Real Climate Science

The Texas grid is failing again and the “Energy Reliability Council Of Texas” (ERCOT) is telling people to cut back usage.

Doug Lewin describes himself as an expert on grids, energy efficiency and renewable energy. He implies the problem is more hot weather due to global warming.

ERCOT calls for power conservation after 6 facilities go offline | kvue.com

About — Stoic Energy Consulting

So far this year, 4% of days in Texas have been over 95F (25C.) In 2011 more than thirty percent of days were over 95F and the average before 1960 was about twenty-percent.

During 2011, the grid problems occurred during winter and only in ERCOT areas. Other parts of the state did not have problems.

09 Feb 2011, A1 – The Marshall News Messenger at Newspapers.com

“SWEPCO has never initiated rolling blackouts, McCloud said. Because ERCOT is a grid by itself within state boundaries, there is no way to get power into the state. So when the grid unexpectedly lost 2,000 megawatts generation due to power plant problems coupled with high temperatures, officials issued a Level 1 alert.”

29 Jun 2011, A8 – The Marshall News Messenger at Newspapers.com

Ten years later on February 12, 2021 USA Today bragged that up to two-thirds of Texas electricity was generated by wind.

Wind energy: Texas, Wyoming and Joe Biden’s climate plan

Two days later the wind turbines froze up as did many people in Texas when the ERCOT grid collapsed.

Link

USA changed their story and said the failure of Texas wind was a “warning to Biden and all of us.”

Renewable energy really is part of the cause of Texas’ blackouts

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Since 2011, Texas has added massive wind capacity.  So why is the ERCOT grid inadequate?  The wind turbines were supposed to cooling the climate and making the grid reliable.

Texas Got 18 Percent of Its Energy from Wind and Solar Last Year – Scientific American Blog Network

On May 15, 1896 tornadoes killed more than 100 people in Kansas and Texas.

16 May 1896, 5 – The Harvard Courier at Newspapers.com

In year 2000, climate scientists predicted the demise of Arctic sea ice and said sea ice thickness had declined 92% since the late 1950s from 10.2 feet to 5.9 feet.

“the receding and thinning of Arctic sea ice have outstripped the theoretical effect of global warming from greenhouse gases by a factor of three.”

“As for average ice thickness in late summer, submarine sonar measurements since the 1950’s have shown a decline to 5.9 feet from 10.2 feet, or 42 percent. ”

“Dr. Drew Rothrock, a University of Washington oceanographer, said he agreed that Arctic sea ice was on a trajectory to disappear in 50 years. But, he added, that did not mean it would. The ice is being expelled from the Arctic by abnormally strong winds before it could achieve its accustomed thickness, he said, and that could be a temporary phenomenon.

”I think it is quite possible that in the next 10 years we will see the winds revert to a more historical pattern, so that the ice begins to reside longer in the Arctic and thicken up again,” he said. ”I would be cautious about predicting doom.”

Research Predicts Summer Doom for Northern Icecap – The New York Times

Projecting the climatic effects of increasing carbon dioxide 

Ignoring the fact they lack primary school math skills, their statistics are also fake. During the late 1950s submarines reported that the ice was seven feet thick – not ten feet.

“SUNDAY, OCTOBER 19, 1958
The Changing Face of the Arctic Some scientists estimate that the polar ice pack is 40 per cent thinner and 12 per cent less in area than it was a half-century ago, and that even within the lifetime of our children the Arctic Ocean may open, enabling ships to sail over the North Pole, as the submarines Nautilus and Skate recent-ly sailed under it. A ship bound from New York to Tokyo would save 2,500 Although the idea that a solid ice sheet covers the central Arctic has lingered stubbornly in the popular fancy, the northern cap of ice worn by our planet is actually a thin crust—on the whole, only about seven feet thick—over an ocean two miles deep in places.”

The Changing Face of the Arctic; The Changing Face of the Arctic – The New York Times

Arctic sea ice extent is just below the 1981-2010 mean and higher than 1989.

Ocean and Ice Services | Danmarks Meteorologiske Institut

1989                                                                            2022

Sea ice extent loss from May 1 to May 13 has been third lowest on record.

ftp://osisaf.met.no/prod_test/ice/index/v2p1/nh/osisaf_nh_sie_daily.txt

On May 15, 1968 at least sixty-seven tornadoes killed dozens of people in eleven states.

“The death count continued to mount yesterday as workers in parts of 11 states pressed res-cue work after what a Weather Bureau spokesman called “one of the heaviest, if not the heaviest” concentration of tornadoes in history. At least 67 tornadoes were reported in a 24-hour period of turbulent weather which dealt its hardest blows in Arkansas where 43 persons lost their lives. Seventy-one were known dead nationally, including 16 in Iowa, 9 in Illinois, 2 in Indiana and I in Nebraska. Rescue teams were still combing rubble in Arkansas, Iowa and Illinois and many of the injured were in critical condition.”

“Estimates put the number of injured from the storm in the Midwest and lower Mississippi Valley at more than 1,000.”

17 May 1968, 15 – The Commercial Appeal at Newspapers.com

17 May 1968, Page 1 – The Times at Newspapers.com

On May 15, 1957 a tornado killed twenty people in the Texas Panhandle.

“the 28th straight day of violent weather in Texas. In April and May, beginning with a Dallas tornado which took II lives April 2. floods. tornadoes and lightning have killed an estimated 65 persons in the state. Torrential downpours and vice ‘lent hailstorms accompanied the ‘ tornadoes Wednesday aid sent streams roaring over highways and into lowlands. At one time water la feet deep covered U. S. Highway 237 four miles west of Clarendon.”

16 May 1957, Page 1 – The La Crosse Tribune at Newspapers.com

A massive tornado outbreak occurred on May 13, 1908 from Nebraska to Arkansas and Louisiana – killing half of the residents of Gilliam, Louisiana.

14 May 1908, 2 – St. Joseph Gazette at Newspapers.com

Flemington, New Jersey has had 113 days over 100F since 1895, with 93 of them occurring before 1970.

Graphing

Graphing

May 12 temperatures have plummeted in the US over the past 30 years, with 2020 and 2021 among the coldest on record – down fifteen degrees since 1936.

On May 13, 1886 the Midwest was ravaged by deadly floods and tornadoes. A massive hailstorm occurred in Spain which killed dozens of people.  That year went on to be the most active hurricane season in US history with seven landfalls, including three in June – something which hasn’t happened in the past 30 years.

14 May 1886, 1 – Chicago Tribune at Newspapers.com

Storm Tracks WebGL (By Toto)