Climate Models Are Worthless

U.N. climate panel confronts implausibly hot forecasts of future warming | Science | AAAS

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8 Responses to Climate Models Are Worthless

  1. Michael Peinsipp says:

    Dear old Arne Storrønningen is saying that “The amount of Greenland ice that melted on Tuesday could cover Florida in 2 inches of water. It’s a significant melt” #TedScambos the National Snow and Ice Data Center, University of Colorado, told CNN. ”
    Well it IS Summer and … never mind. He is an AGW sycophant and will bow at the alter of Her Heinous Greta Thunberg.

  2. Solar Mutant Ninjaneer says:

    Actually, if they were worthless, it wouldn’t be so bad. They would only be a waste of a lot of money, instead the waste of money is being amplified at least 100x by the irrational policies that are being implemented as a result.

    As a Sandia member of technical staff I led the development of thermal models, many very similar to climate models. Whenever I looked at a model result, the first thing I did was ask the analyst “does this look right?” If not I would tell the modeler it “Just Don’t Look Right” or “JDLR”. (Pronounced in a southern accent like an Alabama sheriff observing something out of place at a crime scene). The idea is to step back and look at the results to see if they are consistent with other evidence or analytical calculations. It is the first step in a quality control process with the ultimate objective of model validation. I did this dozens of times and in addition to getting results you could trust, it was crucial in the mentoring of young engineers, many of whom would otherwise accept the computer results as truth. One of the great things about this website is that Tony is constantly pointing out one JDLR after another using old news articles and actual data – what a concept!

    My background puts me at an advantage in understanding the models and why they are wrong. In addition to an interest (passion really) in the thermal sciences, I also have a PhD in the area and 40 years experience in developing, and experimentally validating thermal models, all involving combined heat transfer – just like climate models. After retiring from Sandia and consulting (with companies, universities and even another national laboratory, which hired me explicitly for my heat transfer expertise), I decided to look at climate models. All I have to say about them is “JDLR”, which Tony already knows and routinely points out – as he has been doing for 13 years.

  3. Bob Gutjahr says:

    Does anyone take data from past weather, input the known changes from a later time and see if the results are close to reality? This is called calibration in the modeling I have participated in.

  4. kzvx says:

    Climate models are about as reliable as virus models, which have all been completely wrong

  5. Robert Rust says:

    Global warming, covid, world terrorism, politics, viruses and germs (Pharma-medicine), all wars including cold wars, assassinations, mass murders and bombings, modern art, and corporatism (fascism), are some of the faked, manfuctured, and false means by which the inbreeding parasite family cartel (cult) that owns, runs, and controls Modern Civilization as a profit-making business uses to dumb-down, brainwash, manipulate, divide, conquer, and subjugate modern humanity to the complexly sectorized, intra-competing, hegemony-seeking parasite clan. The family clan owns and controls all societal communication institutions (media, movies, news, tv, internet, books, magazines, newspapers, education, schooling, etc) in the world and, thusly, from 6000 years of fabulous success at spreading endless lies and propaganda through this network it has established for itself to promote its ego, beliefs, and humanity-enslaving agenda, knows that it can publish and promote anything it wants, whether it is blatant lies or half truths, and always fully get away with it guaranteed. The mafia-structured clan has 100% power and control over all of modern humanity, a situation existing for at least 3000 years, creating profiteering- and racketeering-based Modern Civilization which extremely few question as a means of civilized living for humanity because all modern humans are a widely participating, fully ingrained part of it and on which their lives have come to depend. Participate, or one doesn’t get to eat. Only a full uprising of all of humanity as a unit against the inbreeding, profit-, power-, control-, and fame-losing parasite clan has any chance of correcting the path of humanity and saving it from imminent extinction.

  6. Charles Whitaker says:

    If you want to know how climate models are constructed, read Dr. Koonin’s book, “Unsellted”. These models are incapable to “hindcast”, a process predicting the current climate using actual data. What I cannot understand how could anyone with an ounce of integrity would use these models to make live changing decisions. I feel so sorry for those who have lost their jobs because someone in Washington thinks these terribly inaccurate models gives them justification to act.

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