Climate Attribution Model

Climate scientists are writing a model to blame weather events on corporations.

The secret weapon that could finally force climate action | New Scientist

This motivated me to write my own weather attribution model, which blames weather events on specific companies – including sciency sounding explanations.

You can try it out here at this link. It is good for a few minutes of entertainment:
Corporate Weather Attribution Generator

About Tony Heller

Just having fun
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44 Responses to Climate Attribution Model

  1. conrad ziefle says:

    I dreamed it, therefore it is real. Doesn’t matter. It’s easy to start a Climate Cult subreligion. There are so many believers out there seeking a charismatic leader.

  2. arn says:

    ” Is this the TOOL we need to effectively persecute …. ”

    It is very rare that these bastards are that honest.
    It’s not science, justice or a matter of facts, wrong or right, but a TOOL.
    That’s why they were so busy to declare co2 a pollutant – once you get away with such a perversion anything goes.

    But here is a little problem: In a field where a butterfly flap is supposed to create a hurricane / or not,
    In a world where a gigantic hurricane can be just a day away without experts being able to detect or predict it –
    but than somehow to be able to pin this hurricane down on a specific company? This is peak charlatanry.

    A tool that can connect specific anomalies to specific companies is impossible.
    Even the atheist god of superdeterminism would not dare to go there.

    As of now I would guess we are not even able to do such a thing on a most primitive basic level
    (spray 5 drops on a window, and repeatedly predict which drop will run down first with 50% accuracy ).

    • arn says:

      PS
      The picture above is missing a sickle.

    • conrad ziefle says:

      I’m not sure it is charlatanry. It could be total incompetency with logic, understanding of science, and inability to understand magnitude and scope. I.e., they really believe that butterfly wings can cause a hurricane on the other side of the world, that they can kill an elephant with a Red Rider BB gun, and that they really are deserving of a better life.

      • arn says:

        You mean they have knowledge but no wisdom?

        That’s kind of what defines the woke
        and maybe it was the marxist intention all along to create drones that know the price of everything and the value of nothing
        and it is that kind of people that universities produce by the millions.

        Yet I think in this case it’s evil, not incompetence.
        If he were? talking Obama/Mamdani stuff and about a better world or revolution I’d go along.

        But this is super-complex stuff (and not some toiletslogans or changing some economical parameters,)
        where neither the level of distribution nor the locations are known,nor when it is released and for sure not how it gets dispersed? .

        Some companies release co2, others only dig it out of the ground, others sell it to the masses, other don’t even sell to average Joe and others get their energy from nuclear power plants with no co2 emissions at all.
        On top of that the biggest co2 emitter is not a company but the US military.
        And I also highly assume (didn’t even bother to look into it),
        that these listed companies are all US/western companies,
        and that this is just a further racist white guilt trope
        and that 90%+ of emitters and emissions are being ignored
        in favor of the great narrative.

        As I can not imagine that all of this combined is just result of incompetence(there is no excellence in incompetence) and that he is just a megalomaniac retard I’d say here is a manipulative character with some serious egoproblems at work.

        Doesn’t know what a woman is but has a skill to pin down hurricane X to 96% on Exxon.
        That’s evil imo.

  3. Bob G says:

    I disagree ARN. the biggest emitter of CO2 in the United States is the American people. Now, to save the planet, or at least the United States, everybody please hold your breath. lol

  4. The Club of Rome demonstrated way back in the 1970s that computers are excellent bullshit amplifiers. When microcomputers emerged in the ’80s into the domestic market, most owners acquired some skill at coding, and computers lost the mysticism they originally had when they were only used by banks, governments and universities. Unfortunately, with naive users accessing the processing capability through apps, rather than understanding of how the devices work, this mysticism has re-emerged, so the public can be once again be conned by results whose only merit is that they were generated by computer.

    • arn says:

      The most mystical thing about computers is that,
      no matter how powerful they become and how complicated they get,
      their predictive capabilities in terms of environment and climate
      are still as shitty as they were during their most primitive era of CoR’ s
      World3 program.

      On the other hand: We were able to land on the moon with those primitive computers now we no longer are.
      The old mysticism is well deserved.

      • conrad ziefle says:

        My cousin was the computer operator for NASA during all those flights in the 60’s and 70’s. His job was to make sure that the computer never went down, or if it did, it was back up as quickly as possible. He had a little room off the main floor, which you can see on the left side when they are looking down at all of the operators in the Houston Flight Control center. He passed a couple of years ago.

      • Landing on the Moon had more to do with graph paper and slide rules. In those days, the intelligence was in front of the screen (more likely, line printer and card reader). Nowadays it is assumed to reside within the computer, with the result it actually exists on neither side of the screen.

      • GW says:

        That’s because you can’t mathematically model something which has hundreds (perhaps thousands) of variables, each of which has a near infinite range of possibilities.

        • arn says:

          I always had the evil assumption that they have chosen climate as vehicle because of that.
          So many variables
          and it were weather models that revealed to Lorenz that even the tiniest changes can massively change the outcome.

          Which means that some consensus scientists with an activist attitude can come up with any scenario the politicians wants them to deliver.
          And the more complex the system, the easier to get the wanted outcome and hide the manipulation.

        • In the past models were written once the calculations became too difficult to do manually, i.e. AFTER considerable understanding of the phenomenon concerned had been gained, and indeed the analytical solutions would be used as test cases during validation. A model specification must identify the processes which are most relevant to the phenomenon of interest and appropriate governing equations. Unfortunately, that is the information which the study the model is supposed to support is seeking. Thus the process is iterative, and usually limited in scope to specific phenomena, gaining undrstanding at each stage. What we have at present is more akin to Tarot card reading, complete with the mystic bullshit needed to bamboozle the technically naive.

    • Luigi says:

      I have been doing simulations for many years in engineering field.
      And because in engineering if you make a mistake people die, all simulations must be corroborated by a nice huge test: take ultimate loads on airplanes, crash safety in cars and so on.
      and where 1:1 models are not feasibles (for instance buildings, bridges) then designers use safety factors up to 5.

      I have modified results to make structures that were not safe appear safe “on paper”, because my supervisors needed positive results for a while, but of course then, passing from prototyping to pre production items, we had to introduce modifications (and invent justifications “we could not predict before”) in order to correct what we all knew was wrong.

      So, simulation can tell you everything and the contrary of everything: it’s just you to choose the direction.

      Now, you can easily do the same with climate models, whose predictions are visible only in 20-30 years. In 20-30 years nobody will remember the model’s prediction. And even if someone remebers it, the autor of the model will aready be retired and happy owner of a sea view villa next to that of Obama, laughing at the idea that the sea should have already risen and flooded the villas…
      🙂

      • When you consider the amount of rig testing, hardware in the loop and full scale trials needed to develop an engineering product, you can appreciate just how laughable climate models are.

  5. Bob G says:

    This may be a bit off subject but it is weather related. one of my favorite documentary films… you can find it on YouTube… it’s building the Mighty Mac. that’s referring to the bridge that was built in late 1950s that connected lower Michigan to upper Michigan across the Mackinac straits. I’ve been there several times and to Mackinac Island and it’s a gorgeous place to be… in the middle of summer. I came across the documentary tonight and watched it again because I love it…im shocked to find, in one of the early years of construction they were able to keep working until January 14th. the weather was unseasonably warm until Jan 14.. how can that be? a warm December/ January 65 years ago? I thought the weather experts told us that was the ice age. https://youtu.be/C07hGxEij3M?si=zJOvQexQ3fY3lnT2

    • Inspiring documentary. Compare and contrast the attitude that the laws of nature which people feared are the very same laws mankind can exploit to his benefit with the current mental paralysis which seeks to obstruct progress at every turn.

      • Bob G says:

        it is a great story…. as is the building of the Golden Gate bridge in California. no doubt both structures would be canceled today because there might be a new biracial bisexual somewhat retarded minnow discovered originating from that tiny plot of buildable bridge land. lol. long live the minnow! while I have your attention …very very cold weather is forecast for the upper Midwest for the next two weeks. yikes!!!! my furnace is 20 years old and I’m hoping for the best…. and I’m not kidding…. please furnace, give me a couple more years!

  6. Bob G says:

    Folks, it’s that time of year again. no, not the college football championship. it’s that time of year when North America typically feels it’s coldest temperatures. but it’s also the same time of year that we hear of so-called record unheard of off the scale hot hot extremely hot days in Australia, as it is their summer. I haven’t heard a peep. I just looked at the 10-day forecast for Sydney Australia. highs in the seventies and lows in the 60s. I thought Al Gore said Earth has a fever. hmmm…. maybe not.

  7. Bob G says:

    Brutal cold in Minnesota update. January came in like a lamb and is leaving like a lion. expected low temperatures in St Cloud Minnesota this coming weekend… 30 below zero without the wind. that ties current record lows. not long ago I asked our local head meteorologist at St Cloud Minnesota University how is it that we can have the same low temperatures now when CO2 is at 420, the same low temperatures that we had when CO2 was 290 125 years ago? (I’ve been exchanging email with this guy for 20 years) …his response after 20 years was the CO2 warming issue is proven and don’t ever email me again. there you have it folks. if you question the obvious you will be canceled. I don’t want to be mean but I have to tell you… this guy … who I cited…cannot think for himself. the theory may be interesting, it may even make sense but if reality Trumps the theory … the theory failed…. there’s something else going on.

  8. Bob G says:

    10 minutes after 11:00 p.m. on a January Thursday in St Cloud Minnesota. current temperature is 21 below zero…. and that is without the wind. somewhere around 40 below zero with the wind. but don’t complain in Northwest Minnesota it’s 30 below zero… without the wind. where’s Al Gore tonight? probably cashing in his carbon credits someplace warm….

  9. Bob G says:

    where are my fellow posters? while I’m freezing my arse off in Minnesota my friend’s apparently went South. lol. maybe you’ll find this interesting… but I did. we’ve heard a thousand times that the globe is warming and all the research seems to start with 1960 and more recent.. totally ignoring cooler records before that. because I’m a nerd I just found out that the highest elevation in Ontario Canada was thought to be a mountain at about 2100 elevation…. and they didn’t find out till the 1970s that there was a another High ridge nearby there that was a hundred feet higher! hhhmmm. but let’s trace the science…. the science that can’t even figure out the height of a ridge in the 1970s!!!! – Ishpatina Ridge, located in Lady Evelyn-Smoothwater Provincial Park, is the highest natural point in Ontario at approximately \(693\text{\ meters}\) (\(2,274\text{\ feet}\)) above sea level. It was not officially recognized as the province’s highest point until new topographic mapping in the early 1970s, which corrected previous beliefs that Maple Mountain was higher.  +3 Ishpatina Ridge, located in Lady Evelyn-Smoothwater Provincial Park, is the highest natural point in Ontario …..

    • arn says:

      Ain’t it interesting that they couldn’t tell a difference of a hundred feet 50 years ago,
      That in 2020 they found out that Mount Everest was at least 2 m higher than previously thought,

      but they want to measure sea level from a thousand miles above.

      • The unambiguous range resolution of a radar system is given by the speed of light divided by twice the detector bandwidth (typically less than one tenth of the carrier frequency). If climate science has found a means of getting a 3cm radar to measure range to within 3mm, the defence industry would be very interested to hear. If you actually believe such precision really is possible with a satellite radar, I have got a nice big iron tower to sell you.

        • arn says:

          I’d gladly buy this tower but Andre Poisson already did so and I’m not dealing with fishy french businessmen,
          therefore I’ll play it safe and take the Brooklyn Bridge.

          Talking about radar and defense industry.
          Clive Davis had one of their former rocket scientists (Ted Postol) explaining why the official success rate of intercepting hypersonic missiles these days is not the official 62.5% but 0 % – and the scale of lies and tricks they used to get to the 2 out of 3 fairy-tale.
          (but I guess 0 % is not the best selling point for a golden dome)

          And speed and range are not the only problems for the radar, but that it is almost impossible to tell the rocket from its decoys with the current tech.

  10. Bob G says:

    cooler records before then…. but also much warmer records before then. (before 1960). sorry for the mistake

  11. Bob G says:

    I just celebrated another birthday and just want to let everybody know that I’m old enough to remember when winter used to be called winter and now it’s called a polar vortex. I just googled it and that term only came into fashion in 2014. the term winter came into fashion probably 50,000 years ago. lol. get ready people, a February polar vortex is on its way. “Forecasts for February 2026 indicate a significant, high-altitude polar vortex disruption (stratospheric warming) that is expected to fracture, causing a major, prolonged outbreak of Arctic air across North America and Europe. This collapse, likely to split the vortex into two, will probably result in intense cold and potential snow/ice storms in the second half of February, with effects potentially lasting into early spring. “

    • arn says:

      Happy Birthday.

      • Bob G says:

        Thanks Arn. My GF took me to Red Lobster. I hadn’t been there in 10 years. 10 years ago the place was packed. now I’d say 40% or less and nobody waiting for a table. I like Trump and I like his policies but he’s not fooling me that the economy is great. who’s going to go out to eat when your rent has doubled, your house payment has doubled, your home insurance has tripled. it’s going to take many years to fix this mess. Trump needs to hammer home the point that all this illegal immigration has driven down everybody’s wages.

        • arn says:

          The reason why the Boss of Blackrock is such a huge fan of immigration was the decrease of wages.

          Now to the expensive part.

          Things, except for housing, if de-immigration happens on a necessary scale, won’t get cheaper for most people – imo.

          Such a massive debt 38 trillion debt in combination with reindustrializing(made in USA is more expensive than made in China, especially with renewable energy)
          and massive moneyprinting will lead to an inflation.
          (The massive recent rise of precious metals, including the massive price differences( 20% ) between Shanhai and Comex including artificial hammering down of them(Silver lost 1/3 in value on a single day),
          are pretty clear indicators that things wont get better soon.
          On top of that Xi has announced today that he wants the Yuan to become the worlds reserve status.
          Now – if the Dollar looses said status, the USA will no longer be able to pass its domestic inflation onto the rest of the world – and it will all be unleashed at home.

  12. Bob G says:

    it used to be called winter. the following … check the link…had to been written by a mentally ill person, (definitely deficient). https://timandersen.substack.com/p/climate-change-may-be-causing-more

  13. Bob G says:

    Record warmth forecasted for Florida!! oops… never mind. I heard record temperatures are coming and I just assumed it was warmth because of “man-made” global warming. my mistake. it’s record cold forecasted. https://www.accuweather.com/en/winter-weather/florida-braces-for-coldest-conditions-in-decades-this-weekend/1858164

  14. Gerald Machnee says:

    We had a BS generator like that for bureaucracy.
    Orlando was Minus 5 deg C this morning with a wind.
    Not sure if they cancelled the women’s golf.
    We had M38C in Manitoba a few days ago,
    My grandparents called it winter.
    I believe that at one of the Universities in Canada they have a group engaged in “attribution”. Translation: Blame Game. They play around a bit then blame the event on “climate change”. Meanwhile there were worse events a 100 years ago such as the flood in Calgary in 2013.

  15. Bob G says:

    Our local University meteorologist just posted something pretty interesting. Minnesota’s record low was set 30 years ago at 60 below. that’s without the wind. our local meteorologist stated that the reason that happened was because in 1996 there was air trapped in northern Alaska for 3 weeks and when it finally descended down to the Midwest, that extremely cold air set many cold records. interesting. Hmmm…I’m wondering why the opposite isn’t true. when we set warm temperature records isn’t that typically because we have a Southwest wind? I don’t recall anybody suggesting it was because the CO2 level jumped higher. all of a sudden. well …here we are, 40 years later, still waiting for Manhattan Island to flood. oh, it’s flooded all right…. flooded in a sea of garbage that can’t be picked up because the garbage trucks are used for plowing all that white stuff… that doesn’t fall anymore…. accept in the Carolinas and Northern Florida. lol

  16. Bob G says:

    Fear porn is back. meanwhile where science means anything Arctic ice cover is the same as the past 20 years and Great lakes ice cover is way above average. https://www.faculty.world/04-165494-meteorologists-warn-arctic-conditions-are-deteriorating-ahead-of-february-in-unprecedented-ways/

  17. Ohio Cyclist says:

    I was just reading where over 10,000 entries in the canadian temperature record had the TMin > TMax.

    It is on page 48 of …
    https://correlation-canada.org/artificial-stepwise-increases-in-temperature-data-canada/

    I find the explanation given for this entirely unsatisfactory.

    Someone in charge of the data systematically altered the minimums up without having realized that this caused the minimum/maximum inversions. They incompetently altered the data which allowed this discovery of the manipulation.

    But when the data has been corrupted (likely in order to falsely support global warming) then it becomes impossible to draw any meaningful conclusions.

    • conrad ziefle says:

      We have been having unusual warmth in the afternoon here in the SF Bay Area California. Our mornings have been declared to be lows of around 40. However, my thermometer, inside a non-heated shed, has consistently registered in the high 30’s, several degrees below the declared minimum. The roofs in the neighborhood are covered with frost several hours into the morning, only melting when hit by sunlight. The lawns too. So what does this say? The lawns and the roofs can freeze at above 32F, when facing into a black, cloudless sky at night. My thermometer in the shed cannot. I think maybe two things are true: The declared temperature of any area is really only indicative of the exact spot where the thermometer is. The temperature varies from place to place even in a small area. And secondly, they probably pick higher temperatures for the declared temperature, slanting the data toward warm.

      • Bob G says:

        so…. the official low temperature is 40 but you have frost on your roof. about the same thing I’ve experienced where I live near downtown St Cloud Minnesota, Metro population of about 125k, and I live about 7 miles to the West… in the country…. temperature here in a late summer evening is always six or seven degrees cooler then inner city Minneapolis.. makes you think that maybe the climate has gotten cooler, not warmer

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