If The Data Doesn’t Match The Theory – Change The Data

It doesn’t matter how beautiful your theory is, it doesn’t matter how smart you are. If it doesn’t agree with experiment, it’s wrong.

– Richard P. Feynman

The most complete and accurate temperature data set in the world – by far – is the NOAA United States Historical Climatology Network (USHCN.)  It consists of ~1,218 stations spread relatively evenly across the US. NOAA releases graphs like this to the public, which show about 1.5F warming over the past century.

Climate at a Glance | National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI)

Unfortunately, the graph is fake. The USHCN station data shows that the US has cooled over the past century, and NOAA massively tampers with the data before they create their graphs. The blue line below shows the actual measured (Raw) data.

USHCN Measured      USHCN Reported

NOAA alters the temperatures in a spectacular hockey stick of data tampering – and turns cooling into warming.

In order to keep the data tampering philosophically pure, NOAA tampers with the USHCN data precisely in line with their CO2 warming theory.

Most of the recent data tampering is due to simply making up data. If station data is missing in a particular month, NOAA fabricates data for that month. In 1960, about 10% of the data was fabricated, but now about 42% of the data is fabricated.

When people make up 42% of the data, they can get any shaped curve they want. This sort of fraud appears shocking, but is standard operating procedure for government climate scientists. NOAA and NASA know perfectly well that the US was not warming.

Whither U.S. Climate?

By James Hansen, Reto Ruedy, Jay Glascoe and Makiko Sato — August 1999

Empirical evidence does not lend much support to the notion that climate is headed precipitately toward more extreme heat and drought. The drought of 1999 covered a smaller area than the 1988 drought, when the Mississippi almost dried up. And 1988 was a temporary inconvenience as compared with repeated droughts during the 1930s “Dust Bowl” that caused an exodus from the prairies, as chronicled in Steinbeck’s Grapes of Wrath.

in the U.S. there has been little temperature change in the past 50 years, the time of rapidly increasing greenhouse gases — in fact, there was a slight cooling throughout much of the country (Figure 2).

NASA GISS: Science Briefs: Whither U.S. Climate?

U.S. Data Since 1895 Fail To Show Warming Trend – NYTimes.com

The 1999 NASA US temperature graph showed the US cooling since the 1930’s, but by 2015, the 1930-1998 cooling was turned into warming.

NASA 1999       NASA 2015

This didn’t happen all at once however. In 2001, NASA had removed all of the 1930-1998 cooling, but hadn’t yet turned it into warming.

NASA 1999       NASA 2001

The climate is not being cooperative with their scam. It is difficult convincing frozen people that they are burning up.

10-Day Temperature Outlook for the Conterminous U.S.

“With four parameters you can fit an elephant to a curve; with five you can make him wiggle his trunk”

  • John von Neumann
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9 Responses to If The Data Doesn’t Match The Theory – Change The Data

  1. Andy DC says:

    With that much data tampering and scoring fabrication, the Cleveland Browns would be headed to the Super Bowl!

  2. feathers says:

    I don’t think this tampering nonsense is going to last much longer; from the President’s new National Security Strategy”

    “Climate policies will continue to shape the global energy system. U.S. leadership is indispensable to countering an anti-growth energy agenda that is detrimental to U.S. economic and energy security interests. Given future global energy demand, much of the developing world will require fossil fuels, as well as other forms of energy, to power their economies and lift their people out of poverty. The United States will continue to advance an approach that balances energy security, economic development, and environmental protection. The United States will remain a global leader in reducing traditional pollution, as well as greenhouse gases, while expanding our economy. This achievement, which can serve as a model to other countries, flows from innovation, technology breakthroughs, and energy efficiency gains, not from onerous regulation.”


  3. Steve Case says:

    Here’s a link to Steve McIntyre’s Climate Audit where he discusses the frequent changes to global climate data:

    Rewriting History, Time and Time Again

  4. arn says:

    Considering all those Feynman quotes and reading between the line
    it seems that science was already in a really bad and corrupted
    state and that many scientist of his era were more interessted
    in proving their theories/worldviews, pleasing their idols
    and becoming succesfull and famous
    than following the rules of science and integrity.

    So nothing changed,except that more money can be made today and therefore even more wrong charackters are attracted by this system.

    Sadly he was one of few who cared about this.

    • tonyheller says:

      My father found a fatal flaw in one of Feynman’s most important papers. Feynman never publicly admitted it, but years later did privately acknowledge his error to my father.

      • arn says:

        So Feynman himself was not immune to such behaviour-
        but at least some insight in the end.

        btw-Seems your scepticism have genetic roots:)
        keep it that way.

      • Robert Austin says:

        Now we know were you got your brain power from Tony, not discounting your mother. If it isn’t intrusive, we are curious as to your life story.

  5. frederik wisse says:

    Please do not overvalue the thoughts behind datatampering . It originates from communism , a mere mass-stupidity which is preaching improvement in the fate of the masses as their main paradigm . How do you do that ? By going forward , Obama mentioned this on a nearly hourly basis and by having production going upward .
    So combine these two main drivers and the result is a climate-statistic reaching up into the (socialistic) heaven . A sinusoide is well beyond their comprehension .

  6. Cam says:

    An interesting article from Canada. By not identifying the perpetrators, it calls into question all science being done in Canada on the public dime.

    Canadian researchers who commit scientific fraud are protected by privacy laws

    Seventy-eight Canadian scientists have fabricated data, plagiarized, misused grants, or engaged in dodgy scientific practices in projects backed by public funds, a Star analysis has found.

    But the publicly funded agency responsible for policing scientific fraud is keeping secret the details surrounding these researchers. The scientists’ names, where they worked and what they did wrong is not made public because that information is protected under federal privacy laws.


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