They hate global warming, but eagerly await it.
We may be witnessing the start of the long-awaited jump in global temperatures. There is “a vast and growing body of research,” as Climate Central explained in February. “Humanity is about to experience a historically unprecedented spike in temperatures.”
A March study, “Near-term acceleration in the rate of temperature change,” makes clear that an actual acceleration in the rate of global warming is imminent — with Arctic warming rising a stunning 1°F per decade by the 2020s.
Long-Awaited ‘Jump’ In Global Warming Now Appears ‘Imminent’ | ThinkProgress
In other words, there has been no warming for 19 years, but Joe is expecting another big jump in Gavin’s data tampering ahead of the Paris summit.
The ramp-up to Paris is going to be intense. Alarmists run the risk of ringing the bell to loudly while no fire is apparent, possibly opening many eyes to their dishonesty.
One can only hope. Although if overhyping a non-story was all it was going to take, their house of cards would have long since collapsed.
The end of this useless, non-scientific debate will be obvious when the most powerful leaders join together to lead the public in a prayer of gratitude to “the force of creation“ they could no longer hide from the public.
Perhaps Joe Romm will be allowed to print flyers.
See: “Teacher’s Supplement to Solar Energy”
https://dl.dropboxusercontent.com/u/10640850/Supplement.pdf
When NASA used TSI (Total Solar Irradiance) to describe the Sun’s input to Earth’s climate, alarms sounded of an intent to deceive.
These concerns increased when NASA refused to acknowledge the impact on Earth of abrupt solar eruptions and to report quantitative information on ordinary cyclic changes in solar surface temperatures and abundances over regular solar cycles.
“When NASA used TSI (Total Solar Irradiance) to describe the Sun’s input to Earth’s climate, alarms sounded of an intent to deceive.
These concerns increased when NASA refused to acknowledge the impact on Earth of abrupt solar eruptions..”
I agree.
There is evidence the speed of the solar wind and the relative abundances of light and heavy elements and isotopes systematically change over each solar cycle, as does the relative intensities of radiation of different wavelength.
The variations over each cycle are “explained” by the dynamo model, in connection with the formation of the sunspots. More spots would mean greater power release and varying intensity along the cycle.
I have problems with this “explanation” because the intensity of radiations of the present cycle, especially last year, has been not very different of C20
http://www.landscheidt.info/images/sc20_sc24.png
but the geomagnetic aa-index is much lower,
https://dmhscratch1.files.wordpress.com/2015/03/aaindex-total13-03-2015.jpg
This seems to suggest the existence of a extra EM “force” in addition/replacement to what the dynamo model uses (MHD).
There is also evidence of variation of decay rates of some elements as a function of the intensity of the radiations,
http://arxiv.org/abs/0808.3156
http://arxiv.org/abs/0808.3283
Could all this be explained by a pulsar core at the Sun?
UAH for March is out.
Anomaly down slightly from February.
RSS as well. Not significant yet but also not a “jump to massive global warming”.
Solar radiations are lower this year than 2014, similar to 2013 and possibly lower.
I believe the solar maximum of C24 ended in 2014.
If true, this will probably weaken the already weak positive ENSO and accelerate the cooling of the Atlantic, which would be very good news for the Arctic ice in September.
I’m still a bit puzzled by the strong warmth of the Pacific, despite the relative strength of the solar radiations in 2014. I’m thinking that it was just a coincidence of a strong warm-phase of the PDO with the maximum of the solar cycle that is causing it.
The Pacific SST has usually a very good correlation with worlds temperatures. I’m hoping/expecting the warm PDO to decline from now on.
Cooling waters in the tropical Pacific Ocean appear to be a major factor in dampening global warming in recent years, scientists said on Wednesday.
Their work is a big step forward in helping to solve the greatest puzzle of current climate change research – why global average surface temperatures, while still on an upward trend, have risen more slowly in the past 10 to fifteen years than previously.
Waters in the eastern tropical regions of the Pacific have been notably cooler in recent years, owing to the effects of one of the world’s biggest ocean circulatory systems, the Pacific decadal oscillation.
Many people are aware of the El Niño and La Niña weather systems, which affect the Pacific and bring hotter and stormier or cooler weather in cycles of just a few years, and can have a strong effect on global weather. But few are aware that both of these systems are just part of the much bigger Pacific decadal oscillation, which brings warmer and cooler weather over decades.
http://www.theguardian.com/environment/2013/aug/28/cooling-pacific-dampened-global-warming
Personally, I don’t take either claims of warming or cooling oceans seriously, as we have only recently started using Argo buoys, and are still deploying them.
http://cornellsailing.com/2015/04/ordinary-act-deployment-pacific-drifter-buoys-argo-floats-2/
How can tropical waters be cooling if global warming is occurring? That’s the very first question that came to my mind.
I tend to believe that even the PDO (and AMO, etc. ) are *strongly* affected/modulated by solar radiations.
E. g., the need to detrend the AMO is not due to AGW, but the solar grand maximum of the XX century, which had a more important effect on Earth’s climate in the 2nd half of the century than the first, due to more intense cycles after 1950.
Another example, the heat content of the N. Atlantic has peaked in 2005-06 and started to fall since then,
http://www.climate4you.com/images/NODC%20NorthAtlanticOceanicHeatContent0-700mSince1955%20With37monthRunningAverage.gif
following solar radiations quite obviously.
Even the PDO was “behaving appropriately” until 2013, but last year it just spiked to (possibly) its highest local increase ever recorded,
http://climate4you.com/images/PDO%20AnnualIndexSince1900%20With7yearRunningAverage.gif
I find this a bit difficult to understand, because I don’t think CO2 has anything to do with these multidecadal oscillations, possibly just a coincidence?
You will get no argument from me. I know what heats the Solar System.
The NAO behavior shift spells ice growth – the opposite of a death spiral.
After likely a couple of false starts, I think it may be another decade before the AMO begins its sure plunge and begins to take on the shape of the NAO graph.
We’re on the precipice of another mini ice age (at least). I think most, if not all, of the Hockey Team are critically aware of this inconvenient truth. All they’re doing now is just buying time. The meme: Hunker down, keep adjusting temps, don’t give interviews hard-hitting journalists, and above all, stay away from debates with skeptical scientists.
Again, you will get no argument from me. I know what heats the Solar System.
“about to experience a historically unprecedented spike in temperatures”
This not a prediction… it is a MEMO to Phil and Gavin.
“it is a MEMO to Phil and Gavin”
I think you mean it is time for the U.N,ified International Hockey Team to perform some more non sequitur magic on the globular temperature record.
As the divergence between reality and the Hokey Schtick Cabal adjustments widens, one can hope the collapse of CAGW is getting closer. It is difficult to imagine that this deception can go on indefinitely.
I think he may be right about the spike in temperatures. Spring is here, and the sun angle is increasing rapidly. The sun is quite vast, and the amount of incoming solar radiation is growing daily.
This sudden and widespread increase in temperatures will indeed be unprecedented…for this year.
As for the rest:
*eyelash-fluttering eye roll*
.. and of course the Southern hemisphere doesn’t count
But, But, ole Sole and any variations in he does in attitude or amplitude has nothing to do with climate! Just ask them!
All part of the run-up to the non-event coming up in Paris. Is there really anyone besides a few zealots that cares if it get a bit warmer? Except so far it certainly has not gotten warmer, but so what if the world warmed up a little bit? Not much we can do about it but enjoy the nice weather.
I am expectantly awaiting the future anticipation of an exceedingly increasing rate change.
That article and the articles that it links to may be the most densely packed loads of horseshit I have ever read in my life.
In a few paragraphs, every lie and false narrative in the whole warmista catalog seems to be not only mentioned, but actually exaggerated.
I would not have thought it possible.
Reading the reference above, Romm refers to the retching spew of Kevin Trenberth whose scientific demeanor is to attack the work of the likes of Roy Spencer
Trenberth came up with the first of over 50 reasons ( excuses ) for the 18 year pause, That being a reanalysis of climate models suggesting the heat must be hiding below a half mile down in the ocean and that nasty heat is just lurking there, waiting for the right opportunity.
One of the last reasons was the increase in aerosol emissions from small volcanoes.
..And now the prophets of doom are saying the moment has arrived. Lordy, Lordy rejoice in the long awaited heat, which is wonderful, er no make that terrible because… we said so.
The desire of Joe Romm and his ilk to see the planet suffer some kind of climate catastrophe is almost palpable.
They truly are the dregs of humanity.
It’s the broken record of “science”: we’ve been hearing it every so often, for decades. I guess they figure if they keep repeating it, and it happens, they can proclaim “see? we were right!”.
One could guess what time it is without having a watch, or be able to see the sun, and eventually be right some day. That doesn’t make it “science”; quite the opposite.
Hopefully, in spite of the, ahem, “unprecedented spike in temperatures” which we will see this year, the Parisian December will – like Copenhagen before it – be bitterly cold and snowy.
It destroys the soul to hear that you’re all hype, that you have no talent, and that your whole career has been contrived.
-Freddie Mercury
Let’s hope it also destroys careers and wealth.
Gavin, Gavin are you there? Quick manipulate, manipulate. No you bloody idiot, manipulate not masturbate.
Seeing as the climate has always followed the AMO, and the AMO is at its peak, it takes a brave alarmist to say global warming’s about to go up…
… Or it takes a politically savvy alarmist to ignore the evidence and get the soundbite in before Paris…
Yes. The U.N.ified Cabal need to get the Paris agreement signed before their house of cards collapses completely.
Crying wolf for the millionth time. Children just won’t know what real wolves are, just the virtual wolves that climate scientists keep screaming about.