Today is haircut day for my assistants, before we move out to Sunny Philadelphia for a couple of months. Yesterday’s maximum temperature of twelve degrees was the coldest February 20 on record in Boulder.
NCAR Foothills Lab Weather (english, 5-minute)
This morning is a balmy -6F (-21C.)
Well, at least it feels like a balmy -5 for you. : )
Not to worry. In a few years a ‘data scientist’ running an unblinded experiment will be able to erase this cold streak like it never happened.
(‘Data scientists’ run experiments by using various data processing techniques to analyze and organize data. Those experiments are not blinded properly and when the researcher is under pressure to produce a result that will save humanity from an horrible fate one might imagine what sorts of things might result.
One should be extremely skeptical of the results obtained from unblinded experimenters– especially when we are told we must not question them.)
I guess a man has to do what he has to do. Trading Boulder for Philly I mean. Your gonna miss your wetlands I’m sure. Pay attention to the weather. Joe is saying things are setting up so the same conditions that resulted in the worst winter storm to hit the mid Atlantic state of the east coast last century will prevail in March this year. I wouldn’t want to be close to coast if there is a de ja vu of what happened in March of 1962
Always good to spend time someplace new. I’m looking forward to springtime in Amish country.
I guess it’s best to look on the bright side. Lots of US history to explore in the area. You may pass by one of the homes that my founder ancestor, George Clymer, lived in. He was one of only 8 men to sign both the Declaration of Independence and the Constitution. He, along with some other important colonists, are buried in the Friends burial ground in Trenton, NJ. Funny that a man that represented Pennsylvania his whole political life was buried across the river from that state.
As for the Amish? Enjoy the food.
Mt. Sinabung Eruption 19 February 2018
https://youtu.be/aAPOXYyK20g
And a few of these won’t make it better.
A single volcano has the potential to ruin over a hundred years of global warming.
It always amazes me that only a quarter mile away it might be 5F warmer or colder. The temperatures have been inverted of late here in Colorado, for instance it’s about 25F warmer in the mountains now.
I had zero at dawn this am, at 6600′ near Glenwood Springs on the western slope. It’s now 15° at 10:20am.
Interesting that temperatures in Southeast Michigan hit record highs. Joe Bastardi also has a map showing record highs in Pennsylvania. Sure sign of global warming, climate change, climate weirding, or whatever it is called.
I was over at WUWT looking at an article showing how NOAA had already corrected the latest record cold period out of the record, when I ran across this jewel posted by a fellow named Nick Stokes. This purports to prove why observation time bias must be corrected.
https://moyhu.blogspot.com.au/2012/10/a-necessary-adjustment-time-of.html
I thought this was complete BS. My Response:
“After reading both articles on TOBS I don’t see how that justifies any adjustments. The author didn’t convince me. In some circumstances it might become warmer or colder after the time of observation. Okay, so what? So long as the time of observation is consistent a six’s thermometer will faithfully and accurately record the highest and lowest temperatures for the previous 24 hours. What ever happens during the next 24 hours, it will again faithfully record the high and low temperatures.
The author asks what happens when you reset a six’s thermometer when the temperature is falling? Because what you just set it to will be the max you see the next day if it doesn’t warm back up before the next observation. Again, why is that wrong? If it is 45° F at 10:00 AM and the temperature falls below freezing from there and stays that way until 10:00 AM the next day, guess what the high temperature was for that 24 hour period? You guessed it, 45° F. That is the correct answer.
Sounds like someone desperately trying to justify something to me. That was just too easy to poke a big fat hole in.”
Stokes is a paid advocate who’s job it is to deceive. He hangs out at WUWT but snipes at others, like Tony while never confronting them directly.
All one needs to know about the adjustments is that nearly the whole mass of raw temperature data that is adjusted it done upwards to increase the temperature.
Speaking of Colorado: Interesting view into the mindset, arguments, and ‘understanding’ of the physical world, as Dr. Jim White, University of Colorado, sees it:
Scientist suddenly tells all about Climate Change in 2018
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Lgh3Obf4LeA
The talk title is “Why Is Everything Melting So Fast??” and was given at the Weather and Climate Summit, Breckenridge, Colorado, USA on Tues-Thurs 16-18 Jan 2018. Dr. Jim White is the Director, Institute for Arctic and Alpine Research, University of Colorado. Talk slides:
http://www.stormcenter.com/wxcsummit/files/pdf/white.pdf
He’s a deceiver extraordinaire.
I don’t understand how a physicist that acknowledges natural abrupt climate change 10 times greater than we are seeing today and who acknowledges the existence of the little ice age can then go ahead and support the party line using corrupted and deceptive data.
Following the party line is to be or not to be.
I’m wondering if this eruption of Mount Singabung in Indonesia is going to have a significant effect on our summer. It is certainly close enough to the equator and it injected ash over 4 miles up but I am not finding information on just how massive the eruption was stated in volume nor projections of the longer term effects.
Sorry, Tony, if this is a bit off topic here, but it is about cold – or potential cold.
Some info about Sinabung from Australia Bureau of Meteorology:
http://media.bom.gov.au/releases/441/large-volcanic-eruption-mount-sinabung-indonesia/
“The eruption has sent volcanic ash 55 000 feet into the atmosphere.”
I guess, that is up into the Stratosphere, even if it is close to the Equator, where the tropospause is at higher elevation.
And from twitter:
https://twitter.com/BOM_au/status/965452823210184704
And some more info about Sinabung:
https://www.volcanodiscovery.com/sinabung/news.html
Latest OMI SO2 Column 5Km – 24-Hour Composite Images
http://satepsanone.nesdis.noaa.gov/pub/OMI/OMISO2/index.html
Nice site!
Volcanic Hazards Project
https://so2.gsfc.nasa.gov/
Indeed cooling the equator seems like a bad idea right now.
http://cci-reanalyzer.org/wx/DailySummary/#sstanom
Looks like Tony has become a “climate refugee” !
Escaping the cold, to warmer climes ! :-)
The other day, I also had my hair cut.
It seemed my permanent was a failure (;_;)
Nice recovery Kirye! Keep up the great tweets sis.
Thank you!