WRF is predicting a stationary boundary of cold, dry air and warm, moist air cutting through Texas this week.
[youtube=http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=azAfP1YG6gU]
This may lead to heavy precipitation in the region of the boundary.
[youtube=http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5j474LLvXs4]
Note that cold and dry air is often required to produce strong convective storms. The very warm and humid regions of SE Texas aren’t expected to get much rain this week.
I can see CO2’s fingerprints all over that “extreme weather”. Clearly this droughtflood is a symptom of Global Weirding.
lol
Was looking at the 12Z GFS weather model, which does not show much rain for west Texas. Maybe other models are showing something different.
What it did show was more tremendous rains in places like Southern Missouri that have been getting big rains all Spring.
It’s the same old pattern, unseasonably cold air to the north and warm humid air to the south, a split jet steam with one branch bringing in Pacific storms and another branch going literally from the North Pole to Minnesota bringing down cold air.
A sure sign of “climate disruption”! We are doomed!
When you look at things on a scale of days its a pretty dramatic change when it goes from no rain to rain. That really is extreme. I guess all of those almanacs, etc. that use annual precipitation data are no longer valid indicators of drought/flood. When it doesn’t rain today, that is now a drought, then when it rains, that is now an extreme weather event.
If the amount of rain recieved by a region is exactly the same today as it has been for hundreds of years, that doesn’t mean anything because you need to look at a smaller scale to see the “extreme events” to understand that things are change…..and it is much worse then we thought.