Real Climate Science

[This post has been corrected. There was a calculation error in the original version. I wrote some new code this morning to allow date ranges across annual boundaries.  The problem was that the code uses 0-11 as month numbers, and the NOAA data uses 1-12, so there was a month shift which affected the last year (2019) differently than the other years.]

Since the beginning of the water year (October-September) most of the US has been cold.

WaterTDeptUS.png (688×531)

Afternoon temperatures since October 1st have been the coldest in the last century.

Nighttime temperatures were also well below average, for the second year in a row.

Spreadsheet   Data

It was most likely the wettest October-April on record, but I won’t have statistics for that for a couple of weeks.

WaterPNormUS.png (688×531)

This destroys the argument that record rainfall is associated with warm air. And NOAA had the forecast exactly backwards, predicting warmth and drought.

Winter Outlook favors warmer temperatures for much of U.S. | National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

I had an unusually interesting bike ride up to NCAR this afternoon.

When I stopped to photograph the deer, I saw a gender neutral couple walking down the hill in their expensive Patagonia winter gear from REI, having this conversation – very loudly.

“Indians pitting their sacred traditions against …. you know …. evil capitalist pigs”

But the interesting part of the ride was at the top.  I started a cycling conversation with a guy walking out of NCAR, who turned out to be a famous NOAA tropical meteorologist.

I told him that I was friends with Bill Gray.  He said “the world just isn’t the same without Bill … though he raised quite a ruckus about climate the last few years of his life.”  I told him about the mistreatment Bill received at the CSU Atmospheric Sciences Department, and he said “Yes, people overreact.  Bill affected their funding.”‘

And that in a nutshell sums up climate science. Having a skeptic in your organization threatens everybody’s funding. Thus …. consensus.

On April 25th, I had this conversation with a newspaper used by thousands of schools.

News-O-Matic on Twitter:

I offered to write a an article, and they responded with “we would love to hear from you.”  I took that as an invitation to submit an article. Michael Mann apparently did too, and he and Katharine Hayhoe launched a twitter attack to shut me down.  (This is against Twitter TOU because they both have me blocked.)

(I attended a movie screening with Mann and Hayhoe in a theatre full of climate alarmists.  I had ten seconds to ask them one question.  It was not an appropriate venue to attempt to start a debate. And I had no interest in trying to rain on their parade.  Hayhoe has been using that as an excuse to hide from debating me ever since, saying I am too “sweet.”)

News-O-Matic then failed to contact me, so I tweeted this:

They said :

We in NO WAY agreed to let you post an article. We said we would reach out to you to try to understand your perspective

In our earlier conversation, they said nothing of the sort. The conversation was :

Me:   I would appreciate having the opportunity to write an article in your paper

Them:  Would love to hear from you. Please DM us your contact details and we will be in touch.

That sounds like an invitation to do what I offered to do : write an article.  Perhaps they meant to say something else, but it isn’t what they said.

We then had this email exchange where they accused me of being a liar :

Russell Kahn  Apr 29, 2019, 11:06 AM (2 days ago) to me

Hello, Mr. Heller,
In response to your recent tweet, no one at News-O-Matic said you could write an article for us. This is blatantly false and smearing our name and reputation. We do not allow guest writers to push their agenda from either side. Why you would suggest we had agreed to this? We are a team of journalists and do our own research and writing. In no way had we suggested you could write anything for us. That was patently untrue.

We reached out because we were curious to understand your perspective. I had wanted to schedule an interview this week to discuss. After that disingenuous post about our intentions, I do not think we want to proceed. It has nothing to do about censorship or intimidation. We don’t appreciate being maligned in such a way.

I see that Michael Mann’s attempt to intimidate you was successful. I was fully expecting that, and will proceed forward by continuing to expose this.

It has nothing to do with that. It was all about you. You lied on Twitter about our intentions saying we’d agree to let you write a story for us. If you’d like to schedule a call this week, we can discuss. But I do not understand why you would say we “agreed” for you to write an article for us when there was never any such insinuation. All I said is that I’d like to connect. I am still curious about your perspective to be honest.  To me, this supports all the other claims that you don’t rely on the facts. As journalists, we believe in the truth. Always.

Mann’s thuggery was successful. And News-O-Matic used the standard excuse of blaming me for their own bad behavior. Same excuse Keith Carson used to back out of debate last year.

As a direct result of misinformation being sent to educators about climate, we have this sort of child abuse going on in the schools.

When children are told they have no future, it leads to all sorts of antisocial behavior, and is very destructive to society.

They have responded again :

Russell Kahn 7:30 AM (0 minutes ago) to me

Thanks for sending this. Twitter had blocked it, so I couldn’t even see what you had posted.  You are very much misinformed. We never tell children they have no future. Quite the opposite. We empower them to realize they can change the future themselves — and chart the course of history going forward.  Your posts are misogynistic and offensive. You are spreading lies and we want no part of this.  Will continue to shine a light for truth for the next generation.

Apparently telling American children they will starve to death unless they can get China to stop building coal fired power plants, is empowering them. And slandering and lying about me, is telling the truth.

Summer temperatures near the North Pole have been declining for 60 years, and have been consistently below normal since the year 2000.

Ocean and Ice Services | Danmarks Meteorologiske Institut

There are less than 70 days per year when temperatures near the pole can be above the freezing mark – blue line below – and temperatures have been running consistently below normal during the short melt season.

Ocean and Ice Services | Danmarks Meteorologiske Institut

Climate alarmists say the Arctic is warming, because winter temperatures have been increasing for the past twenty years. Winter temperatures in recent years have been averaging about -25C, compared to about -30C in the past.  This warming has been due to deep dips in the jet stream, which bring the Polar Vortex south, and have been causing record cold in the US, Canada and Russia in recent. years.

Ocean and Ice Services | Danmarks Meteorologiske Institut

This past winter was much colder in the Arctic than the previous few were, though still above the 1958-2002 mean.

Ocean and Ice Services | Danmarks Meteorologiske Institut

Ice has been getting thicker in the Arctic and currently averages about two meters thick.  The Northwest Passage has been blocked with very thick ice for the past two years, and is now impassable.

DMI Modelled ice thickness

Sixty years ago, Arctic ice was also about two meters thick, and experts were predicting an ice-free Arctic within a generation.

The Changing Face of the Arctic; The Changing Face of the Arctic – The New York Times

Meanwhile, climate alarmists continue to bombard propaganda about an ice-free Arctic – which obviously is not going to happen.

There has been no trend in Arctic sea ice extent for the past 13 years.

Masie Sea Ice Extent

Our top experts predicted the Arctic would be ice-free by 2008, and almost every year since.

Expert: Arctic polar cap may disappear this summer_English_Xinhua

North Pole May Be Ice-Free for First Time This Summer

BBC NEWS | UK | Swimmer aims to kayak to N Pole

Star-News – Google News Archive Search

Arctic Sea Ice Gone in Summer Within Five Years?

BBC NEWS | Science/Nature | Arctic summers ice-free ‘by 2013’

Gore: Polar ice cap may disappear by summer 2014

Wayback Machine

The Argus-Press – Google News Archive Search

Why Arctic sea ice will vanish in 2013 | Sierra Club Canada

Ice-free Arctic in two years heralds methane catastrophe – scientist | Environment | The Guardian

The End of the Arctic? Ocean Could be Ice Free by 2015 – The Daily Beast

A farewell to ice | Review | Chemistry World

And ten years ago, President Obama’s science adviser predicted ice-free winters.

…if you lose the summer sea ice, there are phenomena that could lead you not so very long thereafter to lose the winter sea ice as well. And if you lose that sea ice year round, it’s going to mean drastic climatic change all over the hemisphere.

– John Holdren, 2009

With declining summer temperatures, there is zero chance of the Arctic becoming ice-free any time in the foreseeable future.

Governments around the world are dropping, useless, expensive, environmentally destructive green energy.

Around the World, Buyers’ Remorse Sets in for Costly Clean Power – Bloomberg

Meanwhile, the press continues to push the same old lies …..

Yesterday afternoon’s peak temperature of 37 degrees in Boulder was the third time in the past four years with April 29 temperatures below 40 degrees.

Average temperature for the date is 65 degrees. Three of the seven coldest April 29ths have been in the last four years.

The deadliest Atlantic hurricane occurred on October 14, 1780. It had 200+ MPH winds, stripped the bark off trees, and left no houses standing.

http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/data_sub/perez_11_20.pdf

Twenty years ago, Tom Wigley predicted the US would warm 60-80% faster than the rest of the earth.

30 Jun 1999, 3 – The South Bend Tribune at Newspapers.com

The US has been cooling for a century.

Spreadsheet

But no worries. Ten years later, Wigley came up with a creative solution to his failed prophesy – simply erase the warmth of the past.

di2.nu/foia/1254108338.txt