This is today’s version of GISS divergence from RSS graph. Normally during El Nino the gap closes, because the atmosphere warms more than the surface.. This year’s mini-El Nino has done the opposite.
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I assume the plot is GISS minus RSS.
That’s a huge difference this year.
Mini?
More like ‘micro’…
Has there actually been enough to qualify as an El Nino?
Not really.
Bob Tisdale is calling it An El Niño Mulligan?
I have very casually followed the WUWT ENSO meter and it has pretty much been in neutral with a few wimpy forays into El Niño territory.
SWAG
I do not think the oceans are getting enough solar energy to create a good strong El Niño and I also think there maybe a bit more nice cold water headed up the coast of South America from the Antarctic. (Humboldt current) Bob is much more of an expert on ENSO than I though so I strongly recommend reading what he has to say.
His animation from the above article:
https://bobtisdale.files.wordpress.com/2014/08/animation-1-ssh-v-t300.gif
An El Niño? Not so much a Mulligan as a ‘McGuffin’ – that is it’s a plot device designed to destract, and keep focus away from the CO2 issue.
“Normally during El Nino the gap closes, because the atmosphere warms more than the surface.. This year’s mini-El Nino has done the opposite.
This effect is brought to you by the magical properties of CO2 – the global wonder molecule (after water).
🙂
CO2…the new phlogiston…or is it aether?
The way the CO2 fantasists act is is all of them and more.
True, the El Nino region is fairly neutral, but the warm water in the pacific N/un. So as SST is very high now, and still the divergence is increasing, then something rotten is likely afoot.
They didn’t get the warm spell from an El Niño this summer like they were hoping so Gavin had to manufacture one out of whole cloth.