The ice pack moved from ten miles off shore yesterday, to about one mile offshore today at the eastern end of the Beaufort Sea. Based on the drift forecasts for the next week, it appears quite likely that their route will be completely blocked with thick ice in a few days.
I think your ETA of April 2065 was about right!
LOL…who knows, the wind might change again
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uSPLSo3U46Q
I haven’t heard that song in 60 years. I still love it
The Gore Effect(TM).
pretty much!
It looks to be a crushing defeat for their adventure and egos!
They need to reevaluate their mission before it costs their sponsors and supporters deep embarrassment..
I’d prefer if they didn’t … never give up an opportunity to gloat at the high stupidity of the CAGW proponents.
So long as the “crushing defeat” isn’t death by ice pack.
Though it would indeed make headlines if they got crushed to death by the ice-free-in-2013 arctic ice-pack.
Once they are out of sight of land and the weather goes to muck…. Well, I wouldn’t bet any money on their chances.
Perhaps they will regain their sanity and go home.
I don’t think they’re planning to go more than a mile offshore.
So far they have clung to the coast, taking the long way round the bay, just so they can run to shelter when it gets a bit rough.
But isn’t that how you would do it Paul? Only a complete and utter idiot would do otherwise unless they were suicidal, no matter how much they believed in global warming.
I’m guessing the mission will be declared a success and proof of global warming no matter how badly it goes. Frankly, I don’t care. Until someone makes the historic voyage in a historic ship with no access to modern tech (GPS, satellite info, etc), the trip really doesn’t mean anything. (And that’s coming from someone who’s guessing this year’s minimum extent will be the 2nd or 3rd lowest in the satellite era.) Even following the above guidelines, a modern voyage would still have the advantage of perfect maps and the safety of a “red button” to press if things got really bad. Thus, any trip like this is just more of a publicity stunt than anything else. If these people were actually worried about CAGW, they wouldn’t have wasted this summer making a huge trip that probably has a carbon footprint at least the size of my yearly one.
-Scott
The ice-free Arctic is giving them all the free-ice they can handle, with a scoop of headwind on top.
The ice is crashing down on Reggie and his four rower wannabes. They will no doubt do some photo shoot, claiming success, even if they never leave port.
Reality has set in with the rowers, but the rest of the cult will remain unaffected…
I would guess their blisters are gone at least.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=leWjp_CFt50
At least ze French are moving Oui?! A blistering 0.41 kts on a 266 deg heading.
C’est Magnifique!
http://www.sat-view.fr/interface/interface.php?login=voiedupole
Reblogged this on Climate Ponderings.
It’s good to know that the polar jet-stream never circulates from east to west, as one commenter declared:)
The jet-stream at the poles also doesn’t sit closer to the surface than at equatorial regions either…
The Team Twisted prostitutes have been advised by the Canadians to not proceed and if they do to please find a reputable rescue crew, should/when they need it:)
They could always plant a flag and claim mission accomplished, do a PR and get it reported on the MSM and the nutjob CAWG blogs.
No doubt the failure will be attributed to “weird weather” caused by global warming.
It should be pointed out that unlike Franklin, Amundsen, and other pioneers (and because of them), the rowers have good maps and know (or should know) exactly where they want to go.
if the goal is to row 3000km then taking six days for the first 60 seems a bad omen
For comparison and perspective, the ‘Row to the Pole’ expedition of 2011 left Resolute on July 28 – not long after the ice had cleared that area. They arrived at their ‘objective’ on Ellef Ringnes Island in the last days of August – when the sea-ice started to freeze again. In this time they made good steady progress (their boat had three rowing positions – not two). They covered 500km.
3000km seems very optinistic.