Michael Mann predicted thirty-three named storms, and now that there have been nine he says he was correct.
“It has been the longest stormless streak in the Atlantic Basin in over 50 years”
5 reasons behind the historic absence of tropical storms this hurricane season
Weather Street: 2024 Atlantic Hurricanes and Tropical Storms
There are more than 1,000 September hurricanes and typhoons in NOAA’s database.
Mann is right (though he is a hardcore left ).
2 days ago he rented a boat (in a harbour that has drowned 10 years ago according to him).
Armed with 10 cans baked beans he sailed away.
It took him about 3 hours to squeeze out 2 dozen farts and name them( Kamala 10 – 33).
Btw – something tells me that those “activities” happen on a regular basis.
#1 reason behind the historic absence of tropical storms this hurricane season: Clima-Change™, thus proving it is indeed real . . . . or something.
He predicted 4 out of every 1 storms. You could definitely say he warned us. I will do better though and be 100% correct: There will be hurricanes during 2025.
Now just send me his paycheck, and take away his X account for misinformation.
if the Atlantic storm season finishes like it did in 2022 and 2023 then we’ve only got about three or four named storms left for 2024. that means Mann’s prediction was wrong by 200%. that should be close enough for him to be invited on all the Sunday morning political shows this Sunday to coincide with the big hurricane hitting Florida this weekend. Mann will be invited on to hype the storm and to claim we’ve never seen hurricanes this powerful before. the Left loves to be lied to.
As per his NOAA tweet, Professor No Hair appears to be suffering from ‘All Disturbances’ himself ???
He and Chou Bi-Den would be great roommates if/when they’re placed in the same cell, commiserating over why nobody believed them.
Checked CSU’s Real-Time Cyclone Activity for the Atlantic: so far there’s been 33 days’ worth of ‘named storm activity’; however only 9 actual ‘named storms’, Helene being #8.
Perhaps Muttley Man was reading the wrong column? It’s easy to do, what with all that peer review…
The problem with Mrs. Mann’s little boy. and all other climate change catastrophists is, their predictions are the exact opposite of what is actually happening with our “changing climate”.
IF our climate is changing, it has been for the benefit of man, not our impending doom. Decreasing “extreme weather events”, increased crop yields, the absence of famines, fewer outbreaks of tropical disease and definitely no “fatal humidity”, as predicted by a mining magnate from OZ.
But now it’s getting cooler which is bad. I love the way the AGW people ignore the 485 million yr map showing Earth is at its coolest at this time. Oh well I gotta get more firewood up so gotta go cut more tress!
Helene is now being reported to be a cat 4 with 130 plus mile per hour winds. landfall in about an hour at cedar key.. current wind speed at cedar key is 48. predicted to be as high as 60 not counting gusts. that’s a long ways from 130 …just sayin…..
The storm went almost directly over a NOAA buoy a few hours ago. Highest sustained wind-low 60’s. Highest gust-low 90’s. At the time, I think they were calling sustained winds at 130.
Something is dramatically wrong. Is this bc they are measuring winds a few thousand feet up? Or corrupted completely? I wish Tony would do a thread on this.
And now She is West of my place in Central KY…
And 24 hours later, Saturday evening, the center of it appears to be dead over Bowling Green. She hasn’t moved much.
What do they say about a broken clock being right twice a day?
Mann is a digital LCD clock.
Assumes clock is actually operating, although not set correctly (incorrectly set); No account is made for a non-functional or dysfunctional clock mechanism however.
and Mann made another $1,000,000 in donations – stupid people really buy this crap- amazing – Global Warming 2nd biggest scam in world history since Y2K
Oh, Mann is not the only liar here. NOAA and the NHC also have 4 Pinocchio’s with Helene. They claimed it was a category 4 storm, but in fact it was only a category 2 at landfall and just prior to landfall.
I managed to find the VORTEX message delivered from the Hurricane Hunter that traversed the storm just prior to landfall and it reported the maximum surface winds inbound as 104.7 mph and outbound as 105.9, at 1:53 and 1:58Z. (10 PM local time, and landfall was just past 11 PM local)
This puts the storm at a category 2, not a 4. However at 10,000 feet altitude, the speeds were 118.5 mph inbound and 147.3 mph outbound. But wind speed decreases closer to the ground, and we do not use the flight level wind as the yardstick for categorizing Hurricanes!
Likewise the METAR data for Tallahassee airport shows the max winds at 18 to 18.5 mph, with gusts from 53 to 57 mph in the 3 hours of minimum pressure of 977.4 mb – when the eyewall passed a bit to the east of the airport.
They are lying to the public, and even the idiots on the Weather Channel were embarrassed to be reporting a scattering of wind speeds (measured at the ground) in the 30’s when they claimed the storm was a cat 4 with 140 mph winds on live TV last night.
https://aircraft.myfoxhurricane.com/recon/recon.cgi?basin=al&year=2024&product=vortex&storm=Helene&mission=18&agency=AF&ob=09-27-021050-19-941-103%28129%29-
Product: Air Force Vortex Message (URNT12 KNHC)
Transmitted: 27th day of the month at 2:34Z
Agency: United States Air Force
Aircraft: Lockheed WC-130J Hercules with reg. number AF97-5306
Storm Number & Year: 09 in 2024
Storm Name: Helene (flight in the North Atlantic basin)
Mission Number: 18
Observation Number: 19
A. Time of Center Fix: 27th day of the month at 2:10:50Z
B. Center Fix Coordinates: 29.60N 84.02W
B. Center Fix Location: 61 statute miles (98 km) to the SSE (166°) from Tallahassee, FL, USA.
C. Minimum Height at Standard Level: 2,612m (8,570ft) at 700mb
D. Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 941mb (27.79 inHg)
E. Dropsonde Surface Wind at Center: From 40° at 27kts (From the NE at 31mph)
F. Eye Character: Closed
G. Eye Shape & Diameter: Circular with a diameter of 28 nautical miles (32 statute miles)
H. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind Inbound: 91kts (104.7mph)
I. Location & Time of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind Inbound: 5 nautical miles to the NNW (344°) of center fix at 1:58:00Z
J. Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: From 106° at 103kts (From the ESE at 118.5mph)
K. Location & Time of the Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: 20 nautical miles (23 statute miles) to the N (1°) of center fix at 1:53:00Z
L. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind Outbound: 92kts (105.9mph)
M. Location & Time of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind Outbound: 20 nautical miles (23 statute miles) to the SE (126°) of center fix at 2:18:30Z
N. Maximum Flight Level Wind Outbound: From 229° at 128kts (From the SW at 147.3mph)
O. Location & Time of the Maximum Flight Level Wind Outbound: 24 nautical miles (28 statute miles) to the SE (127°) of center fix at 2:19:30Z
P. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Outside Eye: 10°C (50°F) at a pressure alt. of 3,061m (10,043ft)
Q. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Inside Eye: 22°C (72°F) at a pressure alt. of 3,049m (10,003ft)
R. Dewpoint Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): 13°C (55°F)
R. Sea Surface Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): Not Available
S. Fix Determined By: Penetration, Radar, Wind, Pressure and Temperature
S. Fix Level: 700mb
T. Navigational Fix Accuracy: 0.02 nautical miles
T. Meteorological Accuracy: 1.5 nautical miles
Oops, I report the wind speed at Tallahassee airport incorrectly. It was 41-49 mph with gusts of 53-60 mph. I got confused and read the speed in meters per second. Still this is mere tropical storm force, not a CAT 4 hurricane force.
Conner and Timmer were both streaming ‘live’ in/from Perry, FL as the storm eye walls (north and south eye walls) crossed into Florida; nothing on the order of 147 MPH were seen … Conner’s stream showed an individual outside their vehicle in the wind, winds that looked to be on the order of 50 MPH max perhaps.
This is maddening, if true. I just did a quick internet search for Helene and the first result was from ABC News, breathlessly claiming that Helene, “made landfall as a massive Category 4 hurricane Thursday night, slamming into the Big Bend region of Florida with 140 mph winds.” It then went on to refer to it as as “monster storm”.
All the updates are as fake and gay as can be imagined. Everything to do with the storm is “catastrophic” and “life-threatening”. I was in Kaohsiung, Taiwan this past July when we received 40″ (not cms, inches) of rain in one day. Yes, news-stations provided steady coverage of the storm, but they didn’t engage in this kind of orgasmically apocalyptic reporting. This is a sickness.
It appears ABC has taken over top spot among the national Mockingbird Media presstitution ring – all top-down propaganda, all of the time.
In my market, an ad plays over and over that David Muir’s nightly propagandcast (aka newscast) is the most watched (implication: he is most trusted), makes me want to vomit every time I see it.
!86 hurricanes have been known to hit Florida.
Helene was caused by climate change.
Inspector’s Morse, Maigret, Columbus and Sherlock Holmes all agreed that Helene had climate change fingerprints all over it.
Helene facts:
Very large storm. Yesterday morning, it had rain bands extending out 950 miles, into Ohio.
Rain here exceeded Hugo total here.
Friend at his mountain home near Linville, NC, got 19.5″. I believe there will be record rainfall at some inland locations.
I guess it is big enough to be counted as 25 regular hurricanes, making Mann right.
Funny one Mr Z. lol. Granted, it was a big rainmaker, which always means flooding in low-lying areas. I’ve seen some wind damage but I don’t see buildings completely gone like we saw with hurricane Andrew. no way was it a cat 4. if we covered blizzards in Minnesota the way they cover hurricanes, we would simply report that everybody got 20 inches of snow, but in truth some people only got five, others got 10. hurricanes are covered differently. it has to be politics.
I didn’t say it was not a serious storm. I’ve lived through 3 eyewall passages of CAT 2 storms and it’s not fun at all. But a CAT 4 storm is basically 3x more powerful than a CAT 2 as wind force is proportional to the square of the velocity.
The key is in your commentary, which is the outer bands of the storm extended out over 900 miles from the storm center – which means it was too weak to be a CAT 4. It is only when the storm is tight does the angular momentum get really destructive. When the storm is weak, it flings off elements of the storm to large distances instead of tightening around the eye.
So when it intensified from a mere tropical storm, it did not have enough inward energy and it flung it’s components outward far and wide instead of making a tight cyclone.
Lots of rain inland fed by tropical moisture is of course not a good thing, but it’s strength was not what was reported.
A nice clarification for those of us who know nothing about hurricanes, and it makes sense. That said, you know that the news services will screech about how big it was rather than about how intense it was, because none of them understand vortices or angular momentum.
check out the rainfall map in North Carolina. it turns out a very small area got torrential rains. same thing as the Rapid City Black hills flood of 1972. just a small area got more than 8-in. but a small area did get 15 in both instances and combine that with a mountain valley and you’re going to have a very serious weather disaster.
Less is more?