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USHCN 2.5 – Estimated Data Is Warming Data – Arizona
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It’s NCDC’s version of Kirk fixing the Kobayashi Maru for needed outcomes..
You can do that with computer models. 🙂
Jeff Holmstead, former assistant administrator at the EPA for Air and Radiation, on why the latest EPA regulations on coal-fired power plants are massively misguided
http://schiffradio.com/pg/jsp/charts/audioMaster.jsp;jsessionid=2165BABAB53470AA6553BF18DF7E13FF?dispid=301&pid=65564&f=NjU1NjQtdHJ1ZS0wNi8wNS8yMDE0
Nothing is more irritating than not using proper instrumentation data to chart changes over time!
If a cook did this in a kitchen, everything would either burn or not cook enough!
Hey, the cat’s out of the bag. Hope this starts getting into the wild. Though I expect that they’ll just stop indicating any estimated data because it’s not about integrity with the scammers.
Wallowing in the raw data. Aint no substitute. Good work. Thanks.
I see a clear upward trend in manufactured temperatures. Of course their methods of estimation are fully verified and validated – aren’t they?
Take Screen shots or whatever before all the evidence vanishes and we are called crazy.
Your site is so much more scientifically respectable and responsible than that global warmer Anthony Watts’. Everything I see printed there I have to remember has been filtered for ” Magic Gas Believer Vision” compatibility.
Looking at the topmost chart it is easy just by eye to see the E values produce cooling during 1920 through 1940 which n turn does a lot to produce the current upward temperature trend.
Cool the past. Warm the present.
Not much is needed to turn a non-trend or a very slightly cooling trend into a warming trend; then claim it’s “worse than we thought” and cobble together some nonsense relating it to drought/flood/fire/storms, you name it.
I think the bottom line is that it isn’t coincidental, or accidental.
“About 15% of the data is Estimated from neighboring stations.”
Lets look at that.
My nearest weather station shows 68 °F and the nearest neighboring station shows 64 °F (north) and 72 °F (south) (Piedmont)
Another set of “nearby stations” in North Carolina (mountains) shows:
65.8 °F
59.3 °F
56.8 °F
And a last set (Coastal Plain)
70.4 °F
71.8 °F
67.5 °F
75.2 °F
>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>
If you want to “Infill” with estimated data then fine but don’t go showing the result of that mangled data to a hundredth of a degree when you are lucky to get a real error of less than a degree.
Remember the “offset” from one station to another does not stay the same day to day or even minute to minute. All it takes is a small thunderstorm to cause a major change in readings and I have seen it raining on the other side of the road and my farm never get any rain
If NASA had used this kind of
data manipulation“Scientific Guesstimation” during the Apollo 13 mission, the crew would be wandering through the Oort Cloud right about now.