More on the junk science reported yesterday out of Stanford University
In the next 30 years, high-value vineyards in Northern California could shrink by 50% because of global warming, according to a new Stanford University study released Thursday.
Applying scenarios from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, scientists used a climate system computer model and found that Napa and Santa Barbara counties could experience very hot days during the growing season, with temperatures reaching 95 Fahrenheit or higher. The number of hot days will be greater, they say, with about 10 more sweltering days than usual.
As a result, the amount of grape-growing land is projected to decline over the next three decades, the authors wrote.
“There will likely be significant localized temperature changes over the next three decades,” said Noah Diffenbaugh, coauthor of the study and a center fellow at the Woods Institute for the Environment at Stanford. “One of our motivations for the study was to identify the potential impact of those changes, and also to identify the opportunities for growers to take action and adapt.”
This is what the wine growers had to say about similar claims made in March
Napa growers typically thin at least half the crop and the 2010 harvest still ended being one of the three largest of the decade. So the notion that this sunburn problem was wide-spread and devastating as noted at this Treasury vineyard is not true
Secondly, the writer talks about climate change as being the reason for this hot spell. The recent growing season had just three days over 100 degrees compared to a typical growing season having between 10 and 14 days over 100. While we appreciate the writer noting that the Napa Valley Vintners commissioned the most extensive climate research in the industry and writing that the research team has not found rising temperatures outside of some winter to early summer increase of just one degree in overnight temperatures to date, the science proves that climate change that would change grape phenology has not happened. We are not being “deniers,” but simply put, those who enjoy wine cannot be tasting climate change in Napa Valley wines.
Stanford should have stuck to a less knowledgeable target audiance. If they would have said the dope crop was threatened, that would have thrown all the “sick” people into a panic, and there would be mellow rioting in the streets.
Due to climate change, Greenland is expected to once again surpass the Napa Valley with respect to wine production. After all, Greenland produced far more wine than the Napa Valley during the non-existent Medieval Warming.
Let me guess the illusive snow grapes. lol, or the illusive scam that warmers cant seem to get anyone to believe.
global warming — yeah! I can hardly wait for this year’s Merlot from Northumbria.
I would think that Cali wine growers would be more worried about the loons controlling the water supplies.
Observations no longer matter. They have to justify continued funding with their filthy snouts in the trough. Talking of funding how about Exxon which has committed $100 million for Stanford’s Global Climate and Energy Project.
http://www.time.com/time/magazine/article/0,9171,1079483,00.html
By the way, if the imaginary problem of global warming shrinks vineyards it should also open up new areas to wine growing. Plants move up hill and all that. 😉
In fact, vine growing was one of the very very few beneficiaries of AGW according to the IPCC AR4. More alcohol content and robust taste.
However, these bozos must think the famous vine growing regions of Europe have only been around since the 1940’s, coz these regions couldn’t have survived the increase in Ts since 1600.
No Champagne, no Rhine, No Porto, no Burgundy etc etc
Self satisfying repetitive strokers the lot of ’em
[email protected] <—- contact info for the fraudster.
Have a look at the baby faced grifter here: http://pangea.stanford.edu/people/faculty/noah-diffenbaugh.
Let’s see how he responds to some facts about grape growing arriving in his in box.
FYI – Napa Valley College operates an on campus vinyard.
The Winery at Napa Valley College.
The Register report highlights fewer heat days, but I wonder if there is a corresponding rise in frost days? Dr. Stephen Krebs operates the winery (email= [email protected]). He’d be a person to ask.
They mention frost damage from April 2008 right on their home page.
Sounds like a bunch of AGW wining to me
Then again, if the temperature goes up 6°C (or 12, or 22, or whatever sounds scary right now), you can just move all the vineyards to the St. Lawrence seaway. Too bad it doesn’t have much possibility of coming true.
These projections could have a large effect on California’s $16.5-billion wine industry, which with more than 500,000 acres of vineyards, produces on average more than 5 million gallons per year and accounts for nearly 90% of the nation’s total wine production, according to the Wine Institute, a state winemakers trade organization.
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In case no one caught it……..
That’s some really expensive wine