Experts say the hurricane season is getting longer due to climate change, and they want to start naming more storms.
‘Climate change is real’: Hurricane season may need to start a few weeks earlier, meteorologists say – ABC11 Raleigh-Durham
Actual data shows that hurricane season is getting shorter. June hurricanes in the US used to be fairly common, but there haven’t been any US June hurricane landfalls for 35 years. In 1886, the US was hit by three hurricanes during June.
In 1955, there was a hurricane during January.
And in 1493, Christopher Columbus was nearly killed by a February hurricane.
03 Jan 1955, 1 – The Miami News at Newspapers.com
06 Jan 1955, Page 6 – Fort Lauderdale News at Newspapers.com
What is actually happening is that academics and government agencies are rewarded for producing confirmation bias of global warming. Chris Landsea is the Science and Operations Officer at the National Hurricane Center.
He explained that the reason people think there are more storms, is because we have much more monitoring in the Mid-Atlantic than we used to, so more storms are found. Many storms were missed in the past before the satellite and trans-Atlantic plane travel.
In 2005, he quit the IPCC because the hurricane “science” was pre-determined and politicized.
This is an open letter to the community from Chris Landsea.
After some prolonged deliberation, I have decided to withdraw from participating in the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). I am withdrawing because I have come to view the part of the IPCC to which my expertise is relevant as having become politicized. In addition, when I have raised my concerns to the IPCC leadership, their response was simply to dismiss my concerns.
With this open letter to the community, I wish to explain the basis for my decision and bring awareness to what I view as a problem in the IPCC process. The IPCC is a group of climate researchers from around the world that every few years summarize how climate is changing and how it may be altered in the future due to manmade global warming. I had served both as an author for the Observations chapter and a Reviewer for the 2nd Assessment Report in 1995 and the 3rd Assessment Report in 2001, primarily on the topic of tropical cyclones (hurricanes and typhoons). My work on hurricanes, and tropical cyclones more generally, has been widely cited by the IPCC. For the upcoming AR4, I was asked several weeks ago by the Observations chapter Lead Author – Dr. Kevin Trenberth – to provide the writeup for Atlantic hurricanes. As I had in the past, I agreed to assist the IPCC in what I thought was to be an important, and politically-neutral determination of what is happening with our climate.
– Prometheus: Chris Landsea Leaves IPCC Archives
His college mentor was my good friend Dr. Bill Gray, who passed away five years ago. Dr. Gray was the leading tropical meteorology expert in the world, and the inventor of modern hurricane forecasting. Bill had his funding cut off by VP Al Gore in 1993, and never got another penny out of the government – because (unlike most of his colleagues) he refused to trade his integrity for government funding.
Tony, you need to get a segment on Fox News. Really. Maybe become a regular on Jesse Watters’ show. Lead-in is how pundit X claims climate change is getting worse, then you come in and demolish the claim into 1000 pcs. Week after week. So that people start dismissing idiotic claims (as I do) almost immediately. I have the advantage of a few thousand hours of study on the subject, so this makes it super easy for me to identify BS, maybe less easy for others. But you’re really hitting it out of the part these last few weeks and I think such a show detailing your articles and charts would be super entertaining and would show younger viewers that everything they’ve been taught on the subject is 100% crap. This is a very much needed concept to spur students to start looking for themselves. Make it like a short education program, once in a while, maybe even issue “pulling back the curtain” challenges to students.
Come up with a catch phrase indicating at the end of every segment that it’s clear that any worthy challenges are welcome, televised for all to see. This way when some Twitter blowhard wants to cancel you, it’s almost required to “put up or shut up” (maybe that’s the catch phrase)… I think it would be awesome, and you could do it without traveling. Great stuff, glad to see your older style format appear here more frequently!
All news/media outlets are parasite owned and run, as are all institutions of modern civilization. It’s humanity against the world mafia cult clan, we lost 6000 years ago.
Tony has the tools needed. Courage. Knowledge. Great sound bites. Good voice. His videos showcase his videos.
A rose is a rose by any name. But, a tropical disturbance given a name becomes a hurricane.
These climate alarmists have a lot of bull dog in them. They never give up.
they have too much at stake or steaks to put on the grill- billions are being spent on Global Warming / Cooling / Change / Vortex / $$$$$ – that is why the lie is stretched out so long
I remember you speaking about Dr. Grey. I wish I would have met him. A man of science and integrity- NO WONDER you were friends! I’m sorry for his passing. I know he was a pioneer in the prediction of cyclones and the intensity, as I recall. I LOVE that he told Al Gore that he wasn’t in agreement. I DON’T like that Gasbag Gore punished him What a world we live in.. Thank you for all you do for us, Tony. You’re terrific.
It was not a good decision by Landsea to quit his IPCC position.
As then the last position of integrity was given for free to an agenda troll who does not care about science at all.
It is always better to have the opportunity to observe the snake and its mechanisms from the inside
and become the party crasher whenever new crap is being unleashed.
Yes, not only is the number of Hurricanes apparent increase due to better sensing as in this excellent article:
But they are continuing to move the goal posts and classifying storms as “tropical” when in fact the criteria has been lowered to achieve that classification.
So we are merely “seeing” more storms due to better sensing (satellites), but they have also “adjusted” the minimum requirements to be called a tropical storm as such downwards so all kinds of fish storms that are nothing burgers are not called tropical depressions or storms. (the total number of storms is the same, but we are seeing more in the media is the bottom line)
And on top of these factors, they have been lying about the strength of the storms – in an attempt to have observations meet their climate change theory.
You can document this lying for yourself during a tropical storm or Atlantic Hurricane, by watching the feeds from the hurricane hunter aircraft and their dropsonde data. and compare this to the “official” sustained wind speed of a named storm.
This and then weather radar data as it gets closer to land – all show they are deliberately raising the wind speeds in the official reports. (example is max from dropsondes was 105 kt/120 mph at 10,000 feet altitude, but the storm was reported as a Category 4 with sustained winds of 135 MPH)( it is a fact that wind speed reduces closer to the ground due to friction, so 120 mph at 10,000 feet will be closer to 100 mph at ground – so in this real example from Irma in 2017 – I backed it up with an ocean buoy reading as the eyewall passed over it, and it read 90 kt max which is 103 mph so in reality it was only a category 2 storm, not a category 4 as it left the Keys and headed for Naples)
I started noticing this 4-5 years ago and it has continued or even gotten worse as time goes by. I monitor any approaching storm closely as I am in South East Florida and have directly experienced 3 serious Hurricane Landfalls.
Frances and Jeanne in 2004, and Wilma in 2005. Lots of weaker storms or indirect hits – but these 3 had their eyewalls pass over me and it’s not fun to say the least. With Frances, it was weakening and it’s diameter expanding as it passed over, and as a result, my house was in the eyewall for 22 hours!!! 22 hours of 75-90 mph winds and sideways torrential rain. Wilma was more intense, but the forecasters got that completely wrong….
They all said it would weaken as it came ashore on Florida’s west coast and traversed land before arriving on the east coast near West Palm Beach. Duh, Hurricanes get their energy from passing over warm water – and the “land” Wilma traversed was the extremely warm “inland sea” of the Everglades! It actually intensified passing over the ‘glades! And on top of this an approaching cold front was going to collide with Wilma and they all said this would weaken the storm – wrongo again dumbarses!
Being a pilot and having to understand weather maps and conditions and how weather works – these so called experts all failed to understand weather 101. A cold front pushes warm moist air upwards, cooling it down and CAUSING thunderstorms – which are the essence of Hurricanes. The cold front further intensified Wilma as it hit the Florida East coast. (it was the most amazing thing I’ve ever seen – Wilma was intense on the leading eyewall – but then the actual eye passed over and it was of course eerily calm for 20 minutes – but I was outside when this ink black wall approached from the west – the back side eyewall – and then within 30 seconds the air temperature dropped from 85 F to 55F just before all hell broke loose – the cold front indeed merged with the hurricane and intensified it – ten times more damage than either of the previous year’s eyewall passages)
Suffice to say I never trust the official Hurricane forecast anymore, but go to the raw data or info and test their prognostications against reality and weather 101.
Oh and just another tidbit, the “models” used to predict Hurricanes are practically the same GCM’s that are used for Climate Change fortune telling. And these GCM’s are only accurate out to 3 maybe 5 days in advance for tropical predictions. Yet all these crystal ball gazers want you believe these same models can predict climate 50 years into the future!
You are absolutely correct. As a prior Air Force typhoon forecaster in Guam, I can easily see that they are now lowering the standards for naming storms. The more names they can create — the biggest the scare stories to can concoct. The system is corrupt at many levels. The fact that someone can make millions making false predictions and even get a Nobel Prize for forecasts that never verified is quite sad to say the least … https://newtube.app/user/RAOB/fjMVm9X
In the UK these days they seem to name every little breeze and rain shower. Ridiculous.
Every miniscule tropical depression, every popcorn fart, is today given a “name” and tracked, with intense drama, on TV news.
More disturbing stuff. I just wish more people took an interest to discover what is really going on. The Australian Bureau Of Meteorology has lost it’s integrity too. It had temperature sensors that wouldn’t read below 10C. They have also changed the sampling frequency of temperature. Short spikes are now countered whereas before they would be filtered out. This means maximums are higher than the historical records.
The best solution to all of this would be to reformulate the rules and lower the threshold wind speeds needed to claim that a disturbance is a Tropical Depression (from the current 39 mph to 35 mph). Then do a similar thing for Tropical Storms and Hurricanes.
And “voilà” the problem is solved.
This could also be done without tinkering with the numbers at all, but by simply deciding to transition to the metric system, where 39 mph becomes 39 km/hr. Think about the “beauty” of that scheme and how few would have the intellect to question it. And if it did come up, the response would be: “It is about time the United States adopted the metric system and discarded the white supremacist English system. Only climate deniers want to go back to the way things were.” (lol)
Thank you Dr Gray on behalf of my grandchildren.
May God bless you in eternity.
Rest in oeace
According to NOAA the following decades from 1850s through 2010s had 19 or more Continental U.S. landfall hurricanes:
Decade Hurricanes Saffir-Simpson
1870s 19 1.9
1880s 25 1.8
1890s 20 2.1
1910s 21 2.1
1940s 23 2.3
2000s 19 1.7
Storms weren’t named until the 1950s. The “named storm” statistic is meaningless.
Whoops, bad math on 1940s and 2000s average, should look like this:
Decade, Hurricanes, Highest Saffir-Simpson Average (mean)
1870s, 19, 1.9
1880s, 25, 1.8
1890s, 20, 2.1
1910s, 21, 2.1
1940s, 23, 2.2
2000s, 19, 2.0