“NOAA Predicts”

Three weeks ago, NOAA predicted 30% maximum ice cover for the Great Lakes, due to climate change.


They are currently at 32%, and with record cold forecast next week should be above 50% in a few days.



Four of the last seven years have been above average, and 2014 was second highest on record. That is what NOAA calls a “declining trend.”


Note that NOAA started their graph in the mid-1970s, right before the three coldest winters on record in the Great Lakes states – 1977, 1978 and 1979.

The winter of 1977 was the coldest on record in the eastern US.

20 Jan 1977, Page 3 – Valley News

Lakeland Ledger – Google News Archive Search

19 Jan 1977, Page 20 – The Town Talk at Newspapers.com

The National Geographic Archive | December 1977 | page 1

And while I am on the topic of ice …

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16 Responses to “NOAA Predicts”

  1. Michael Spencer says:

    ‘97% of experts say’ that snow will be a thing of the past! So, it’s obvious that all these pictures/photographs/newspaper reports are all just propaganda.

    And pigs might fly too!

  2. Steve+Cooksey says:

    Well, I’ll be dipped. I feel like global warming is a huge scam.

  3. Mohatdebos says:

    1977, 1978, 1979 were the peak of the new ice age scam. Of course, it was blamed on CO2 emissions. I had the misfortune of attending graduate school at the University of Chicago. It was a one mile walk from my apartment to campus. Talk about misery. There were days I walked in one foot or more of snow. Some of the students got frostbite. I did not drive my car from late December to early April.

  4. Michael+Abbott says:

    I lived in Central London in 1963 and snow was piled up on he sides of the roads to allow for narrow passages for vehicles. The snow piles, soon ice piles, were there for weeks. I dread to think what it was like in the countryside away from urban heat. I live in Kent now, in a country village, and a neighbour, who lived locally at that time, said he and his friends tobogganed every weekend from Christmas to Easter that year.

    That was a year to remember but thank goodness its a bit warmer now, although the last week has been pretty tough.

    • saveenergy says:

      That year we were able to walk on the frozen sea at Penarth S Wales
      & the only way in/out of Cardiff for ~ week was the railway.

  5. kzvx says:

    So amusing when the alarmists predictions fail, time and time again. They must be seething. Back to the drawing board!

  6. Ian says:

    Hello Tony…NOAA could not predict a XXXX Up in a Brewery,. ,!

  7. Mossimo says:

    I love it – as of 2/24 ice is up to 34%; how do these people have jobs?

  8. spren says:

    In early January 1977 I traveled with two other couples south to Florida from Pittsburgh. When we reached Key West, the temperature was in the low 40s but we still went snorkeling and stupidly laid on the beach. The weather back home in Pittsburgh was warmer than in Key West, but we realized we wouldn’t have been laying out in the backyard sunbathing!

    After returning home, my wife and I went to Vermont for some skiing (I was laid off from the railroad at the time). The temperatures were always at least 10-15 degrees below zero. I had to start my car several times through the night to keep the oil from freezing. Our last day, temperatures reached 0 degrees with no wind and it actually felt like a heat wave.

    In Pittsburgh, the frost line fell below two feet underground and there were concerns of gas lines rupturing. That was an amazing winter.

  9. Willy Waz says:

    I was 12 when the great Blizzard of 77 hit Buffalo. Dire weather was actually predicted, and I remember going into the supermarket for groceries with my mom, we emerged in the face of 50 mph winds and blinding snow, temps subzero without the windchill factored in. It raged for days. Nobody talks about what brought this on, the coldest fall on record, early freezing of Lake Erie, and heavy snow sitting on the ice pack, all waiting for a swirling polar vortex.

    I fear we are not ready for climate change, that is the ongoing cooling of our climate. Government is about control, not critical thinking and facts. If it were based on facts we would implement sound environmental policies to preserve our childrens future, while focusing on affordable energy that is clean, like natural gas. As a society we would be preparing for climate change, as it is always changing based upon scenarios of temp increases and decreases.

  10. Steve says:

    Biden turned it around in one month! WOW!

  11. Everett says:

    You have been doing a lot of these reminders the past few weeks. I miss them, and am glad you are doing them again – repetition is necessary

  12. billtoo says:

    well, it’s now 2/18 and we would have expected the great lakes to freeze up, but they maxxed out at 42.2% on 2/17. incredible considering how cold it has been all around them. Muskegon, MI, Sault St. Marie, Milwaukee, WI and Gary, IN have all finished up 2 incredibly cold weeks, way below average temps and will stay well below average until sunday.

    and yet lake michigan just won’t freeze. it’s at about 30% and has actually dropped a couple of times over the last 10 days.

    imagine that

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