Just like NOAA experts predicted, blistering July heat and drought is wrecking the corn crop
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uh huh..going to be interesting to see how they then explain fairly good harvests isnt it? 🙂
Expected record corn crop pushes prices to longest slump in 4 months – The Daily-Journal
CHICAGO — Corn fell for a sixth session, the longest slump since February, as warm Midwest weather bolstered prospects for a record crop in the U.S., the world’s largest exporter. Wheat and soybeans also slid.
Yields may average 156 bushels of corn an acre this year, the third-highest ever, lifting output to a record 13.62 billion bushels
…
The USDA estimates global output will climb to a record 962.6 million metric tons in the 2013-2014 crop year, up from 855.7 million a year earlier.
Tom Nelson
No doubt NOAA will likely blame climate change for the record yields that are causing supply/demand to send market prices plummeting. They will claim that farmers lost billions in profit and add those lost profits to NOAA’s “extreme weather increasing damages” PR campaign.
http://daily-journal.com/archives/dj/display.php?id=509013
When there’s a record, they try to say it would have been even larger if climate change hadn’t done its thing.
Gofer, your post was not up yet when I scrolled to the bottom to compose my post so I didn’t intend to repeat exactly what you had already posted 6 minutes earlier. While great minds think alike some are just quicker than me. 🙂
What a sad, sad state of affairs when you can assume the government is lying, . . . and almost always be correct.
The 2012 drought in the cornbelt was an outlier, with very little drought there since the 1980’s.
Considering their past history of catastrophic droughts, one could agrue that the increase in CO2 is increasing corn yeilds.
Hi Steve, can you provide a link to the NOAA drought forecast and its effect on the corn harvest that you are referring to. I know you have one, you wouldn’t just.. make something up. Maybe if you look under all those 1925 newspaper clippings from Hobart, Australia you can find it.
http://www.drought.gov/media/eventfiles/Rippey%20National%20Drought%20Outlook%2016%20May%202013.pdf
An assessment from the middle of May, from the USDA – the folks who usually care about corn. They aren’t predicting a big overlap of drought and corn, though it certainly exists. But all the corn farmers of West Loop, Chicago are sure to be concerned about it, because we all know how important corn farming is in West Loop, Chicago and how important the corn from West Loop, Chicago is to the nations total harvest.
Take your paranoid meds. NOAA played the drought for as long as they could get mileage, but apparently you had your head buried where the sun never shines.
http://www.motherjones.com/environment/2013/03/drought-ravage-us-crops-going-get-worse
Is that who you’re getting your news from, Mother Jones, Suzanne Goldenberg, and the Guardian! Come on Steve, you must have read an NOAA document itself, a primary source, before going on record. An NOAA document that said something about the drought and the corn harvest, for example? What will the corn farmers of West Loop, Chicago do for information if they have to rely on Mother Jones, Suzanne Goldenberg, and the Guardian?
Well, perhapa it was this NOAA forecast from March 21, 2013?
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/expert_assessment/sdo_archive/2013/sdo_amj13.gif
No, sorry, it couldn’t have been that one. That one has a big, green IMPROVEMENT area all across the Midwest corn belt where drought had been previously. Sorry Steve, you’ll have to provide your own link. You do have one, right?
Thee press was chock full of “drought is only going to get worse” stories from NOAA for almost a year. Have you been on Gilligan’s Island?
RE: David vun Kannon – “Hi Steve, can you provide a link to the NOAA drought forecast”
Dear lazy non-link follower,
I did your single click homework for you…
http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories2013/20130321_springoutlook.html
Drought Outlook
Fifty-one percent of the continental U.S.–primarily in the central and western regions–is in moderate to exceptional drought. Drought conditions are expected to persist, with new drought development, in California, the Southwest, the southern Rockies, Texas, and Florida
http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories2013/20130321_springoutlook.html
Hi Ben, yes those are great links, and if you click through you can get to the expert assessment seasonal forecast that I linked to earlier. The point of my comments isn’t that I can’t find these links, it is the legitimate question of what forecast was Steve referring to when making his original blog post. I can’t find a NOAA forecast for the corn belt that says the drought is worsening in that area, – exactly the opposite.
There is also the amusing choice of West Loop, Chicago as the counter-example to the “predicted” blistering drought. We all know that West Loop Chicago is the heart of the financial district of a huge city. The relevance of the temperature there is certainly less than the temperature in Ames, Iowa. FYI, the high temp in Ames was 82, not 63. Sort of makes you wonder why Steve chose West Loop, Chicago, doesn’t it?
David,
All of Illinois is defined to be in the “corn belt”.
It is near the top in corn production
http://www.wherefoodcomesfrom.com/article/5-2190/Corn-Production-By-State-Alphabetical
Help me understand. Do you have a problem with the Westloop being representative of Illinois, but have no problem with Hansen teleconnecting 1200 kilometers to obtain a temperature?
Sir, you are mistaken about the importance of Chicago’s corn production.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KrmJJywFO3U
His entire ideology crumbling around his feet, Reggie resorts to being cute. He’s like that fat kid in school who always gets picked on and resorts to humor as a defensive mechanism.
It’s okay, Reg, it gets better.
There is more to the flyover states than Chicago…
http://www.hprcc.unl.edu/maps/current/index.php?action=viewmap&map_type=&daterange=90d&year=&product=SPIData®ion=MRCC
Need sandbags to hold back the drought. 😆
“A new federal drought outlook issued on Thursday projects that the drought conditions are likely to remain entrenched through April, and that the drought may even worsen from the Plains to the Rockies and into the Southwest, along with another area of persistent and expanding drought in the Southeast, including southern Georgia and the Florida Panhandle.
“Unfortunately it looks like most of the central and southern Plains . . . is going to continue to have significant drought problems,” said Anthony Artusa, a seasonal forecaster with the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).”
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2013/01/18/us-drought-shrinks_n_2502716.html
Sure got quiet all of a sudden. Is this thing on?
I wonder if Anthony Artusa got a promotion? 😆
And here is the actual NOAA forecast that should be more interesting than the HuffPo story:
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/expert_assessment/sdo_archive/2013/sdo_fma13.gif
Again, improvement is forecast for the corn belt over the 3 months covered by the forecast.
Hey David! Sorry to see you are do senile that you missed this airy of the ‘Huffpo story’.
“… said Anthony Artusa, a seasonal forecaster with the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).”
Gee, I WONDER where ever the media gets these ajar mist stories. My oh my is it evuh so hahd to figuh out!
You are a tard brother. 😆
“do” is “so” and “airy” is “part” in iPhone speak.
The media is being played, as are you.
Hi Gator,
You probably wanted ‘alarmist’ for ‘ajar mist’ also! 😉
My point was that we are all trying to help Steve find the NOAA forecast that predicted worsening drought for the corn belt, per his blog post. Quoting the HuffPo isn’t as helpful in that quest as quoting the NOAA, especially when the NOAA forecast image is right there in the HuffPo story, and _doesn’t_ show worsening of drought for the corn belt – it shows those areas improving. And the next seasonal forecast also shows them improving, even as drought persists and develops in other areas. So the quote chosen by the HuffPo columnist is less helpful than the NOAA’s own document.
Not that Steve would make the mistake of saying “NOAA expert” when he meant newspaper columnist or website. Steve knows that newspapers and media web sites are second or third hand sources of information that needs to be checked carefully against primary source documents and the scientific literature. No, if Steve says there’s an NOAA expert assessment out there of worsening drought for the corn belt, it must be out there!
Hey David! Yep alarmist makes more sense.
What I posted is the problem. The science says one thing, and then the activists go out and spew hyperbole which is the preferred diet of the press.
Many, many, many reporters have Huffpo as a ‘favorite’ and go there for news, often before their first bong hit!
Where have you been? 😆
“Citing President Obama’s call from last week’s climate speech for federal agencies to help communities prepare for extreme weather events, NOAA said yesterday that it will begin releasing monthly drought outlooks, or MDOs.”
http://junkscience.com/2013/07/02/noaa-to-hit-drought-panic-button-on-monthly-basis-will-track-flash-droughts/
Boo!