Green shows growth in the last seven days
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Arctic ice, like Antarctic ice, are the canaries in the AGW coal mine. With AGW, warming is enhanced at the poles where water vapor is least. What we are seeing with growing Arctic ice is a complete refutation of the AGW theory.
Reblogged this on Richard T. Fowler and commented:
Wow! That’s got to be at least 10% growth in seven days.
1.1^52.18 = 145% over the next year.
Sorry, 144%. Forgot to subtract the 1.
Let me try that one more time. 14,350%. That seems a lot more reasonable :- )
Richard, if you keep arguing with yourself long enough, you will eventually win!
🙂
Sorry, but it was like 3 in the morning. Hopefully the point was clear enough.
My prediction –
Climastrophists will concentrate on the coastal area that’s pink, between 6 and 7 o’clock down from the pole.
Russia is already seeing extreme cold. They will probably be having a very harsh winter.
Much of Europe will be not too far behind and after that North America.
If weather events occur in the manner that they have in the past, the NH will be considerably below normal for a while.
As in 2012 many in Europe, with its so called high dependence on green energy. will simply freeze to death. Lets see if the MSM reports much of it if it happens.
If they do report it, the spin will be:
It’s worse than we thought
with a small but frenzied smattering of:
The conservatives, the TEA party and the talk-radio crowd caused this!
What’s “spectacular” about the growth? This year’s winter growth seems to be about the same as 2013 – and ice extent is still well below the 2000s average extent.
The daily growth yesterday was third highest on record and is likely to reach the NSIDC mean in about 2-3 weeks.
Note how the warmists say that ‘it is below average’ ice when it is barely three weeks from SUMMER! This ain’t December.
Yes, and the slope of the recent gain implies it will be “average” (or above) very soon.
I’m no sure if this is a response to my comment but if it is there are 2 points here
1. You don’t appear to understand ice extent anomalies. When we talk about ice extent being below the long term average we are comparing the average extent for the same points in the annual cycle. For example Ice Extent on October 21st is below the average extent on October 21st for all years.
2. I’m not a warmist. However, I do think that some of the claims made by the sceptic side are a bit overblown. For example, there is no evidence of a “recovery” in Arctic ice extent
You have no idea what you are talking about.
More sun spot activity today. This is a queer solar cycle. Dead in the middle when it should be highest and then a second peak. This may save us from another very bitter winter…the sun is the major driver when it comes to warming up things.
http://weather.unisys.com/archive/sst/sst_anom_loop.gif
The cold anomaly spreading in NH is spectacular.
Ice has started drifting past Barrow, AK. Visible on the radar:
http://seaice.alaska.edu/gi/observatories/barrow_radar
So funny, in reply to my Arctic ice increasing-
“9.8m/ss paasingby • 3 minutes ago
That’s sea ice extent. Increasing Arctic sea ice extent is evidence for global warming.”
I find it interesting that at the same time that sea ice in the Arctic is suddenly increasing in rate of growth it is suddenly decreasing in the Antarctic and is below 2013 levels. It makes me wonder whether there is a connection between the two.
Yes, that is an interesting observation – I wonder what climate science has to say about it? I would suggest it is a good thing, if indeed it is somehow explained by some sort of mechanism. Too much ice = bad. Just enough to heckle the warmunists = good.
Cryosphere Today is showing a lot less ice formation than NSIDC. Who is right?
http://arctic.atmos.uiuc.edu/cryosphere/NEWIMAGES/arctic.seaice.color.000.png
http://nsidc.org/data/seaice_index/images/daily_images/N_bm_extent_hires.png
Looking at Russian Arctic maps from the last 2 updates. Ice growth pretty rapid in Kara and Laptev Sea’s. Since August, I have been intimating how the ice growth on the Atlantic side could be strong this Fall due to the weather pattern bringing in a lot of cold northerly winds across the region keeping SST’s down. That seems to be happening. The earlier the ice starts here, the thicker it can get and stay longer next year depending on the weather pattern.
Oct 14
http://www.aari.ru/resources/d0015/arctic/gif.en/2014/20141014.GIF
Oct 21
http://www.aari.ru/resources/d0015/arctic/gif.en/2014/20141021.GIF
Thanks for sharing these maps. I stole them (giving you and this site credit) to illustrate some thoughts I had about what I call “The Laptev Notch,” which was (and is) the open water that developed north of the Laptev Sea towards the Pole last summer. That open water has surely been losing a huge amount of heat and making the Arctic Sea colder, even as the air is warmed (and that warmth lost to outer space.) However that open water is utterly surrounded by frigid temperatures, now that Siberia is snow-covered and cold, and I expect that open water to skim over very swiftly. The ice-extent graph will lurch upwards with impressive speed as it freezes, and we may even set some records. Then it will be our turn to fling about the word “unprecedented.”
http://sunriseswansong.wordpress.com/2014/10/22/arctic-sea-ice-recovery-the-laptev-notch/
The high pressure system parked in the arctic over the past week or so is a big, big factor in the ice area and volume growth rate. The Beaufort gyre is in strong form crashing the central arctic ice against the archipelago which makes for lots of ridging and slabbing–think thick ice. The winds are keeping the ice away from the Fram Strait and directing the MYI away from the exits. The clear skies characteristic of a High are open to the 24 hour night time skies dumping heat, dropping the temps and growing ice thickness. Any open leads freeze over quickly in these conditions and create fast ice growth rate region that will be crumpled into a majestic ridge when the wind direction shifts.
This is a positive step toward a continuation of a recovery in ice volume. The longer that high stays parked in the arctic the better. This is a return to the historic pattern over the arctic with a strong gyre; not the strong transpolar drift the caused the ice loss in 2007.
CO2 must be back down to 1979 levels.
According to ARGO floats the Arctic Ocean has been trending cooler, to the tune of -0.134º C per decade.
From Bob Tisdale via WUWT.
“The cooling rate of the Arctic Ocean is so out of proportion to the other ocean basins that I’ve shown it separately in Figure 2. One would want to attribute the spike in 2007 to the seasonal sea ice loss that year. Curiously, similar spikes do not appear during 2012 and 2013 when there were comparable or greater seasonal losses.”
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2014/10/17/with-argo-there-is-a-wide-range-warming-and-cooling-rates-of-the-oceans-to-depths-of-2000-meters/
Hottest year evah? More ice on the way?
Some say the world will end in fire,
Some say in ice.
From what I’ve tasted of desire
I hold with those who favor fire.
But if it had to perish twice,
I think I know enough of hate
To say that for destruction ice
Is also great
And would suffice.
Robert Frost
American Poet
1874-1963
It’s quite clear this is all being caused by the melt water coming from Greenland’s shrinking glaciers.
Easily explained away without further proof.