In Climate Science, No Correlation Is Causation

In the US, the frequency of 95F (35C) days has dropped sharply since the 1930’s.

There is some correlation between the frequency of 95 degree days, and the average annual maximum temperature.

There is good correlation between the frequency of hot days and the average summer maximum temperature.

Not surprisingly, the frequency of 95 degree days correlates very well with the frequency of 90 degrees days.

There is perfect correlation between the frequency of 95 degree days, and the frequency of 95 degree days.

However, there is no correlation between the frequency of hot days and atmospheric CO2. If anything, there is anti-correlation.

So which one do climate scientists latch on to? The only relationship which shows anti-correlation. Climate science is a 100% fact-free venture, and the biggest clown show on Earth.

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New Ice-Free Arctic Forecast

Arctic sea ice melt dropped to its lowest level since May 12 yesterday, and now the Arctic won’t be ice-free until July 20 of next year, 12:01 am.

Spreadsheet    Data

For the third day in a row, there has been almost no change in Arctic sea ice extent.

Index of /DATASETS/NOAA/G02135/north/daily/images/2018/08_Aug/

I’m sad to report that the prophets have failed. The Arctic will not be ice-free in 2014 or 2018 as they promised.

The Argus-Press – Google News Archive Search

Gore: Polar ice cap may disappear by summer 2014

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Bumble Bee

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California’s Fake Temperature Record

Using my new tool set, I am homing in on what is wrong with the California temperature record.

NOAA Data

The first problem is just their usual data tampering, which doubles the slope.  This is what the raw data looks like.

But the real dirty trick is that they successively added four hot stations over time, which pushed the temperature up on the right side of the graph. Brawley was added in 1910, Blythe was added in 1913, Needles was added in 1940, and Death Valley was added in 1961. If those stations are removed, then California maximum temperatures show no trend.

The animations below show how the successive additions of those four stations completely changed the California temperature graphs, and perverted science.

Minimum temperatures have increased, and I suspect this is primarily due to Urban Heat Island effects.  I will be looking at this more soon.

The spike in 2014 was due to the El Nino, and primarily affected winter temperatures.  Without the four hot stations corrupting the trend, California summers have cooled sharply since the 1920’s.

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New Ice-Free Arctic Date

Like the day before, there was almost no change in Arctic sea ice extent yesterday.

Index of /DATASETS/NOAA/G02135/north/daily/images/2018/08_Aug/

Nevertheless, at current volume melt rates, the Arctic will be ice-free on December 7, 2018 at 3:41 PM.

Spreadsheet    Data

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Sabbath Photo Caption Contest

  1. “God Loves Solar Panels”
  2. “God Promises He Will Never Curse The Earth Again With Solar Farms”
  3. ????????
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Advances In Climate Science Since the 16th Century

None.

In Shakespeare’s time, it was assumed that human actions affected weather

Symbolism of Weather in Macbeth by Dominic Denofrio on Prezi

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Party Is Over In The Arctic

Ice conditions are not looking good for Reggie, James and Al.

Index of /DATASETS/NOAA/G02135/north/daily/images/2018/08_Aug/

Summer is over at the North Pole.

Ocean and Ice Services | Danmarks Meteorologiske Institut

And nothing but cold in the forecast.

10-Day Temperature Outlook

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The July 1915 Heatwave At Yosemite National Park

During the week of July 19-25, 1915, afternoon temperatures at Yosemite National Park headquarters were over 110 degrees every day, averaged 112 degrees, and peaked at 115 degrees on July 20.

The only other year when Yosemite reached 110 degrees was a year earlier in 1914 – and in 1913, Death Valley, CA set the world’s record temperature of 134 degrees.

California was very hot when CO2 levels were low, but that certainly doesn’t stop climate scientists from lying about the non-existent relationship between heatwaves and atmospheric CO2.

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Something Very Rotten In California

I have hesitated to discuss California temperatures until I had tools in place to analyze it properly, and I do now.  NOAA shows maximum temperatures in California rising rapidly, and particularly a big jump after 2012.

Climate at a Glance | National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI)

The actual average maximum thermometer data shows no net change over the past century prior to 2012, but a big jump over the past six years. (I excluded Death Valley from this analysis, because they started reporting in the 1960’s and cause a fake long term warming bias on the right side of the graph.)

However, something is seriously wrong.  There are 53 USHCN stations in California, and only nine show warming since 2012, but thirty-one stations show cooling since 2012. Whatever is causing the post-2012 spike is not real.  It must be something along the lines of cooler stations not reporting as many days as the warmer stations.  I haven’t figured it out yet, but am quite certain that whatever is causing the recent spike in temperature is a data artifact.

Additionally, there are quite a few California stations which show long term cooling in their afternoon temperatures.

 

 

I no longer see any reason to believe California is warming.

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