Arctic To Be Ice-Free In a Few Weeks

7 Responses to Arctic To Be Ice-Free In a Few Weeks

1. Jimbo says:

   April 8, 2013 at 12:28 pm

   As per above we had:

   12 December 2007
   “So given that fact, you can argue that may be our projection of 2013 is already too conservative.”

   Then we had:

   Scientists who predicted a few years ago that Arctic summers could be ice-free by 2013 now say summer sea ice will probably be gone in this decade………………..

   Now they are working with a new computer model – compiled partly in response to those criticisms – that produces a “best guess” date of 2016.
   http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-13002706

   My best guess is that they are guessing…………..again. Get ready for an update between now and 2006 as to another best guess for [insert guess date]. 😉

   Reply
2. Jimbo says:

   April 8, 2013 at 12:29 pm

   Correction: I meant
   “…between now and 2016 as to another best guess for [insert guess date].”

   Reply
   • tckev says:

     April 8, 2013 at 1:19 pm

     I already guessed that.
     But also 2019 is a nice round number .

     Reply
3. ArndB says:

   April 8, 2013 at 2:33 pm

   “On the 2nd of November 1922, The Washington Post published the following story: Arctic Ocean Getting Warm; Seals Vanish and Icebergs Melt”. The corresponding report in the Monthly Weather Review of November 1922 had also stated that the ice conditions in the Northern North Atlantic were exceptional; in fact, so little ice has never before been noted. Only 16 year later the meteorologist C.E.P. Books thought it necessary to explain the situation more complex:
   In recent years attention is being directed more and more towards a problem which may possibly prove of great significance in human affairs, the rise of temperature in the northern hemisphere, and especially in the Arctic regions. (Brooks, 1938) “

   EXTRACT FROM: http://www.arctic-heats-up.com/chapter_1.html , continuing Ch.1B:

   “It………. the present arctic warming since 1980 is not the only one. There was another warming period for the region north of 62o North since 1920 until 1945, for which the high-latitude temperature increase was stronger in the late 1930s early 1940s than in recent decades (Polyakov, 2002). The first Arctic warming started 90 years ago, from about 1920 to 1940. In winter 1918-19 the air temperatures exploded at the remote archipelagos Spitsbergen, which the Norwegian call: Svalbard. In 1930 the Norwegian scientist .B. J. Birkeland regarded the rise as maybe the biggest ever observed in one place. Birkeland could presumably repeat the claim today with justification. But would he or his colleagues come up with the exclamation the Arctic is screaming today? Definitely not, although he and his colleagues might wish to scream: How could it be that you know so little about “our arctic warming” to understand “your arctic warming”. “

   Reply
4. Bob Tisdale says:

   April 8, 2013 at 2:40 pm

   Steve, that’ll be a good one to post again in October of this year.

   Regards

   Reply
5. Traitor in Chief says:

   April 8, 2013 at 2:57 pm

   I’m so glad we got all this melting stuff sorted out and tidied up. Now we can settle in and begin evacuating coastlines for when all the floating ice melts. I think I’ll stay behind when they bus everyone out of Manhattan so I can declare salvage rights in time for the Santa Claus Rally.

   Reply
6. Brian D says:

   April 9, 2013 at 3:30 am

   Arctic ice extent has been in the normal range all winter. Just click on the 1981-2010 avg on this graph.
   http://nsidc.org/arcticseaicenews/charctic-interactive-sea-ice-graph/

   Reply