JAXA shows an increase in sea ice extent since yesterday. This is the first time since 2006 which this has occurred so early in the autumn (today being the first day.)
JAXA ice extent is 3% higher than last year, and 49% higher than 2012.
Disrupting the Borg is expensive and time consuming!
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Hooray for Mother nature….She shows ’em who’s boss, again! LOL!
+1
Is not the mean for the end of the melt around Sept 12th. And yet it appears it ended about Aug. 12th if not earlier? But the trend on the most recent charts at Sunshine hours still show a slight downward trend indicating that it hasn’t bottomed out. Can someone please clarify? I am a statistical idiot and need all the help I can get.
Steve is showing the derivative in his plot, not the extent anomaly itself.
-Scott
RAH,
At this point as I showed earlier today, the Arctic temp is below freezing perhaps a bit sooner than in 2013. DMI – 2014 vs DMI – 2013.
The sea is close to freezing so melting from the bottom has pretty much stopped – NOAA – Real-time, global, sea surface temperature
There is still sunshine 24 hrs a day at the pole and 16 hrs at the edge of the Arctic Circle (sublimation) but at a very low angle.
This means changes in the Arctic at this time are now mainly caused by winds shifting the icebergs around until things pretty much freeze solid for the winter.
I should note that the shifting of ice is the reason Steve has been posing gain and loss maps.
I still think it’ll be a week to ten days before the minimum is hit on most metrics, but it’s usually a bit of a crapshoot.
-Scott
http://www.theguardian.com/environment/2009/jul/27/world-warming-faster-study check this out
From the article:
“The world faces record-breaking temperatures as the sun’s activity increases, leading the planet to heat up significantly faster than scientists had predicted for the next five years, according to a study.”
So, now, the Warmists have finally learned “It’s the Sun, Stupid”.
(They get funnier and funnier as they grasp for anything to hold on to.)
Yes very funny especially since the earth is leaving a grand solar maximum and maybe headed for a grand solar minimum.
One study has shown that from 1950-2009 was a historic era in the last several thousand years for the sun.
http://www.co2science.org/articles/V17/N32/C1.php
“….. the modern Grand maximum (which occurred during solar cycles 19-23, i.e., 1950-2009),” which they describe as “a rare or even unique event, in both magnitude and duration, in the past three millennia.”
“The world faces record-breaking temperatures as the sun’s activity increases”
What “Sun” they’re talking about?
The one at the center of our solar system is not increasing “activity” by any means, quite the opposite, now starts the beginning of the long, declining phase of the present cycle and many solar scientists- Leif Svalgaard (et at.), Lockwood (et al.), Usoskin (et al.), Abdusomatov (et al.), etc.- are predicting that the next solar cycles have great chance to be even lower than the present one.
No increasing “activity” in the foreseeable future.
If they really understood what they’re saying, they should be predicting a cooling climate, not warming.
Wait? What? The ice has stopped melting and started burning?
It’s worse than we thought!
I’m sure that someone already has a grant to study AIC (anthropogenic ice combustion) so I’m breathlessly awaiting the paper that proves it’s caused by Mann made CO2.
Arctic and Antarctic sea ice are funded by the Koch brothers.
Autumn is 20 days away. It is still very much summer.
Meteorological autumn is September-November
The calendar year does not matter to mother nature.
http://ocean.dmi.dk/arctic/plots/meanTarchive/meanT_2014.png
http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/news/meteorological-versus-astronomical-summer%E2%80%94what%E2%80%99s-difference
Looking at MASIE, last year, at day 244, there was 5.2 km*2. This year it’s at 5.7km*2.
http://nsidc.org/data/masie/
FTP archive
ftp://sidads.colorado.edu/DATASETS/NOAA/G02186/png/
MASIE did show a minimum extent of 4.7km*2 by mid September 2013. They were one of the lowest I believe. But more often than not they do a good job of finding the ice. They use more of the tools available than just microwave sensing.
Look for low pressure to dominate the basin again next week.
Meanwhile my prediction was 4k out 🙁
https://twitter.com/jim_hunt/status/507093672165654529