Over the past decade, GISS shows UK winters cooling at a rate of 10-20 degrees C per century.
Disrupting the Borg is expensive and time consuming!
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Please don’t let facts get in the way of a good BS story!
The Met office staff need to take a tea break, step outside and smell the cold….
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-1336705/UK-big-freeze-Army-standby-coldest-December-100-years.html
Hottest year ever ever ever?
From your posted article:
“As forecasters warned of more snow, sub-zero temperatures and ice for the Christmas period:
” * The Prime Minister urged homeowners to embrace the ‘we’re all in it together’ strategy of the Conservatives Big Society by being good neighbors.”
This is starting to sound really dangerous for our friend in the British Isles. For gosh sake it’s only the first week or so of December….
Also very important… the pubs are running out of beer. This could get ugly.
From Joe Bastardi:
THURSDAY MORNING
PREPARATION FOR RENEWAL OF EXTREME COLD FROM FRANCE TO SCANDINAVIA AND WEST THROUGH THE UK SHOULD BE MADE.
I am hopeful ( prayerful) that the coming cold wave that will follow what thaw there is in the northwest will have the populace prepared. While it is true I have had a little fun with those that dont see eye to eye with me on the issue of AGW, the coming cold, in the wake of the stress that has already been put on the populace of the northwest part of Europe, is nothing to joke about.
The current cold will shift southeast for a while, before the re-establishment of the cold pool back where it was the past 2 weeks. This will allow for people to have a few days of milder weather in the UK and Ireland. Germany is liable to take the brunt of the whole thing, for while there is a few days of warming in the northwest, the cold shifting southeast centers over them and when it reloads a bit further west it is over them.
While I realize its open for debate, the patterns that are developing are part of what I described would start to happen a few years ago when the combination of oceanic, solar and even seismic cycles( the last one being the biggest wild card) began to take effect. The coming years will tell who is right and who is wrong. The true shame here though is that people were brainwashed into thinking such things could not happen anymore, and its almost dastardly that the ones that did the brainwashing are now claiming its because they were right ( we go from saying it wont occur because of something, to it is occurring because of what was suppose to prevent it from occurring). In any case, it is my sincere hope, that folks in the targeted area do not take this lightly. If I am overdone in some places, all the better. There will be a price to pay in hardship for this, and in studying the whole pattern that is in front of western and northern Europe the next 15 days ( the shot of cold into the south and east comes and goes, but when it comes anew after the new year, it may remain) the bitter pill to swallow for not being prepared for such things is as nasty as the cold itself.
Be ready!
ciao for now ***
http://www.accuweather.com/ukie/bastardi-europe-blog.asp?partner=accuweather
Can The Met be held liable for poor forecasts that make the public unprepared?
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0UNXv6IUhC4&feature=player_embedded
A wager between Piers Corbyn and Vicki Pope is in order. He says it’s going to be a wicked winter in the UK:
4:45 video
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CHPooN0DZ5Y
Corbyn got it right last winter while the Met Office got it wrong. He got it right this year as well while the Met Office abandoned its seasonal forecasts. Piers Corbyn is also an outright AGW sceptic.
Guys,
Brill idea. I’m not sure if Vicki Pope wants to talk to me but how about one of you approaching her for a bet or two, on fair statistical odds.
I would wager:
This winter (Dec-Feb inc) (Central England Temps) to be colder than normal – 1/1
Ditto to be in coldest 20 of last 100 years – 5/1 against
Ditto to be in coldest 10 of last 100 years – 10/1 against
Ditto to be in coldest 5 of last 100 years – 20/1 against
Ditto to be in coldest 2 of last 100 years – 50/1 against
Ditto to be THE coldest of last 100 years – 100/1 against
I would put a tenner on each and expect her to pay out
I would put the last one in my own forecasting terms as 50/50 so its worth a tenner if someone will give me 1000 if it happens.
If she wants shorter odds what does that say about her confidence in her own forecasts? How about asking her now about next summer in England 2BBQ or not 2BBQ?!
You might be interested in these tweets links
BIG ISSUE Getting better Weather Forecasts for Scotland & UK; Re SNP Minister STEVENSON blames MetOffice
http://climaterealists.com/6811
VIDEOs MUST SEE Where did WeatherAction latest advance come from = November Review + Essence of Winter 2010-11
http://bit.ly/hBF2yV
Thank you,
Piers Corbyn MSc astrophysics, ARCS, FRAS, FRMetS
MD WeatherAction long range weather and climate forecasters