End Of The Arctic Sea Ice Scam

I have been warning climate alarmists for the past eight months that their Arctic sea ice scam is on its last legs. Arctic sea ice is rapidly expanding and getting close to the 1981-2010 median.

Christmas   Today

The only two regions with small deficiencies are the Okhotsk and Barents Seas, and both have very favorable conditions for ice growth.

Ventusky – Wind, Rain and Temperature Maps

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29 Responses to End Of The Arctic Sea Ice Scam

  1. gregole says:

    2019 and still plenty of Arctic ice; and CO2 at over 400 parts per million. CO2 doesn’t seem to be trapping enough heat in the Arctic. Maybe the CO2 isn’t up to the job.

  2. Anon says:

    It is all neatly summed up here, if you can wrap your head around the gobbledygook:

    Wintertime Arctic Sea Ice Growth Slows Long-term Decline: NASA

    https://www.nasa.gov/feature/goddard/2018/wintertime-arctic-sea-ice-growth-slows-long-term-decline-nasa

    But look at the “fine print” in the article, that shows the “walk back”:

    But at the same time that sea ice is vanishing quicker than it has ever been observed in the satellite record, it is also thickening at a faster rate during winter. This increase in growth rate might last for decades, a new study accepted for publication in Geophysical Research Letters found.

    “This negative feedback mechanism increasing ice growth is unlikely to be sufficient in preventing an ice-free Arctic this century,” Petty and his colleagues concluded.

    Al Gore’s “Ice Free Arctic in 2014” has been miraculously pushed back decades, possibly to 2100.

    And it is a NASA source. No need to cite skeptical blogs here. You can go right to the alarmist’s favorite source and if NASA says it, it must be true…

    • griff says:

      yes, that’s because with low sea ice in September and a tendency not to start freezing up right away, the ice grows at a much faster rate in the early part of the winter: as there’s going to be freezing in the Arctic winter after the sun goes below the horizon.

      There isn’t more – just that what there is arrives in a sprint later than it used to

      • Anon says:

        That is good news! It looks like you will be here for at least a few more decades ringing the alarm bells, maybe until the next century. You better settle in… as it appears an ice free Arctic won’t be on its way anytime soon.

      • spike55 says:

        ROFLMAO.

        The clueless griffool returns. !

        Make it up as you go along, griffool !!

        There is NOTHING to back up your nonsense statement.

    • Anon says:

      It all comes down to “suddenly discovered”:

      Glitch in Land Surface Temperature Recording

      h**ps://www.irishtimes.com/news/world/global-warming-pause-caused-by-glitch-in-data-1.2239199

      Instrument Error in the RSS Tropospheric Measurements:

      h**ps://www.carbonbrief.org/major-correction-to-satellite-data-shows-140-faster-warming-since-1998

      *Interestingly, the clairvoyant, Tony Heller, actually predicted the satellite glitch: Look for the satellite data to be adjusted to bring it into compliance with the fully fraudulent surface temperatures.

      h**ps://stevengoddard.wordpress.com/2015/03/27/collusion-is-independence/

      Then we have the suddenly discovered Warming Hole that makes it snow:

      h**ps://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-5392183/The-bizarre-warming-hole-defies-climate-change.html

      And now the suddenly discovered Arctic negative-feedback mechanism appears right on cue:

      h**ps://www.nasa.gov/feature/goddard/2018/wintertime-arctic-sea-ice-growth-slows-long-term-decline-nasa

      But there is one consistent and recognizable trend in all of this:

      If, rather than trying to glean evidence from observable reality, a person seems more intent on forcing reality into the categories of his or her system, then you’re dealing with an ideologue. If evidence supporting a theory is trumpeted loudly and repeatedly, and evidence that may refute it is ignored repeatedly, then it’s an ideology, not a principled position. If every bit of data, no matter how contrary, is taken as evidence of the truth of the theory, then it’s ideology, not science.

      https://www.mercatornet.com/features/view/how-to-spot-an-ideologue/19546

  3. Steven Fraser says:

    DMI Sea Ice Volume for January 4 increased 104 cu km since yesterday, and is now 18,344 cu km, 97.82% of the 17-year average for the day, and 97.85% of the DMI-charted 10-year reference period of 2004-2013. The growth was 132.62% of the day’s average sea ice volume growth for the 17-year period, and 139.66% of the day’s average of the gain for the day during the reference period years.

    104 cu km of new ice represents the release of 3.16723E+19 Joules of energy, or 3.1672E+07 TeraJoules.

    • Steven Fraser says:

      DMI Sea Ice Volume for January 5 increased 107 cu km since yesterday, and is now 18,451 cu km, 97.96% of the 17-year average for the day, and 98.01% of the DMI-charted 10-year reference period of 2004-2013. The growth was 129.73% of the day’s average sea ice volume growth for the 17-year period, and 135.27% of the day’s average of the gain for the day during the reference period years.

      107 cu km of new ice represents the release of 3.26466E+19 Joules of energy, or 3.2647E+07 TeraJoules.

  4. griff says:

    “The only two regions with small deficiencies are the Okhotsk and Barents Seas, and both have very favorable conditions for ice growth.”

    and there’s a massive chunk missing around Svalbard and in the Kara.

    and despite your cherry picking tendencies on ice thickness charts, it ain’t that thick.

    The 10 thinnest years on record for this week in the year are all in the last decade

  5. John Edmondson says:

    Yes Tony the game is up. No surprise though, Arctic sea-ice is controlled by AMO mainly PDO less so. As you have pointed out many times , it is cyclical. There is no “death spiral”.

  6. Ron Clutz says:

    Yes, MASIE shows Bering Sea has already blown past its maximum last March, and Okhotsk is now picking up the pace. As of yesterday, 2019 is matching the 12 year average, and Bering and Okhotsk combined exceed average for January 4.
    Image: Ice growing in Arctic Pacific
    https://rclutz.files.wordpress.com/2019/01/BandO2018340to365.gif?w=1000

    December summary: https://rclutz.wordpress.com/2019/01/01/happy-arctic-new-year-2019/

  7. angech says:

    “The 10 thinnest years on record for this week in the year are all in the last decade”
    Extent has been jumping round like a yo yo in the last3 months.
    Second lowest to 13th lowest back to second lowest and now 8th lowest.
    Not volume Griff but a related metric was in the previous decade ony 6 weeks ago.
    JAXA ARCTIC EXTENT 10,272,807 km2(November 22, 2018)
    – Extent increase at 141 k is 62 k above the average (2008-2017) on this day,
    – Extent is 13th lowest in the satellite record.

  8. LOL@Klimate Katastrophe Kooks says:

    Is it just me, or are the ‘1981-2010 Median Ice Edge’ borders expanding?

    Look at:
    ftp://sidads.colorado.edu/DATASETS/NOAA/G02135/north/daily/images/2018/12_Dec/N_20181225_extn_v3.0.png
    -and-
    ftp://sidads.colorado.edu/DATASETS/NOAA/G02135/north/daily/images/2019/01_Jan/N_20190103_extn_v3.0.png

    Flip between the two images. Note the border that stretches between Alaska and Russia as you switch between the two images. Note that it slightly expands in the later image.

    Notice also the border along the coasts of Severny Island and Yuzhny Island. It expands slightly away from the island coasts for the later image.

    Now, correct me if I’m wrong… but if the border is based upon the ice extent average from 1981 to 2010, then it shouldn’t change. At all.

    • Louis Hooffstetter says:

      LOL@Klimate…
      Good catch, you’re absolutely right!
      Someone is definitely playing games with the ‘median ice edge 1981-2010’ line.
      I suspect it’s a climate “scientist”…
      I just wonder how many thousands of square kilometers this climate “scientist” added to the median ice area between the two images.

      • LOL@Klimate Katastrophe Kooks says:

        It’s blatantly obvious that there’s some manipulation going on, if you look at the following two images:
        ftp://sidads.colorado.edu/DATASETS/NOAA/G02135/north/daily/images/1978/10_Oct/N_19781026_conc_hires_v3.0.png
        -and-
        ftp://sidads.colorado.edu/DATASETS/NOAA/G02135/north/daily/images/2019/01_Jan/N_20190105_conc_hires_v3.0.png

        So either they admit they’re bad at math which means they’re incompetent and shouldn’t be in the positions they’re in, or they admit they’re manipulating even the 1981-2010 Median Ice Edge for propaganda purposes.

        It’d be great if someone with far better graphical abilities than myself could download all the images and compile them into an animation such that we can clearly see their manipulation of the 1981-2010 Median Ice Edge.

        It’s not much, but it’s another small bit of evidence that we can’t trust the CAGW alarmists… and every bit of evidence of that helps us climate realists.

        • rah says:

          They’d just blame it on the satellites.

        • Louis Hooffstetter says:

          Maybe the ‘median ice edge 1981-2010’ line shown in each image is for that particular day of the calendar year. For example, the ‘median ice edge 1981-2010’ line shown in your first image may be the ‘median ice edge 1981-2010’ line for the date Oct. 26, and in the second image it may be the ‘median ice edge 1981-2010’ line for the date January 5.

          Regardless, it’s not science. It’s intentionally deceptive data manipulation to push an agenda.

  9. Earth has been through this cycle many times before. Warm is good for us and cold is bad. Incoming debris streams from exploding stars keep us away from an ice age. We have recently lost two heating streams so ice should increase at both poles until a new thermal balance is reached.

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