-85F in the Antarctic and -79F in the Arctic
The poles are heating out of control, just like Hansen forecast.
http://www.epa.gov/climatechange/effects/downloads/Challenge_chapter2.pdf
Disrupting the Borg is expensive and time consuming!
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From Bastardi’s website:
Thursday 3 a.m.
GOLDEN OLDIE FROM NASA ABOUT ARCTIC SEA ICE… FROM FEBRUARY 2001
http://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/Newsroom/view.php?id=22250
The time is up; this forecast busted. The story date is Feb. 27, 2001!!
We are all waiting for the revised date of 2013 for an ice-free Arctic in the summer, though this was simply talking about shipping being able to get through by 2010.
I did get some nasty email on the post below, saying I was showing sea ice from the 22nd, not from the 26th. Monday was the 25th, so I could not have used data from the 26th which showed sea ice close to 2007 (if it was not yet that day). However, the recovery of ice after the 2007 meltdown was quite rapid. The next testing point for my forecast is next summer as I am making forecasts, like THIS PAST year for this summer which beat the consensus of intergovernmental experts that had it down to less than 2007, for the summer melt season, which I think next summer will only be to levels that we saw earlier in the decade, 2005 or earlier! But here is what is wild, and I want you to think about this. I am getting email criticizing me for not using data that was available a day AFTER I did the video. Yet here we have people plainly saying in 2001 that by this past summer and in summers before, the Arctic would be free enough for ice to be able to have shipping go through there. How can one ignore the forecasts made, that busted horribly? That would be like me saying last year would be a top 10 warm winter in the United Kingdom, which it plainly was not.
Again, to the objective sensible reader… Could it simply be that the warm PDO and of the last 30 years, AMO the past 15 years has forced warming of the land masses of the Northern Hemisphere which in turn melted part of the ice cap, something that would reverse if you simply give the cyclical nature of the PDO and AMO to run its course, rather than crashing the world economy first (see Spain’s green experiment for the proof there… no offense to my fine Spanish readers, but facts are facts as to what the investment of capital into that idea has helped bring about). And if it is tougher to move the temperature of water, than air, then can we say that in terms of the overall energy budget of the Earth, the increase in Southern Hemisphere sea ice, which roughly approximates the decrease in Northern Hemispheric ice, has to be a hint as to the correct answer, that there has been really no change, just a response cyclical in nature, which if you simply give it 20 or 30 years, will give us a concrete answer one way or another? Is common sense that big a threat that people refuse to acknowledge the dire forecasts of only 10 years ago, by a major player in this debate, so that other ideas simply appealing for the chance to prove their point, are dismissed, while no one in the mainstream questions the fact that you can’t freely ship through the Arctic in the summer, no matter how much we want to quibble about where the ice stands now? Is that the longest run-on question in the history of any blog? (ha ha, we need some levity given the dire forecasts that have come out).
Sorry, but I had to post that. It’s amazing that such things never are picked up in the mainstream.
I challenge the journalists that are fair-minded to look into this forecast at this link and do what they are supposed to do… get to the bottom of the story. Is there free shipping through the Arctic already, and if so, has Santa Claus been able to make use of it? (Again… ho ho ho)
Ciao for now.