“Federal Scientists Say”

“A new study suggests there could be no summer ice at all as early as 2020.

Arctic Ocean summer ice may melt completely, “possibly within the next decade or two,” federal scientists say.

“extending summertime ice melting trends into the future in a straight line predicts an ice-free Arctic by 2020, the study shows.”

13 Apr 2013, Page A8 – Battle Creek Enquirer at Newspapers.com

ftp://osisaf.met.no/prod_test/ice/index/v2p1/nh/osisaf_nh_sie_daily.txt

Arctic sea ice extent is slightly below the 1981-2010 median.

osisaf_nh_sie_daily-2years.png (1274×943)

Ocean and Ice Services | Danmarks Meteorologiske Institut

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12 Responses to “Federal Scientists Say”

  1. dm says:

    Reality has settled the climate controversy. Climate alarmists are the LOSERS.

    Why? A hypothesis or theory must be REJECTED if it fails to yield results consistent with observations. Climate change hypotheses typically yield forecasts proven by reality, as shown again and again by Tony. Thus, such hypotheses must be rejected.

    Furthermore, because reality rejects almost the entire range of alarmist hypotheses, alarmism can NOT possibly be science.

  2. Eli the Pit Bull says:

    Keep your eye on the World Economic Forum. They are using climate and pandemics as excuse to save the world from collapse.
    With politicians on both sides of the isle raiding the treasury again last night, they are taking it while they can before the global WEF takes control of the US, and Europe for that matter. The media is helping accelerate the fall of the west. Just take a look at what they are doing, and getting away with it
    https://twitter.com/gonzalolira1968/status/1524324357652234240?s=21

    • Eli the Pit Bull says:

      Of course we will have no say in the matter
      https://twitter.com/schwabfound/status/1523561061781102592?s=21

      • Eli the Pit Bull says:

        Haha, the blow back was so intense, they closed comments, then finally deleted it.
        They will meet in private, no doubt.people are waking up!
        One gas hits $5, the party is over for the globalist.
        Trump was in their way, and was beginning to uncover the money laundering scheme in Ukraine, and that’s why congress impeached him twice, to keep him too busy defending himself to uncover more corruption. With Biden in office, it’s business as usual.
        Print money, send it to a country where money laundering is legal

  3. Bones says:

    The never-ending “imminent disaster” that never comes. Any sentient human being would be embarrassed after such failures in their predictions, but these morons just keep doubling down.

  4. Steve Case says:

    Off topic:

    Link to Watts Up With That where you will find a link to 2000 Mules

    https://wattsupwiththat.com/2022/05/11/open-thread-28/#comment-3514529

  5. Billyjack says:

    The DMI will have their “algorithm” drop the ice coverage area overnight. Seems that every time the coverage approaches their 1981 to 2010 average it suddenly drops.

  6. Timo, not that one says:

    “extending summertime ice melting trends into the future in a straight line predicts an ice-free Arctic by 2020, the study shows.”
    Brilliant!
    Tony, you should publish another one of your straight line graphs. If you take the last few weeks of the ice extent graph and continue the trend in a straight line, there will be no arctic ice at all by the summer of 2014. Better still, if you wait until early July to draw a straight line, the ice will be gone by October of this year.

    • Bob Hoye says:

      In the investment business when straight-line extensions become popular they are soon to reverse.
      I’ve called the phenomenon as”Tangential Extrapolation”.

  7. Conrad Ziefle says:

    Even an honest study, and I’m not suggesting that the one reported is, will have bands of probability. So you run a Monte Carlo simulation, and the worst cases show that the Arctic ice will all melt some summer in the future. Then you write a report, “Ice MAY melt, blabla. Then some other sensationalist runs another “honest” study, and his outer limit shows that an ice free Arctic does something, notably to polar bears. And now you have cascading effects.
    I don’t really care about study results unless they show me the whole spectrum of results, the original assumptions, the methodology, the input variables and how they were obtained. In other words, I have come to believe that most studies are results seeking rather than unbiased assessments.

  8. CorneliusXI says:

    Do keep in mind that DMI, as always, is using an invalid median running from 1981-2010. Should be 1987-2016 with graphed years 2017-present, but of course they don’t want to lose the high extent years in the early 80’s, nor include low extent years like 2012.

    Little did we know that the universe operates naturally on human-imposed decadal boundaries. Numeric base ten is sewn into the fabric of space-time, apparently.

    Conclusion: Arctic extent is probably at the 30-year median now, not below it.

  9. Daniel Smeal says:

    Models: bullcrap in – bullcrap out.

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