Warmer Climate on the Earth May Be Due To More Carbon Dioxide in the Air
October 28, 1956, Sunday
By WALDEMAR KAEMPFFERT
Section: The Week In Review, Page 191, 904 words
DISPLAYING FIRST PARAGRAPH – The general warming of the climate that has occurred in the last sixty years has been variously explained. Among the explanations are fluctuations in the amount of energy received from the sun, changes in the amount of volcanic …
CLUE TO WEATHER FOUND IN GLACIER;
December 25, 1956, Tuesday
North American Newspaper Alliance.
Page 27, 420 words
DISPLAYING FIRST PARAGRAPH – WASHINGTON, Dec. 24– Seven years of observation of the Great Grinnell Glacier in Glacier National Park has given rise to some comment on weather trends.
Frozen Key To Our Climate; The world’s ice masses may be ushering in a fifth Ice Age. Frozen Key To Our Climate

December 7, 1958, Sunday
By LEONARD ENGEL
Section: Magazine, Page SM72, 2601 words
DISPLAYING FIRST PARAGRAPH – SEVERAL thousand scientists of many nations have recently been climbing mountains, digging tunnels in glaciers, journeying to the Antarctic, camping on floating Arctic ice. Their object has been to solve a fascinating riddle: what is happening to the world’s ice?
A WARMER EARTH EVIDENT AT POLES; Arctic Findings in Particular Support Theory of Rising Global Temperatures
February 15, 1959, Sunday
Special to The New York Times.
Page 112, 305 words
DISPLAYING FIRST PARAGRAPH – WASHINGTON, Feb. 14 — The theory that the world is growing slightly warmer is receiving added confirmation from temperature data
SCIENTISTS AGREE WORLD IS COLDER; But Climate Experts Meeting Here Fail to Agree on Reasons for Change
January 30, 1961, Monday
By WALTER SULLIVAN
Section: BUSINESS FINANCIAL, Page 46, 1326 words
DISPLAYING FIRST PARAGRAPH – After a week of discussions on the causes of climate change, an assembly of specialists from several continents seems to have reached unanimous agreement on only one point: it is getting colder.
EARTH’S WEATHER GROWING COLDER; U.S. Among the Exceptions, Rome Symposium Hears
October 8, 1961, Sunday
Special to The New York Times.
Page 66, 386 words
DISPLAYING FIRST PARAGRAPH – ROME, Oct. 7 — The earth, with few regional exceptions, is undergoing “a persistent cold wave” that began in the Nineteen Forties, a United States weather man told a symposium on climate this week.
Weathermen Try to Explain the Why of Spring That Never Was in 1967
May 31, 1967, Wednesday
By JOHN NOBLE WILFORD
Page 29, 975 words
DISPLAYING FIRST PARAGRAPH – In the year 1816 the year without summer, they called it snow fell in New England and parts of New York in June, July and August. Crops failed. People were impoverished and mystified.
Scientist Hints Earthquake Link To Wobbles in Spinning of Earth; Heirtzler of
November 29, 1968, Friday
By WALTER SULLIVAN
Page 92, 1169 words
DISPLAYING FIRST PARAGRAPH – The head of Columbia University’s Hudson Laboratories, at Dobbs Ferry, N.Y., has suggested that wobbles in the earth’s spin may be responsible for such diverse phenomena as earthquakes, periods of mountain -building and climate
Expert Says Arctic Ocean Will Soon Be an Open Sea; Catastrophic Shifts in Climate Feared if Change Occurs Other Specialists See No Thinning of Polar Ice Cap
February 20, 1969, Thursday
By WALTER SULLIVAN
Page 20, 1691 words
DISPLAYING FIRST PARAGRAPH – Col. Bernt Balchen, polar explorer and flier, is circulating a paper among polar specialists proposing that the Arctic pack ice is thinning and that the ocean at the North Pole may become an open sea within a decade or two.
U.S. and Soviet Press Studies of a Colder Arctic; U.S. and Soviet Press Arctic Studies
July 18, 1970, Saturday
By WALTER SULLIVAN
Page 1, 1398 words
DISPLAYING FIRST PARAGRAPH – The United States and the Soviet Union are mounting large-scale investigations to determine why the Arctic climate is becoming more frigid, why parts of the Arctic sea ice have recently become ominously thicker and whether the extent of that ice cover contributes to the onset of ice ages.
Climate Experts Assay Ice Age Clues
January 27, 1972, Thursday
Special to The New York Times
Section: BUSINESS/FINANCE, Page 74, 731 words
DISPLAYING FIRST PARAGRAPH – PROVIDENCE, R. I., Jan. 26 — After invading Nebraska and Colorado, the armadillos, faced with increasingly frigid weather, are in retreat from those states toward their ancestral home south of the Mexican border. The winter snow accumulation on Baffin Island has increased 35 per cent in the last decade.
Record of a Little Ice Age Is Discovered
February 5, 1972, Saturday
By WALTER SULLIVAN
Page 14, 706 words
DISPLAYING FIRST PARAGRAPH – From a study of ice extracted from deep within the Greenland ice sheet it appears that 89,500 years ago something catastrophic changed the climate from being warmer than today’s to that of a full-fledged ice age.
Scientist Fears Equable Climate Around World Could Be Ending
October 31, 1972, Tuesday
By BOYCE RENSBERGER
Page 25, 645 words
DISPLAYING FIRST PARAGRAPH – The current 12,000-year-old era of comfortable climates around the world may be coming to an end, closing another chapter in what a University of Miami scientist believes has been a history of frequent and relatively short-lived ice ages and warm ages.
FORECAST FOR; FORECASTING: CLOUDY In the long term, climate is cooling off-or is it warming up? As for tomorrow’s weather, even the world’s biggest computer can’t sayfor sure what it will be. Forecasting ‘ A really accurate three-day weather forecast would result in savings of $86-million a year just for growersof wheat in the state of Wisconsin.’

December 29, 1974, Sunday
By Alan Anderson Jr.
Section: SM, Page 156, 4834 words
DISPLAYING FIRST PARAGRAPH – A number of climatologists, whose job it is to keep an eye on long-term weather changes, have lately been predicting deterioration of the benignclimate to which we have grown accustomed.
CLIMATE CHANGES CALLED OMINOUS; Scientists Warn Predictions Must Be Made Precise to Avoid Catastrophe
January 19, 1975, Sunday
By HAROLD M. SCHMECK Jr. Special to The New York Times
Page 31, 1089 words
DISPLAYING FIRST PARAGRAPH – WASHINGTON, Jan. 18 Changes in the earth’s climate are inevitable and mankind must learn to predict these variations to avoid potential catastrophe, a group of prominent scientists has concluded after a two-year study.
Scientists Ask Why World Climate Is Changing; Major Cooling May Be Ahead; Scientists Ponder Why World’s Climate Is Changing; a Major Cooling Widely Considered to Be Inevitable
May 21, 1975, Wednesday
By WALTER SULLIVAN
Page 45, 2828 words
DISPLAYING FIRST PARAGRAPH – The world’s climate is changing. Of that scientists are firmly convinced. But in what direction and why are subjects of deepening debate.
WARMING TREND SEEN IN CLIMATE; Two Articles Counter View That Cold Period Is Due
August 14, 1975, Thursday
By WALTER SULLIVAN
Section: Sports, Page 24, 759 words
DISPLAYING FIRST PARAGRAPH – Articles in two scientific journals have questioned widely publicized predictions that, in coming decades, the world climate will deteriorate severely affecting food production and, perhaps, initiating a new ice age.
Experts Fear Great Peril If SST Fumes Cool Earth
December 21, 1975, Sunday
By WALTER SULLIVAN
Page 32, 1057 words
DISPLAYING FIRST PARAGRAPH – A federally sponsored inquiry into the effects of possible climate changes caused by heavy supersonic traffic in the stratosphere has concluded that even a slight cooling could cost the world from $200 billion to 500 times that much in damage done to agriculture, public health and other effects.
2 Climate Experts Decry Predictions of Disasters; Drought in
February 22, 1976, Sunday
By WALTER SULLIVAN Special to The New York Times
Page 48, 823 words
DISPLAYING FIRST PARAGRAPH – BOSTON, Feb. 21–Two authorities on climate change have termed irresponsible recent predictions of an impending ice age or other climatic disaster. The also said that any global effects of man-made air pollution on the climate to date remained obscure.
International Team of Specialists Finds No End in Sight to 30-Year Cooling Trend in Northern Hemisphere
January 5, 1978, Thursday
By WALTER SULLIVAN
Section: Sports, Page D17, 817 words
DISPLAYING FIRST PARAGRAPH – An international team of specialists has concluded from eight indexes of climate that there is no end in sight to the cooling trend of the last 30 years, at least in the Northern Hemisphere.
Climate Specialists, in Poll, Foresee No Catastrophic Weather Changes in Rest of Century; Warning About Carbon Dioxide
February 18, 1978, Saturday
By WALTER SULLIVAN Special to The New York Times
Page 9, 967 words
DISPLAYING FIRST PARAGRAPH – WASHINGTON, Feb. 17–A poll of climate specialists in seven countries has found a consensus that there will be no catastrophic changes in the climate by the end of the century. But the specialists were almost equally divided on whether there would be a warming, a cooling or no change at all.
Scientists at World Parley Doubt Climate Variations Are Ominous; Forgetting the Past Major Shifts in Past
February 16, 1979, Friday
By WALTER SULLIVAN Special to The New York Times
Section: Business & Finance, Page D13, 688 words
DISPLAYING FIRST PARAGRAPH – GENEVA, Feb. 15 This winter Chicago was paralyzed by snow. Last winter it was Boston. European Russia has just suffered its coldest December in a century. In Britain and Western Europe, the summer of 1976 was the hottest in 250 years.
A Vast ‘Interdisciplinary Effort’ To Predict Climate Trend Urged; Neutralization Needed
February 24, 1979, Saturday
By WALTER SULLIVAN Special to The New York Times
Page 44, 913 words
DISPLAYING FIRST PARAGRAPH – GENEVA, Feb. 23–After exchanging views here for two weeks, the people who know more about climate than anyone else in the world have concluded that climate’s future trends can be predicted in a meaningful way only after “an interdisciplinary effort of unprecedented scope.”
Scientists Reviving Speculation on Climate and Slipping Antarctic Ice; Theory of Linked Events Evidence in Bones Volcanic Dust Theory In Less Than a Century
March 9, 1980, Sunday
By WALTER SULLIVAN
Page 43, 1161 words
DISPLAYING FIRST PARAGRAPH – Scientists are reviving the controversial notion that millions of cubic miles of Antarctic ice can sometimes abruptly slip off the continent into the sea, resulting in extreme increases in global ocean levels and precipitating a dramatic chilling of the world’s climate.
AfricaColumbia Also Suggests a Relationship to Climate Changes Great Ice River in Rockies Shows Long-Range Change Indicating Cold Period Thermometer of the Ages Favorable Trend in Climate