Last year around this time, Hansen was excitedly writing about the “record high temperatures.”
As an objective scientist in an important position of responsibility, there can be little doubt he shares the same enthusiasm this year about the cold.
Last year around this time, Hansen was excitedly writing about the “record high temperatures.”
As an objective scientist in an important position of responsibility, there can be little doubt he shares the same enthusiasm this year about the cold.
It was -44 below (F) this morning at a station east of James Bay in central Ontario. It’s hard to believe that the ice cover is doing that bad even in the places along the southern edge of the “Arctic” where it was “warm” in December and January.
Just in time for Catlin to hit the ice.
The Catlin team are still at REI, color coordinating their outfits with their gear. That may delay their start.
It is Warmer than you think!!!!!!
You only think you saw colder temperatures but really it was the warmest winter evah! By at least .00001C! 2011 is well on track to soar beyond the hottest year of 2010 by more than .0000001C It is worse than anyone realizes! Big Jim is NEVAH Wrong about Virtual Climate! 😉
Ol’ Jim is at this minute putting pen to paper…..well he will as soon as his fingers thaw out.
p.s. Isn’t it amazing how 2 people can look soooo alike, yet I feel so differently towards them. One I adore, the other I despise. Doh!!!
We all look like Homer when we’re thinking hard (especially as we get older and begin to look like potatoes). One can even take comfort in that, a little bit…
Where would James be without politics.
James Hansen (who is not a real climate scientist) thinks only on what HE believes.
Not what the real world shows.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2OUpBItS7Hw&feature=related
As per Mr Steven “never let the facts get in the way of a good beat up” Goddard …
I too am ***Just having fun***
What are the TOP 3 Years for Global Avg. Surface Temps Ever Recorded?
The winners are 1998, 2002, 2003, 2006, 2007, 2009 & 2010 … well shucks DOH !
AND that’s with the SUN being in LOW OUTPUT Extended Minimum Cycle period from 2005 to late 2010 … and still the Temps went UP
BUT now the dear ol’ Sunshine has gone FULL ON again with HIGH OUTPUT http://www2.ucar.edu/news/2354/extended-solar-minimum-linked-changes-sun-s-conveyor-belt
Image of the past cycle here with Sunspot (output) prediction from March 2011 ->
http://solarscience.msfc.nasa.gov/images/ssn_predict_l.gif
And that activity set the stage for Highest Recorded Sea Surface Temps EVER in the Coral Sea the week before Cyclone Yasi Cat 5 (an unprecedented event) hit the Australian Coast … followed by another 3 Cyclones with major flooding over the continent.
Like whatever … DOH !
Enjoy your “believed” soon to be “cooler” northern summer folks!
Warm regards,
“taint wocket sighance folks”
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NASA’s announcement this year — that 2010 ties 2005 as the warmest year in the 131-year instrumental record — made headlines. But, how much does the ranking of a single year matter?
Not all that much, emphasizes James Hansen, the director of NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) in New York City. In the GISS analysis, for example, 2010 differed from 2005 by less than 0.01°C (0.018°F), a difference so small that the temperatures of these two years are indistinguishable, given the uncertainty of the calculation.
Meanwhile, the third warmest year — 2009 — is so close to 1998, 2002, 2003, 2006, and 2007, with the maximum difference between the years being a mere 0.03°C, that all six years are virtually tied.
Even for a near record-breaking year like 2010 the broader context is more important than a single year. “Certainly, it is interesting that 2010 was so warm despite the presence of a La Niña and a remarkably inactive sun, two factors that have a cooling influence on the planet, but far more important than any particular year’s ranking are the decadal trends,” Hansen said.
One of the problems with focusing on annual rankings, rather than the longer trend, is that the rankings of individual years often differ in the most closely watched temperature analyses — from GISS, NCDC, and the Met Office — a situation that can generate confusion.
For example, while GISS previously ranked 2005 warmest, the Met Office listed 1998 warmest. The discrepancy helped fuel the misperception that findings from the three groups vary sharply or contain large amounts of uncertainty. It also fueled the misperception that global warming stopped in 1998.
“In reality, nothing could be further from the truth,” said Hansen. Global temperatures have continued to rise steadily.
“The three official records vary slightly because of subtle differences in the way we analyze the data, but they agree extraordinarily well,” said Reto Ruedy, one of Hansen’s colleagues at GISS who helps analyze global surface temperatures.
All three records show peaks and valleys that vary in virtual sync with each other since 1880. All three show particularly rapid warming in the last few decades. And all three show the last decade is the warmest in the instrumental record.
http://www.giss.nasa.gov/research/news/20110113/
NASA Research Finds 2010 Tied for Warmest Year on Record
January 12, 2011
Global surface temperatures in 2010 tied 2005 as the warmest on record, according to an analysis released Wednesday by researchers at NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS) in New York.
The analysis found 2010 approximately 1.34°F warmer than the average global surface temperature from 1951 to 1980. To measure climate change, scientists look at long-term trends. The temperature trend, including data from 2010, shows the climate has warmed by approximately 0.36°F per decade since the late 1970s.
“If the warming trend continues, as is expected, if greenhouse gases continue to increase, the 2010 record will not stand for long,” said James Hansen, the director of GISS.
http://www.giss.nasa.gov/research/news/20110112/
2010 — a near-record year
20 January 2011 — The Met Office and the University of East Anglia have today released provisional global temperature figures for 2010, which show the year to be the second warmest on record.
With a mean temperature of 14.50 °C, 2010 becomes the second warmest year on record, after 1998. The record is maintained by the Met Office and the Climatic Research Unit at UEA.
Earlier this month, in the US, NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies and NOAA’s National Climatic Data Center announced that the past year is either warmest or equal-warmest on their respective records.
Events in the Pacific Ocean have heavily influenced the global temperature in 2010. The year began in El Niño conditions, which have a warming effect. But the El Niño was replaced by a very strong La Niña – the strongest for more than 30 years – which acts to cool the climate.
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/news/releases/archive/2011/2010-global-temperature
NOAA: 2010 Tied For Warmest Year on Record
January 12, 2011
According to NOAA scientists, 2010 tied with 2005 as the warmest year of the global surface temperature record, beginning in 1880. This was the 34th consecutive year with global temperatures above the 20th century average. For the contiguous United States alone, the 2010 average annual temperature was above normal, resulting in the 23rd warmest year on record.
http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories2011/20110112_globalstats.html
Global Highlights
The combined global land and ocean average surface temperature for February 2011 was 0.40°C (0.72°F) above the 20th century average of 12.1°C (53.9°F). This ties for the 17th warmest such value on record.
The combined global land and ocean average surface temperature for December 2010 – February 2011 was 0.39°C (0.70°F) above the 20th century average of 12.1°C (53.8°F), the 16th warmest such period on record.
For the year to date, the combined global land and ocean surface temperature of 12.49°C (54.50°F) was the 16th warmest January–February period on record. This value is 0.39°C (0.70°F) above the 20th century average.
The February 2011 Northern Hemisphere land temperature was the 30th warmest, while the Southern Hemisphere tied as the 25th warmest on record.
The seasonal (December 2010 – February 2011) worldwide land surface temperature was the 26th warmest on record
The 2010–2011 seasonal Northern Hemisphere land temperature was the 28th warmest, while the Southern Hemisphere was 18th warmest on record.
The worldwide ocean surface temperature for February 2011 tied as the 10th warmest February on record
The 2010–2011 seasonal Northern Hemisphere ocean temperature tied as the the 9th warmest, while the Southern Hemisphere was 12th warmest on record.
The seasonal (December 2010 – February 2011) worldwide ocean surface temperature tied as the 10th warmest on record,
The 2010–2011 seasonal Northern Hemisphere ocean temperature was the 8th warmest, while the Southern Hemisphere was 15th warmest on record.
http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/global/
Whoa – Hansen reported hot temperatures? Stop the presses – I never heard that before.