My latest research shows that northern hemisphere ice has been melting for the last twelve weeks. I predict that this will continue for another nine weeks.
Disrupting the Borg is expensive and time consuming!
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Steve,
judging by your past posts and the facts you have posted regarding how cold it is and how late places have had ace, I assume you are guessing a extremely high ice minimum this year. Do you think it will be higher than the 79-2000 average?
I predict that your critical thinking skills will show no improvement above the 1979-2000 average.
I predict that Scott with his analysis will be closer than Pamela Gray with her WUWT friendly winds and cycles,
Andy
Who is Scott, and where is his prediction?
I don’t know what his prediction is, but he misses you …
http://stevengoddard.wordpress.com/2011/07/03/my-forecast-for-an-ice-free-arctic/#comment-68151
Andy, LOL! I make the simplest of estimates and get a number not too far off what I got by just randomly guessing the previous month based off of last year’s experience. However, it does seem more involved than most at WUWT are willing to do this year. Last year, my first following the sea ice, was so much more fun with several people trying a variety of different approaches.
Also, has anyone else noticed the plummeting extent at JAXA the last two days? Three days ago I was thinking we’d go above 2007 on July 3, but clearly that was a mistake. I’m thinking it might be due to the final melt of Hudson Bay that’s occurring now. However, 2011 just did go above 2007 in CT’s area metric.
And Tony, here is the prediction Andy speaks of:
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2011/06/26/july-arcus-forecast-poll-what-will-the-september-nsidc-arctic-minimum-extent-be/#comment-691809
(Note that the last line has a typo and should say “skeptics” instead of “CAGWers”.)
I’ll try to start updating people with my prediction on a regular basis here. It’s not a serious effort by any means, and the uncertainty will be high, but I’ll have fun with it.
-Scott