I started making fun of Arctic alarmists seventeen years ago this week.
Arctic ice refuses to melt as ordered • The Register
Sea ice extent is higher now than eighteen years ago, when Greta Thunberg was four years old.
ftp://osisaf.met.no/prod_test/ice/index/v2p2/nh/osisaf_nh_sie_daily.txt
No change in Arctic ice cover for decades…. in winter months….. but also, a noticeable decline in the summer months of Arctic Ice. Why? my theory…as a very unimportant, uneducated bloke, with a well-rounded non scientific background…lol…. I think the lower recent Artic ice totals in the summer are due to increased volumes of soot from India and probably…. mostly Chinese. new online coal fired power plants coming on soon to your neighborhood
And right on cue the Guardian reports:
Dramatic slowdown in melting of Arctic sea ice surprises scientists
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2025/aug/20/slowdown-in-melting-of-arctic-sea-ice-surprises-scientists
My question to the climate scientists: since ALL your models got this so wrong for 20 years, why on earth should we even think you’ve got it right now.
As JoNova explains:
https://joannenova.com.au/2025/08/600-billion-tons-of-carbon-emissions-and-arctic-sea-ice-has-stayed-the-same-for-20-years/
What they don’t say is that if the world is warming and the ice isn’t melting, then some other mysterious force they don’t understand must be keeping the sea-ice cooler.
If we had climate models that knew what those forces were – they might have seen this coming in 2005 instead of being surprised in 2025….
From the paper — They say the trend will definitely end soon, unless it doesn’t. The Experts are so under-confident now, they are buying another five or ten years of time, just in case the arctic doesn’t start melting soon:
“Analysis of ensemble members that simulate analogs of the observed pause indicates that the current slowdown could plausibly persist another five to 10 years, although the chances of a faster?than?average decline are increased in the near?future.”
These people don’t even know what evidence is. The think simulations are evidence:
“The modeling evidence suggests that internal variability has substantially offset anthropogenically forced sea ice loss in recent decades. Overall, this observed pause in Arctic sea ice decline is consistent with simulated internal variability superimposed on the long?term trend according to the bulk of the climate modeling evidence.”
If I were a climate sceanceist, I probably shouldn’t bet on Arctic ice cooperating in 5 to 10 years. In that time, the AMO stands a good chance of having begun its ~30-40 year trip to the bottom – an inconvenient cycle which could drive the proverbial wooden stake through the heart of the AGW vampires.
As we’ve seen with other hoaxes perpetrated by the left, when things don’t go according to their crystal ball predictions, they MAKE them happen. We should be worried they will do something drastic to frighten the masses.