Real Climate Science

“It doesn’t matter how beautiful your theory is, it doesn’t matter how smart you are. If it doesn’t agree with experiment, it’s wrong.

– Richard P. Feynman

In 1988, NASA’s James Hansen made temperature forecasts for three emissions scenarios.  Scenario A was increasing emission growth rates. Scenario B was decreasing emission growth rates. Scenario C was no emissions after the year 2000.

 

 

“We have considered cases ranging from business as usual, which is scenario A, to draconian emission cuts, scenario C, which would totally eliminate net trace gas growth by year 2000.”

Climate Change and American Policy: Key Documents, 1979-2015 – Google Books

1988_Hansen_ha02700w.pdf

So how did Hansen do? The graph below shows the five year mean of lower troposphere temperatures measured by satellite.

Wood for Trees: Interactive Graphs

The next graph overlays the satellite lower troposphere temperatures in red, on Hansen’s 1988 forecasts – at the same scale and normalized to the early 1980’s.

Lower troposphere temperatures have tracked Hansen’s zero emissions scenario. If (your theory) doesn’t agree with experiment, it is wrong.

2014 border crisis.

2018 no crisis.

2014 Humanitarian crisis.

Shocking Photos Of Humanitarian Crisis On U.S. Border Emerge | HuffPost

New U.S. Effort to Aid Unaccompanied Child Migrants – The New York Times

Progressives have no integrity, no core beliefs, and will switch the story as many times as necessary to get what they want.

Texas climate experts say they want to “school” Governor Abbott about how global warming causes heavy rain in Texas.

Texas scientists want to school Governor Greg Abbott on climate | Grist

Seven years ago during a drought, the same group of climate experts said Texas would be hot and dry for the rest of the century, and they ridiculed Governor Perry for pointing out the obvious – the rains would return.

“we’ll be fine. As my dad says, it’ll rain. It always does.”

– Texas Governor Rick Perry  Summer, 2011

With No End in Sight for Texas Drought, ABC News Explains: “Every Farmer in the World Will Be Affected by Climate Change” – ThinkProgress

“The weather of the 21st century will be very much like the hot and dry weather of 2011. Giving extra credibility to this forecast is the fact that the weather extremes that we are presently experiencing were predicted in the first edition in 1995.”

– Texas climate experts  2011

Texas is vulnerable to warming climate – Houston Chronicle

Rick Perry was correct.  Since 2011, Texas has been having some of their wettest years on record.

Climate at a Glance | National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI)

The frequency of hot days in Texas has been declining for 110 years – 2011 was a hot outlier, just as 2007 was a cool outlier. Rick Perry’s statement was based on long term observation, whereas the climate experts based their junk science on a single short term weather event.

Now these same climate experts have reversed their story – based on another single, short term weather event.

Texas holds many rainfall records, set in 1871, 1921, 1935, and 1979. Including the world record fifteen minute rainfall in 1871.

Extreme Weather: A Guide & Record Book – Christopher C. Burt – Google Books

In 1886 Texas was hit by four hurricanes, including one which wiped Indianola, Texas off the map permanently.

There seems to be no limit to the incompetence, arrogance and dishonesty of climate scientists. And they are attempting to drive the United States into energy poverty with their ceaseless lies.

The @Broncos also got on one knee, and lost almost every game since

Steve Goddard on Twitter: you are defending yourself with incompetence

The Arctic sea ice scam began to rapidly unravel last March, when all records for Arctic sea ice volume gain were blown away.

Spreadsheet    Data

So far this month, ice volume gain has also been a record high.

And January 9 Arctic sea ice volume has been increasing for over a decade.

Spreadsheet    Data

The area of the Arctic covered with thick sea ice has greatly expanded over the past eleven years.

2008   2019

Ice extent is very close to the 1981-2010 median, and rapidly increasing.

N_20190110_extn_v3.0.png (420×500)

My Northwest Passage cruise had to be cancelled last year, because of too much ice.

Climate experts describe these record large increases in ice as an unprecedented meltdown.

Nancy and Chuck explain why we need unfettered human and drug trafficking at our southern border.

I spent last spring in Philadelphia.  It was the coldest and snowiest spring on record there. Millions of people would have frozen to death without fossil fuels.

The governor seems to be unaware that Barack Obama healed the planet in 2008. This was my next door neighbors’ house in Philadelphia on April 1, 2018.