http://weather.unisys.com/surface/sst_anom.gif
Every summer the world’s top rated climate scientist forecasts an El Nino – in the hope that it will provide an opportunity to get GISS up to scenario C (no emissions growth) temperature levels.
Disrupting the Borg is expensive and time consuming!
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Hansen will point out that future El Nino’s will not be apparent in the ocean surface temperature ‘observations’, because the surface heat is now rapidly thermalized into the evaporating water vapor thanks to a collapsing latent heat of vaporization at the ocean/atmosphere interface caused by super-exponentially increasing CO2 concentrations.
I think the proven collapsing latent heat catastrophe (because we can’t think of any other reason why the super El Nino currently underway is not showing up in the observations) is a crisis going to waste.
This is why John Mitchell of the MET office wisely said observational evidence is not very useful.
🙂
The latest forecast indicates that there will be NO el-nino at all,this year.
It looks like La Nina is forming which would be the opposite of what James Hansen predicted:
animation
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_update/sstanim.gif
The “ENSO-meter” at WUWT has dropped back dramatically in the last couple of days. It had been almost into the “neutral” band. But now it is firmly back into the La Nina zone.
My error. I don’t know what’s up with WUWT – but their ENSO meter seems to be out of sync with the NOAA version (which is the definitive one AFAIK) . All the NOAA updates refer to current ENSO conditions as “Neutral”
The 2011-12 El-Nino has been put on hold due to the lingering cooling effects of the 1991 Pinatubo eruption.
Or the 1883 Krakatoa eruption. Or maybe the 1815 Tambora eruption.