Understanding 99% Certainty Among Climate Scientists

There is something fascinating about science.  One gets such wholesale returns of conjecture out of such a trifling investment of fact.

  • Mark Twain

Thirty years ago, NASA’s top climate expert said he was 99% certain that the 1988 US drought was caused by the greenhouse effect.

10 Jul 1988, 29 – The Daily Spectrum

Droughts have become less common in the US over time, and there nothing particularly unusual about the 1988 drought.

Climate at a Glance | National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI)

Hansen later contradicted himself, but that is what 99% certain settled science is all about.

NASA GISS: Science Briefs: Whither U.S. Climate?

After decades of failed predictions, lies and junk science, Democrats recognize James Hansen as a prophet.

The Argus-Press – Google News Archive Search

This entry was posted in Uncategorized. Bookmark the permalink.

13 Responses to Understanding 99% Certainty Among Climate Scientists

  1. Lasse says:

    Never ever give a statement that can be checked during Your lifetime!
    5-10 Years from 2008 is now!
    Proven wrong and still listened to?

  2. Stewart Pid says:

    Which one is Hansen? The good looking guy on the right?

  3. richard says:

    This beautifully illustrates whether Greenland ( or anywhere else ) was gaining or losing ice the alarmists would be on hand to blame it on the same thing-

    these guys are great-

    “WASHINGTON: Environmentalists
    fear a global warming trend because it
    might melt the polar ice caps and cause
    massive flooding, so a report that the polar
    ice is getting thicker is good news, right?
    Scientists from the Goddard Space
    Flight Centre in Greenbelt, Maryland, said
    yesterday that the ice sheet over Green-
    land was getting thicker but concluded this
    “may be a characteristic of warmer cli-
    mates in the polar regions”.
    So thicker ice results from higher tem-
    “It’s consistent with warmer tempera-
    tures. It’s consistent with the idea that this
    century is warmer than the last century,”
    explained Dr Jay Zwally of Goddard’s
    Oceans and Ice Branch, who led the God-
    dard research team”

    • gator69 says:

      For the truly religious, there is nothing that does not reaffirm their faith.

      I’m also reminded of Abraham Maslow’s observation…

      “If all you have is a hammer, everything looks like a nail.”

    • Steven Fraser says:

      ‘May’ and ‘Might’… not very convincing.

  4. Steven Fraser says:

    On a local note, I measured 1″ of ‘Texas Drought’ in my gauge overnight.

  5. Chris says:

    That one percent shadow of doubt that you may be completely and utterly incorrect.

  6. Tom Bakert says:

    “After decades of failed predictions, lies and junk science, Democrats recognize James Hansen as a prophet.”

    This is exactly the type of scathing sarcasm that makes me laugh out loud and return to read this blog on a daily basis. Thank you, Mr. Heller, for your dedication and hard work.

  7. terrence says:

    In what year exactly did they start to campaign about greenhouse gas? This is from 1988, and the journalist still puts inverted commas for ‘greenhouse gas’. Maybe it was a year earlier? Right after the anti-freon Montreal Agreements of 1985, aka ‘the warm-up’?

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *