In mid-January the “Great Lakes News Collaborative” predicted record low Great Lakes ice cover.
“The Great Lakes News Collaborative includes Bridge Michigan; Circle of Blue; Great Lakes Now at Detroit Public Television; and Michigan Radio, Michigan’s NPR News Leader; who work together to bring audiences news and information about the impact of climate change
Lake Michigan and Lake Huron are both likely to see less ice than ever at peak freeze in 2022. “Michigan and Huron were both projected to be lower than they’ve been as far as the maximum ice cover for the year, about 10 and 12%, respectively, where the lowest on record was about 13 and 23%, respectively.”
Great Lakes researchers predict record-low ice coverage – Great Lakes Now
Great Lakes Ice cover has been at or above the 1981-2010 mean ever since then.
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Those predictions failed, so now they are blaming their incompetence on climate change.
Average ice cover on Great Lakes this, seeing year over year decline | The Star
There has been no increase in variability and ice cover has been increasing for the past twenty years, with six of the last nine years above average.
There has always been a lot of year over year volatility.