NOAA forecasts for January-March were almost exactly inverted.
This is what they forecast :
This is what we got :
Forecasting doesn’t get any worse than that.
Disrupting the Borg is expensive and time consuming!
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I don’t know about that.
The UK Met Office would put up a serious challenge.
Such as forecasting that last April would see below average rainfall when it turned out to be one of the wettest ever.
On March 22nd I believe last year after a very dry winter and the smell of AGW in their nostrils UKMO released a three month forecast for April, May and June saying all three would be drier than average here it is again in all its glory
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/media/pdf/p/i/A3-layout-precip-AMJ.pdf
The science is settled listen to the experts, erm.. I don’t think so
Thanks for the link, I couldn’t locate it and was speaking from memory.
The other side of the coin is how much it actually rained in April:
http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/news/releases/archive/2011/wettest-april-on-record
The actual April figure turned out to be 128mm.
What it boils down to is believe the oppposite of what the MO says.
Of course, the failure of the forecast would probably be attributed to “climate change”, rather than poor forecasting.
Pretty soon they won’t even be good enough for defrauding the citizenry. But they may make great evidence some day!
Meteorologists can forecast three days out, but beyond that it becomes a crap shoot. That said NOAA trying to forecasting three months is just moronic at best. Just like the Met Office in England, last year forecast dry warm conditions for the year. We all know how that turned out.
March 2000
However, the warming is so far manifesting itself more in winters which are less cold than in much hotter summers. According to Dr David Viner, a senior research scientist at the climatic research unit (CRU) of the University of East Anglia,within a few years winter snowfall will become “a very rare and exciting event”.
“Children just aren’t going to know what snow is,” he said.
FAIL
Their tarot cards need replacing!
Reblogged this on Climate Ponderings.