Real Climate Science

“The kind of man who wants the government to adopt and enforce his ideas is always the kind of man whose ideas are idiotic.”

? H.L. Mencken

Michael Mann predicted 33 “named storms” and is declaring victory at just over half that.  He also claims he knows how many storms occurred in the mid-Atlantic in 1851 – misinformation he has been spreading for almost twenty years – “this presumption is not reasonable”

(7) Prof Michael E. Mann on X: “Don’t say we didn’t warn you, @JimCantore ? https://t.co/rFD0oyb5tg https://t.co/DSghM46APz” / X

(9) Prof Michael E. Mann on X: “For those who are keeping track, that’s named storm #18. Only 11 seasons going back to 1851 have seen that many storms. (Note: the last time tropical Atlantic temps were near this warm and we were headed toward La Nina–2005–the season extended into January)” / X

“The Atlantic is the one tropical cyclone basin that has quantitative records back to the midnineteenth century for the whole basin (i.e., North Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea, and Gulf of Mexico) [Jarvinen et al., 1984; Landsea et al., 2004]. Mann and Emanuel [2006] used this data set to find a positive correlation between sea surface temperatures and Atlantic basin tropical cyclone frequency for the period of 1871– 2005. Likewise, Holland and Webster [2007] analyzed Atlantic tropical cyclone frequency back to 1855 and found a doubling of the number of tropical cyclones over the past 100 years. Both papers linked these changes directly to anthropogenic greenhouse warming. However, both analyses, with no indication of uncertainty or error bars, presumed that tropical cyclone counts are complete or nearly complete for the entire basin going back in time for at least a century. This article will show that this presumption is not reasonable and that improved monitoring in recent years is responsible for most, if not all, of the observed trend in increasing frequency of tropical cyclones.’

https://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/Landsea/landsea-eos-may012007.pdf

After President Trump was banned from Twitter, he formed his own social media company.  The Guardian is doing the exact opposite, banning themselves because people are allowed to respond to their nonsense.

(4) The Guardian on X: “Why the Guardian is no longer posting on X https://t.co/j4fRgzSYde” / X

Michael Mann continues to be very offended by free speech.

(2) Prof Michael E. Mann on X: “One can both hope to see twitter go down & remain here until it does. There’s a game theory dynamic at play. As long as it remains viable, those who have built large followings are averse to leaving. But if EVERYONE leaves, critical mass can re-coalesce elsewhere (e.g. threads).” / X

“In the annals of insanity, it would be hard to improve on the spectre of a British prime minister being flown over to a remote spot in the world in an RAF passenger jet.All this is to enable him to virtue signal in front of the British media – also flown over for the occasion – offering an impossible and unnecessary emissions target while lying about the consequences of forcing state and subordinate institutions to make the attempt.

We are, of course, talking about Cop29, the latest in the annual fest of the brain-dead and clinically insane, gathered together to conspire in the destruction of Western economies, putting those observers and commentators who have to write about it through a process which no-one should ever be asked to suffer.”

Climate change: poised to fail | Turbulent Times

The imperial years of Britain are long gone, but Labour politicians haven’t figured it out yet.

My home state of New Mexico has become a giant eyesore on the election map..

2024 House General Election Results | DDHQ

“BREAKING: senior IPCC scientists say exceeding the Paris 1.5°C limit is now inevitable, imminent, and may well have already occured as unsurvivable 2°C by 2034-2038 looms”

(31) Ben See on X: “BREAKING: senior IPCC scientists say exceeding the Paris 1.5°C limit is now inevitable, imminent, and may well have already occured as unsurvivable 2°C by 2034-2038 looms ?” / X

Western leaders won’t attend COP29, but the Taliban will be there.

“Von der Leyen’s Cop29 absence sends ‘fatal signal’, say watchersMEPs express concern for EU climate leadership as commission head confirms she will miss Baku summit

Wed 6 Nov 2024

Ursula von der Leyen’s decision to miss the Cop29 climate summit is “a fatal signal” and raises questions about Europe’s commitment to the climate crisis, observers have said.

Also skipping the “world leaders’ climate action summit” on Tuesday and Wednesday are France’s Emmanuel Macron and the outgoing US president, Joe Biden. The Brazilian president, Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, cancelled his participation due to a head injury, Reuters reported. The leaders of China, South Africa, Japan and Australia are expected to miss the talks as well.”

Von der Leyen’s Cop29 absence sends ‘fatal signal’, say watchers | Cop29 | The Guardian

The Taliban will attend a U.N. climate conference for the first time

h/t Don Penim

“Today the PM announced our new world-leading target to cut UK emissions by 81%. There is no national security or economic security without climate security. “

(23) Ed Miliband on X: “Today the PM announced our new world-leading target to cut UK emissions by 81%. There is no national security or economic security without climate security. That’s why we have announced this target today. To protect future generations, deliver jobs and drive economic growth. https://t.co/HvzFPhEV2T” / X

The UK could drop off the map and it would have no measurable impact on the growth of atmospheric CO2

Annual CO? emissions